A-L-E-X Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 If the last few days were a heat wave then give me a 60 day heat wave and make it last till Labor Day. Today was terrible though. Never got too hot with temps but the humidity and the sky conditions were vomit inducing. This wasn't a bonafide hot air mass-- yeah EWR got to 95, but in July and August, a bonafide hot air mass would get them to 98 and NYC/LGA to 95 and JFK to at least 90. We can easily hit 90 here and at JFK in the middle and latter part of summer on SW or even S winds-- it's just these borderline very warm air masses that kill us. Still, we were at 87 at 11 am lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 They got Fairbanks listed with an average of 54 days above 90 degrees lol. If they are mistakenly assuming that 90 degrees is considered a "hot day" up in Alaska, that could account for the discrepancy. I believe 70 degrees is their minimum limit for a hot day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Yeah, I don't know what is up with that table, but its WAY off. Yep, there is no way that is accurate. They list Fairbanks as having 21 days in July as being 90+ but its avg highs are only in the 70s. They have Barrow averaging 1 day in July being 90+ but Barrow's all time record high is 79. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Mass suicides if this were winter: http://mag.ncep.noaa...mslp_precip.gif If this were winter there would probably be much more throwback precip. than shown on the map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 If this were winter there would probably be much more throwback precip. than shown on the map. Yep. Models will over do the moisture in the cool sector for warm core storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Both 06z gfs and Nam have a good amount of convective rain tomorrow. Saturday looks fine with storm staying east of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 What do euro precip amounts look like? Looking off ewall, it seems like euro is wet, looking at that limited data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 too hot. Turn it off, please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 The new 12 UTC run of the NAM performed very well with the convection yesterday.It had the correct area where the main convection was located while the older version was focused too far north of the action around Monmouth County. New Old radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 srefs have trended north, LOL The AG3 storm is coming around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 srefs have trended north, LOL The AG3 storm is coming around. let's make some early snowfall predictions on this one... looks like a possible changeover city and coast to hail... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 let's make some early snowfall predictions on this one... looks like a possible changeover city and coast to hail... :thumbsdown: Winter fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 12z NAM has some big thunderstorm activity right over NYC this afternoon. Over 1.25" of convective activity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 12z NAM has some big thunderstorm activity right over NYC this afternoon. I am holding you to this and will bump your post with BUST if it doesn't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 I am holding you to this and will bump your post with BUST if it doesn't happen. NAM is very interesting. Hefty rain amounts and the bullseye is NYC and LI. Dont be calling bust at 6pm either. NAM has this activity mostly from 7pm-midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1944_Great_Atlantic_hurricane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 The new NAM has come north from yesterday and now has convection across the area with it's heaviest focus from PA into NJ. Today 12 UTC Yesterday 18 UTC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 The new NAM has come north from yesterday and now has convection across the area with it's heaviest focus from PA into NJ. Today 12 UTC Yesterday 18 UTC it will be a lakes cutter by the time the north trend stops. That shoud make earthlight happy as we will be warm sectored. YanksFan27 should be issuing flood alerts any moment now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 it will be a lakes cutter by the time the north trend stops. That shoud make earthlight happy as we will be warm sectored. YanksFan27 should be issuing flood alerts any moment now. That big -AO should prevent it from cutting but the rain/snow line will still be north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 I believe those amounts are lower however from last night's run when it had widespread 1"+ amounts The new NAM has come north from yesterday and now has convection across the area with it's heaviest focus from PA into NJ. Today 12 UTC Yesterday 18 UTC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 I believe those amounts are lower however from last night's run when it had widespread 1"+ amounts The actual NAM has over 1" of pecip this afternoon and evening. The new (parallel) NAM has that for tomorrow, it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 lets just hope this is out of the way for saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 what's the difference?..this is the text printout for NYC. THU 8A 07-JUL 24.0 17.3 1013 83 64 583 571 THU 2P 07-JUL 28.5 16.5 1013 65 60 0.00 582 571 THU 8P 07-JUL 26.0 16.5 1012 79 62 0.06 582 572 FRI 2A 08-JUL 22.5 16.1 1013 87 85 0.28 581 570 FRI 8A 08-JUL 21.9 16.7 1013 93 68 0.15 580 569 FRI 2P 08-JUL 22.5 15.3 1013 93 76 0.08 580 569 FRI 8P 08-JUL 21.7 15.4 1012 96 81 0.04 579 569 SAT 2A 09-JUL 21.1 14.6 1011 91 0.16 579 570 SAT 8A 09-JUL 21.2 14.7 1011 95 77 0.18 578 569 The actual NAM has over 1" of pecip this afternoon and evening. The new (parallel) NAM has that for tomorrow, it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Most places are 88-89, EWR; 94 already could they hit 97 or 98 there today? meanwhile this is an observation I've never seen MONTAUK ARPT, NY 11am 87 98 58 WNW/7 30.01 SMOKY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 12PM roundup TEB : 88 NYC : 88 EWR : 94 LGA : 88 JFK : 89 TTN : 88 BLM : 90 ACY : 89 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Newark is starting to get ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Yeah I don't get it, it used to be 2 maybe 3 degrees now its 5 or 6? My guess is they'll hold for the next hour or two or even dip a degree, that seemed to happen a few times last week Newark is starting to get ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 High here is 90.5 so far.... temps keep bouncing up and down depending on cloud cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Upton lowered their chances to 20 percent now for thunderstorms this afternoon, seems like there is a lot of low level dry air I'n place... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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