Dark Energy Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 Well, june is here. Some have said this month will be a stormy one. Will we start off june with a bang? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 And we start off with the first 90-degree day of the season at the park. Appropriate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 impressive dew-points as well, a large number of stations reporting 70 to 73 degrees... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 Humid as hell with no rain/storms heck, even showers to stop this madness right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 Highs today thru 8PM: NYC 90 LGA 90 JFK 81 TEB 95 EWR 95 HPN 86 CDW 91 FRG 78 MMU 91 ISP 78 BLM 93 SMQ 92 DXR 86 BDR 81 12N 89 FWN 89 SWF 90 HWV 75 MGJ 90 NEL 94 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderdude Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 Today was a big screw day for expecting thunderstorms. I am wonder when is the next shot for thunderstorms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 Today was a big screw day for expecting thunderstorms. I am wonder when is the next shot for thunderstorms? not anytime soon, you sure are a yapper aren't ya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 Well, june is here. Some have said this month will be a stormy one. Will we start off june with a bang? Being that today busted, thinking predictions for the whole month to be stormy are premature at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 Looks like a pretty boring next 5 days, dry spring type weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArtRosen Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 Amazing how we waited until June 1st to finally hit 90. Our first 90 degree day of the year and no t-storms to show for it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/forum/11-new-york-city-metro/ Some pretty wild swings in temperature here as the SW wind battles the sea-breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 can't believe how warm it still is out there.. 84 at 10:00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted June 2, 2011 Author Share Posted June 2, 2011 Being that today busted, thinking predictions for the whole month to be stormy are premature at this point. I was nearly stating what isotherm and HM have talked about. I guess you don't think they are good forecasters. Thats fine. I wasn;'t really high on convection chances today myself. I talked about that in another thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderdude Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 I was nearly stating what isotherm and HM have talked about. I guess you don't think they are good forecasters. Thats fine. I wasn;'t really high on convection chances today myself. I talked about that in another thread. You guys all nailed today. Today was big disappointed. Now on to strech of boring weather which I will enjoy a few nice days ahead but I am going to be going through my thunderstorm withdrawal like alot people go through their snow withdrawal . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 I was nearly stating what isotherm and HM have talked about. I guess you don't think they are good forecasters. Thats fine. I wasn;'t really high on convection chances today myself. I talked about that in another thread. It has nothing to do with what I think of those forecasters, it has to do with the general accuracy of long range forecasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 it certainly wont be stormy the first 7 days of the month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 it certainly wont be stormy the first 7 days of the month or a torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 Taking a look at the long range, this pattern won't break down for at least the next 10-14 days. You can blame multiple closed systems off the Pacific coast for that. Any potential tropical system would be a fly in the ointment, especially if it developed on the western side of the ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 Hey, we are closing in on 80 today. Usually this time of year the guidance can be a bit too cool on northwest flow days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 Why is everyone ignoring the scattered t-storm threat coming Saturday night. It's not a widespread outbreak, but it is something, and everyone is talking like we're not going to see a drop of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 Hey, we are closing in on 80 today. Usually this time of year the guidance can be a bit too cool on northwest flow days. Jersey and EWR. NYC, LGA and JFK are 73-77. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 Why is everyone ignoring the scattered t-storm threat coming Saturday night. It's not a widespread outbreak, but it is something, and everyone is talking like we're not going to see a drop of rain. And these are usually the events where NYC gets activity. The ones that look like nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 Why is everyone ignoring the scattered t-storm threat coming Saturday night. It's not a widespread outbreak, but it is something, and everyone is talking like we're not going to see a drop of rain. Not only that though there have been times where scattered thunderstorms were forecast and we got severe storms with it, I think Saturday night is def something to watch for as far as our next chance for any thunderstorm activity period.....the expectations will certainly be a lot lower than yesterday that's for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 And these are usually the events where NYC gets activity. The ones that look like nothing. Especially when they're warm frontal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 it might get as low as 55 tomorrow morning but that's still not that cool for June 3rd...The last time we saw the 40's in Central Park in June was 49 on 6/7/2000... Last year the coolest minimum was 57...2009 was 50 and 2008 57...Average long term minimum is 52... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 I think Upton is too low with temps tonight north and west... too much wind at all levels to get these low of a temperature. They are going for lower 40's by me.. I think upper 40's to around 50 is more realistic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderdude Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 I think Upton is too low with temps tonight north and west... too much wind at all levels to get these low of a temperature. They are going for lower 40's by me.. I think upper 40's to around 50 is more realistic They are basing the temps and blending it from the NAM and GFS. The NAM tends to have a cold bias. I won't knock upton for that at all. NAM has temps for LI in the low 40's for tonight and tomorrow night. GFS has temps in the upper 40's to near 50 for LI and low to mid 50's for the city. I believe it will be in the 50-55 F for the city and 45-50 F for LI with some lower 40's in colder spots and even isolated upper 30's in far NW areas in the highest elevation where frost could happen there. I still believe we will few nice days but I feeling we may pay for a chilly rainy day with possibly Noreaster like system with temps in the 50's and 60's before transitioning back into a summer pattern again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 Mt holly has raised their minimums to the mid 40s well north and west to low 50s in Somerset/middlesex. So I'd expect most urban areas to stay in the mid 50s I think Upton is too low with temps tonight north and west... too much wind at all levels to get these low of a temperature. They are going for lower 40's by me.. I think upper 40's to around 50 is more realistic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderdude Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 Especially when they're warm frontal. It looks wait either Tuesday night or better next Thursday with a warm front. This makes more sense to me. This is from Upton. D MID ATLANTIC COASTS...WITH A MAINLY DRY FORECAST.THEREAFTER...THE AREA WILL LIE UNDER NW FLOW ALOFT BETWEEN THESLOWLY DEPARTING OFFSHORE LOW AND AN INLAND HEAT RIDGE. BEST CHANCESFOR SHOWERS/TSTMS DURING THIS TIME SHOULD BE TUEAFTERNOON/EVENING...WITH EITHER AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT PER GFS ORINLAND THERMAL TROUGH PER ECMWF...THEN THU AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH AWARM FRONT NEARBY AND AN UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted June 2, 2011 Share Posted June 2, 2011 It looks wait either Tuesday night or better next Thursday with a warm front. This makes more sense to me. This is from Upton. D MID ATLANTIC COASTS...WITH A MAINLY DRY FORECAST.THEREAFTER...THE AREA WILL LIE UNDER NW FLOW ALOFT BETWEEN THESLOWLY DEPARTING OFFSHORE LOW AND AN INLAND HEAT RIDGE. BEST CHANCESFOR SHOWERS/TSTMS DURING THIS TIME SHOULD BE TUEAFTERNOON/EVENING...WITH EITHER AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT PER GFS ORINLAND THERMAL TROUGH PER ECMWF...THEN THU AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH AWARM FRONT NEARBY AND AN UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS. So you're totally ignoring Saturday night because Upton doesn't buy it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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