CandymanColumbusGA Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 Yea, I lurk those threads. God forbid you say something in there though. LOL. Should make for an interesting week either way. I should say so.... The interesting thing about Emily will be its ability to hold together after passing near Hispaniola... Either way, with ridging forecast to strengthen the next few days in the western Atlantic, it's going to be interesting to see Emily's ultimate fate... Personally, I think Emily will miss Hispaniola just to the south (may make landfall in Haiti which they don't need...) and then ride up towards Florida... from there it's all a guessing game for now. It's time for the hurricane season to get crankin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted August 1, 2011 Author Share Posted August 1, 2011 Time to storm Publix for bottled water? lol ...... and the first real "threat" here in FL is confirmed. All eyes on deck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted August 1, 2011 Author Share Posted August 1, 2011 Where the hell is flwxwatcher? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted August 1, 2011 Share Posted August 1, 2011 That 5-day track forecast is a little unnerving. I've never experienced anything more than a tropical depression. The odds of it actually hitting South Florida are quite slim, but I'm not taking any chances and I will be stocking up on nonperishable food and water if the track is similar at this time tomorrow. I wish the best for everyone in Haiti as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted August 2, 2011 Author Share Posted August 2, 2011 That 5-day track forecast is a little unnerving. I've never experienced anything more than a tropical depression. The odds of it actually hitting South Florida are quite slim, but I'm not taking any chances and I will be stocking up on nonperishable food and water if the track is similar at this time tomorrow. I wish the best for everyone in Haiti as well. Understood and agreed ... all this initial 5 day track tells me is to have both eyes on this for at least the next 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 With each run the models move more and more to the right. Very early but looks like a fish. I am really hoping for some kind of TS this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJW155 Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 With each run the models move more and more to the right. Very early but looks like a fish. I am really hoping for some kind of TS this weekend. It's still early. Anything can happen. My forecast says tropical storm conditions possible for Saturday. http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Fort+Lauderdale&state=FL&site=MFL&textField1=26.1425&textField2=-80.1395&e=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Looks like my only hope of verifying at this point is the UKMET. I still think a westward track is possible, but becoming less likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJW155 Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Looks like my only hope of verifying at this point is the UKMET. I still think a westward track is possible, but becoming less likely. Even if it misses to the east we can still see some wind/rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted August 2, 2011 Author Share Posted August 2, 2011 Looks like my only hope of verifying at this point is the UKMET. I still think a westward track is possible, but becoming less likely. No NW movement yet and the models were east then west and now east again. So, who the hell knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJW155 Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 No NW movement yet and the models were east then west and now east again. So, who the hell knows. Yea and it was stationary then moving at 12 mph. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Even if it misses to the east we can still see some wind/rain. Maybe some wind but very little rain. I would think you would have to live on the coast to see any precip. But, as has been mentioned here before, who the hell knows. Anticipating the 5PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJW155 Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Maybe some wind but very little rain. I would think you would have to live on the coast to see any precip. But, as has been mentioned here before, who the hell knows. Anticipating the 5PM. Yea I'm right on the coast so that's why I still hold hope. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Looking at it from the San Juan radar it doesn't look too impressive but the radar beam at that distance is overshooting the tops. The Sat animation is definitely looking better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Maybe some wind but very little rain. I would think you would have to live on the coast to see any precip. But, as has been mentioned here before, who the hell knows. Anticipating the 5PM. Based on the current forecast I think you will be hard pressed to find any adverse weather except for maybe the immediate coast. We just don't tend to get heavy weather when we are on the west side of a northerly moving cyclone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted August 2, 2011 Author Share Posted August 2, 2011 Based on the current forecast I think you will be hard pressed to find any adverse weather except for maybe the immediate coast. We just don't tend to get heavy weather when we are on the west side of a northerly moving cyclone. Agreed, If current guidance verifies it will be business as usual up and down the east coast minus marine traffic or unexpected major developement. Think Nicole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Agreed, If current guidance verifies it will be business as usual up and down the east coast minus marine traffic or unexpected major developement. Think Nicole Actually, I am already thinking Franklin. Where ever he is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Surprise! A tornado touched down in the Tamarac area in Broward County, good times for rush hour. http://miami.cbsloca...entral-broward/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted August 2, 2011 Share Posted August 2, 2011 Surprise! A tornado touched down in the Tamarac area in Broward County, good times for rush hour. http://miami.cbsloca...entral-broward/ Interesting. Seems to have been spawned by an unusual storm cell, with the mesocyclone to the north and the strongest downdraft to the south! I guess it's not surprising to get some weird structures when sea breezes interact with outflow boundaries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted August 3, 2011 Author Share Posted August 3, 2011 I just had the second real TOAD STRANGLER in my nearly two years in FL. Rain gauge says 2.75 inches but there were 35+ gusts so I don't know for sure. All of this in 1.25 hours with heavy ponding in spots that have happened just twice time in my two years. This combined with a nice .75 three days ago continues the pattern of exceptional drought alleviation . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJW155 Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 Looks like some models starting to shift back west. C'mon, 1 time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted August 3, 2011 Author Share Posted August 3, 2011 Looks like some models starting to shift back west. C'mon, 1 time! east west east west east west and where in the HELL is flwxwatcher at a time like this? Hopefully on a tour of Europe or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJW155 Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 east west east west east west and where in the HELL is flwxwatcher at a time like this? Hopefully on a tour of Europe or something. If I didn't know better, I'd think Emily was staggering drunk out of a bar. LOL. I was wondering about Flwxwatcher too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted August 3, 2011 Author Share Posted August 3, 2011 and icebreaker5221 springs RED TAG on us I had a "feeling" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dolebot_broward_nw Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 That tornado - ahem... Literally my back yard. It skipped, hopped, and jumped across my apt complex from the SW to the NE. Several trees down (at least a dozen), 1 car got a nice blast of something as the windshield is busted in (not mine), my patio furniture and barbecue were all over the place (still cannot find my camping table, it was light - canvas pop up kinda thing, it was basically a sail - might be up in a tree or in the canal). Lost a tiny piece of siding. Neighbors have no water, other neighbors no electricity. Sidewalk came up from the roots as the trees fell. I do not believe anybody was hurt though!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 and icebreaker5221 springs RED TAG on us I had a "feeling" Hahaha. Not sure why I didn't get it before, just never bothered. I go through phases. Sometimes I'm a complete weenie, some times I can be quite technical (but still a weenie). That tornado - ahem... Literally my back yard. It skipped, hopped, and jumped across my apt complex from the SW to the NE. Several trees down (at least a dozen), 1 car got a nice blast of something as the windshield is busted in (not mine), my patio furniture and barbecue were all over the place (still cannot find my camping table, it was light - canvas pop up kinda thing, it was basically a sail - might be up in a tree or in the canal). Lost a tiny piece of siding. Neighbors have no water, other neighbors no electricity. Sidewalk came up from the roots as the trees fell. I do not believe anybody was hurt though!!!! Wow, that's pretty exciting! Glad you're ok! P.S. nice round of boomers heading thru W. Broward as we speak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 000 NWUS52 KMFL 030226 LSRMFL PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1026 PM EDT TUE AUG 02 2011 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0503 PM TORNADO 2 E TAMARAC 26.21N 80.24W 08/02/2011 BROWARD FL NWS STORM SURVEY TORNADO WITH ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WINDS OF 85-90 MPH, OR ON VERY LOW END OF EF1 SCALE, MOVED THROUGH PORTIONS OF TAMARAC AND NORTH LAUDERDALE NORTH OF MCNAB RD AND EAST OF UNIVERSITY DR. PATH LENGTH 1 MILE AND MAX PATH WIDTH 90 YARDS. MOST DAMAGE TO ROOFING MATERIAL AND VEGETATION, WITH A ROOF PARTIALLY PEELED OFF ONE HOME AND FRAME WINDOWS BROKEN AND BLOWN FROM A COUPLE OTHERS. && $$ MOLLEDA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJW155 Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 I go through phases. Sometimes I'm a complete weenie, some times I can be quite technical (but still a weenie). If I were a met, I wouldn't tell anyone either. It makes being a weenie easier if you don't say anything. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJW155 Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 Some of the mets are starting to think Emily might have an impact on Florida. Now if only Emily can get past the islands unscathed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted August 3, 2011 Author Share Posted August 3, 2011 As noted in the main thread and what always happens with sloppy mess TC's like Emily... The worst weather will be on the eastern side. So, she better ride up the wesern most region of the lastest cone or we all proabably won't notice her passing by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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