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Florida 2011 Spring & Summer Wet Season Part II


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7 days straight in MIA without measurable precip!

(assuming none falls tonight, which it won't)

It is drying out on the TC as well. I have had the longest stretch without a trace since the end of May. Everything is still wonderfully green and vibrant thanks to a solid June, July, August, and a great START to September. A lucky TC or a few more numerous t-storm days will put us in much better shape going into the dry season.

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Promising period of rainfall potential upcoming .... out of Melbourne:

THU...AXIS OF A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE / INVERTED TROUGH FROM THE SOUTHEAST IS FORECAST TO REACH EC FL. THIS SHOULD INCREASE RAIN CHANCES AND HAVE RAISED POPS TO 50 PERCENT AREAWIDE. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF LIKELY POPS (60-70 PERCENT) ARE EVENTUALLY WARRANTED FOR THE COAST. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS MAY AFFECT THE COAST IN THE MORNING THEN SHIFT INLAND DURING THE DAY. CLOUDS AND RAIN MAY LIMIT MAX TEMPS MORE THAN WHAT MOS GUIDANCE IS INDICATING. WILL KEEP COASTAL SECTIONS IN THE UPPER 80S AND AROUND 90 INTERIOR.

FRI-SUN...INVERTED TROUGH MERGES WITH APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY KEEPING EC FL IN A VERY MOIST (PWATS AROUND 2 INCHES) AND LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW. THIS WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND WILL CARRY A 50 PERCENT CHANCE EACH DAY. THIS SHOULD PROVIDE A GOOD OPPORTUNITY FOR MANY AREAS TO REDUCE OR ERASE ANY RAINFALL DEFICITS FOR THE MONTH. IT WILL BE QUITE HUMID WITH MORE CLOUDS THAN SUN BUT IT WONT TAKE MUCH FOR TEMPS TO REACH THE LOWER 90S SO HAVE NOT DEVIATED MUCH FROM MOS GUIDANCE.

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You got to love how NWS offices word things some time......

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA..DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING THROUGHTONIGHT..DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING AT JUST ABOUTANYTIME FROM THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

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You got to love how NWS offices word things some time......

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA..DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING THROUGHTONIGHT..DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING AT JUST ABOUTANYTIME FROM THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

You might be in the wrong thread. LOL.

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Got a bit wet tailgating at the Canes game today, but stayed pretty dry for the game itself.

Lost tho :thumbsdown:

Edit to add: Did anyone else notice the massive swarms of dragonflies all over S. FL today?

No dragonflies but we are in the midst of a killer love bug invasion up here.

I hate those things.

Also it looks like you guys down south may get some more rain from I91. Intensity models keep it low but it should give you guys a good drenching.

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No dragonflies but we are in the midst of a killer love bug invasion up here.

I hate those things.

Also it looks like you guys down south may get some more rain from I91. Intensity models keep it low but it should give you guys a good drenching.

Love bugs have been real light on the Treasure Coast this go around. Just like last September. I guess May is our bad spell.

Anyhow, today is probably the best chance at more significant precip like yesterday before things begin to dry out next week.

Melbourne sez ....

TODAY...WE WILL REMAIN UNDER DEEP LAYER S/SW FLOW BETWEEN ATLC RIDGE AND DEEP CUT-OFF LOW OVER THE MIDWEST. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO FEED DEEP MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA (PRECIP WATER VALUES AROUND 2INCHES). 500 MB HEIGHTS PROGGED TO FALL A LITTLE WHICH SHOULD PRODUCE SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS ALOFT (-7C TO -8C AT H5). SO THINK WE SHOULD SEE HIGHER COVERAGE OF STORMS THAN YESTERDAY. BOTH GFSAND NAM MOS POPS ARE QUITE HIGH...60-70 PERCENT...AND HAVE NOT DEVIATED MUCH FROM THIS GUIDANCE. THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE SHOULD BE MORE ACTIVE ONCE IT DEVELOPS AND PUSHES INLAND WITH A COLLISION OVER THE INTERIOR LATE IN THE DAY. STEERING FLOW REMAINS QUITE WEAK WHICH MEANS STORM MOTION WILL BE SLOW AND ERRATIC (DRIVEN LARGELY BY PROPAGATION) AND THERE DOES NOT LOOK LIKE MUCH PUSH BACK TO THE EAST COAST...THOUGH THERE SHOULD BE SOME. SLOW MOVING STORMS WILL AGAIN BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL UPTO 4 INCHES IN VERY LOCALIZED AREAS. FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT. MAX TEMPS IN THE LOWER 90S INTERIOR AND UPPER 80S COAST. CONVECTION SHOULD BE SLOW TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE THIS EVENING SO WILL CARRY A 30 POP UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT MOST AREAS.

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Cloud cover looks to have put a lid on t storm activity across parts of SFL today. Tommorow looks like it might be another active day before the drying trend starts.

That sucks. Sorry guys as I am ashamed to report another near deluge today IMBY. Lets hope tomorrow brings the liquid gold for you. Radar showed widespread activity for much of the peninsula.

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lots of rain up here in palm coast this past week 5+ inches and swarms of love bugs,just moved here 2 months ago from connecticut .does the dry season mean we go months on end with no weather at all? or do we get into a more squall line severe t-storm pattern from fronts and nor easters.

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lots of rain up here in palm coast this past week 5+ inches and swarms of love bugs,just moved here 2 months ago from connecticut .does the dry season mean we go months on end with no weather at all? or do we get into a more squall line severe t-storm pattern from fronts and nor easters.

A little bit of both. We can go weeks on end dry and sunny, then a random squall line thrown in, then dry and sunny again.

And welcome to Florida! :)

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lots of rain up here in palm coast this past week 5+ inches and swarms of love bugs,just moved here 2 months ago from connecticut .does the dry season mean we go months on end with no weather at all? or do we get into a more squall line severe t-storm pattern from fronts and nor easters.

Welcome! Love bugs obviously love the northern half of the state in September. It is May when they are worse all over. Dry season precip is limited to passing winter fronts from the north. Nor Easter's? Don't hold your breath.

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lots of rain up here in palm coast this past week 5+ inches and swarms of love bugs,just moved here 2 months ago from connecticut .does the dry season mean we go months on end with no weather at all? or do we get into a more squall line severe t-storm pattern from fronts and nor easters.

You'll love it down here. Low humidity but still warm enough to do stuff outside almost every day.

But yea, it can be dry for 3-4 weeks at a time if not more. You might get 2 inches of rain a month, but it will come in 10 minutes. LOL.

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