CooL Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Look how this coastal storm is sneaking up on us for this weekend. Another shift west, and this weekend will be a washout and well below normal. And only 24 hours ago, less then 96 hours on models, the weekend looked sunny and upper 80's to low 90's. day 10 pattern, take with a grain a salt.. Wait, you know this already lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Up to 89.2, it feels extra hot and smokey though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Up to 89.2, it feels extra hot though. dewpoint is 72 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Some popcorn t-storms forming. One is just to my east by Great Neck. Can hear the thunder from it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Rain and thunder in Holmdel very humid. Sunny this morning, been overcast since 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diego Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Cells approaching Monmouth, southeastern SI and lower Brooklyn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Cells approaching Monmouth, southeastern SI and lower Brooklyn. The cells to the north of the severe warned cell in Monmouth County are quickly dying out. And with the cell moving east, anybody north of Sea Bright shouldn't see much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 3pm update: NYC: 85 (high of 89) LGA: 85 (high of 89) EWR: 91 (high of 94) JFK: 80 (high of 86) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 The current UKMET looks like the GFS in hitting southern areas the hardest Friday into Friday night before pulling away on Saturday.Both models are hinting at a sharp cutoff of precip to the north.We'll see how the models handle the location of the heaviest convectionover the next few days. FEB 6 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Heh, I'd like to see that in the winter too, slowly moving further north with each model run and before you know it the forecast has changed from sunny and cold with highs in the 30s to snowy and windy. Ratios will suck this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 the euro has widespread convection friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 FEB 6 2010. lol I was thinking that too when I saw that map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 The fantasy range of the euro, days 7-10, has a massive heat ridge forming in the middle of the country, pushing east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 The fantasy range of the euro, days 7-10, has a massive heat ridge forming in the middle of the country, pushing east. it's basically july 95 part 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Small but healthy cell formed over SI and is headed east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 3pm update: NYC: 85 (high of 89) LGA: 85 (high of 89) EWR: 91 (high of 94) JFK: 80 (high of 86) Question is a "heat wave" criteria 3 days of 90+ at those location? And what are the avg highs right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 well not for EWR which pretty much hits 90 regularly....this time of year has to be at least 95 (98 ewr) Question is a "heat wave" criteria 3 days of 90+ at those location? And what are the avg highs right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 So much for no chance of rain today and 10% chance tonight. Closing in on 1" of rain here in Monmouth, with nearly constant thunder/lightning for the past 2 hours. Was out in Freehold since 12 and couldn't believe how quickly conditions deteriorated. Judging by the winds and frequency of the thunder it seemed severe, and sure enough when I arrived back home 10 minutes ago I saw the warning for Monmouth. High gust was 28mph here, but I'd imagine just SE of me there were 40+ gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 High hit 87.4 at 1pm, now 69.6/67. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Question is a "heat wave" criteria 3 days of 90+ at those location? And what are the avg highs right now Average high for today is 84. LGA and NYC didnt reach 90 today or yesterday. JFK did yesterday and Newark reached it today and yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 newark is going to have a 4 day heat wave by this time tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Monmouth county went from snow capital of the east coast to new thunderstorm capital. I've literally had 4 'storms' all season with none being remotely severe So much for no chance of rain today and 10% chance tonight. Closing in on 1" of rain here in Monmouth, with nearly constant thunder/lightning for the past 2 hours. Was out in Freehold since 12 and couldn't believe how quickly conditions deteriorated. Judging by the winds and frequency of the thunder it seemed severe, and sure enough when I arrived back home 10 minutes ago I saw the warning for Monmouth. High gust was 28mph here, but I'd imagine just SE of me there were 40+ gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx.1028 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 91.F - heard a few rumbles of thunder. but indoors cold enough to hang meat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Monmouth county went from snow capital of the east coast to new thunderstorm capital. I've literally had 4 'storms' all season with none being remotely severe Yeah tell me about it. Nearly 5" of rain since late June, lawn looks like a jungle. I always joke about the Monmouth T-storm shield as it seems like year after year, we're in the screw zone convection wise. Can't say that this season - the shield has been broken and then some. 4.44" of rain for June and 1.65" so far in July. Between the past 2 winters and now the T-storm season, the rich get richer here. Now we just need a tropical cyclone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 High hit 87.4 at 1pm, now 69.6/67. The high was 87 here at 11 AM before the sea breeze came and ruined the party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Hit 91.2 here (unofficial heat wave), currently 87.6 (and dropping) with a nice cool breeze, the sun is out as well. It's perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 91.F - heard a few rumbles of thunder. but indoors cold enough to hang meat. Only had 0.08 in. rain here on the west shore with that cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx.1028 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Only had 0.08 in. rain here on the west shore with that cell. Where on S.I. are you ? Im in Annadale Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 18z NAM brings the coastal closer to coast for Friday and early Saturday. Bullseye Hudson Valley with over 3" of rain. NYC is over 1" of rain as well as is most of NJ. Rain moves out by Saturday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 i personally couldn't care less if we get some convection friday night into saturday morning---so long as we clear out by saturday afternoon and get into the 80's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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