blizzardof09 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Does anybody have any input on the possible thunderstorms this evening for the area?.....does it really warrant any closer investigation for today in this thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 ewr has a good shot at hitting 95 today. 850 mb temps get close to 18c and we mix above that Yeah agreed..the NAM has 92+ but I think it will end up closer to 93-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 9am roundup TEB : 79 NYC: 81 EWR : 83 LGA : 83 JFK : 82 TTN : 81 ACY : 81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 There are clouds advancing from southern Jersey, heading NNE. Need to watch those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Looks like a crappy day is in store unless these dews drop out of the 60s somehow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 6z NAM for NYC: Today: High of 90-92 Thurs: High of 87-89 Fri: High of 78-80 Sat: High of 79-81 No rain the entire run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Euro, GFS and NAM are all hinting at a coastal storm forming over the weekend. Every run brings it closer and closer. Hope they take it away today, or this weekend can suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 10am: LGA: 85 EWR: 84 NYC: 81 JFK: 81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Euro, GFS and NAM are all hinting at a coastal storm forming over the weekend. Every run brings it closer and closer. Hope they take it away today, or this weekend can suck. I saw that, Upton is fading it. I was looking forward to a nice saturday with temps in the mid 80s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 I saw that, Upton is fading it. I was looking forward to a nice saturday with temps in the mid 80s If that system gets any closer, we'll have gross, raw NE wind, and temps in the 70's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 If that system gets any closer, we'll have gross, raw NE wind, and temps in the 70's. Both 06z Nam and gfs where not pretty for saturday, hopefully this changes. Have alot plan for the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 6Z GFS has some pretty impressive heat for Monday.. 850 temps in the 20-24 range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 12z NAM is being whacky. Tropical storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 For entertainment purposes. 12z NAM hour 63: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 I think the NAM and GGEM are overdoing that system for Saturday. It will just be a flat wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metsfan Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 We could be looking at some serious heat in New Jersey on Monday if the GFS is correct. http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?sounding.x=742&sounding.y=264&sndclick=y&prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2011&model_mm=07&model_dd=06&model_init_hh=06&fhour=132¶meter=TMPF&level=2&unit=M_ABOVE_GROUND&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=y&output=image&view=large&archive=false Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 I think the NAM and GGEM are overdoing that system for Saturday. It will just be a flat wave. Its fun to look at though. Hour 69: 72: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 It looks like the new NAM is an improvement over the old one as it's dialing down the feedback and spurious tropical development. new NAM old NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 It looks like the new NAM is an improvement over the old one as it's dialing down the feedback and spurious tropical development. new NAM old NAM What does the new NAM show for later on? Around hours 66-78? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 What does the new NAM show for later on? Around hours 66-78? They have it running in the parallel slot right now. It also looks like they have delayed full implementation until the end of July at the earliest. http://www.nco.ncep....wpara/analysis/ http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/changes/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 They have it running in the parallel slot right now. It also looks like they have delayed full implementation until the end of July at the earliest. http://www.nco.ncep....wpara/analysis/ http://www.nco.ncep....ov/pmb/changes/ So new NAM also has the coastal brushing our area over the weekend. Drops more rain then the old NAM as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 88 in Newark already... a degree higher than what it was at this time yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 86/73 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 looks like Newark passed 90 already. gfs is major heat on monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Looks like GFS is setting up the coastal that ruins Friday night and Saturday as well. Out to 54 hours so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 looks like Newark passed 90 already. gfs is major heat on monday Was major heat. Look what its cooking at hour 60. Its pulling a NAM with the big rains and coastal. Newark is at 91, btw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 Yup. 12z GFS has a lot more rain then NAM so far thru hour 63. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 1.50"+ of rain for the Jersey coast on GFS. .75" approaching NYC. One step away from huge rains for the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 12PM roundup: some haze and clouds pushing through the area. TEB: 87 NYC: 86 EWR: 91 LGA: 87 JFK: 82 TTN: 87 ACY : 87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 91 now but feels about 10x worse than yesterday 88 in Newark already... a degree higher than what it was at this time yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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