ocala Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 Thanks for the info Ocala, it's appreciated. On another note, An interesting area has developed of the NE Florida Coast. I wouldn't be surprised to see this area lemonized or become an invest later today or on Sunday . You called that one. It's now Invest 98. Some of the early models bring it WSW across our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 No toad stranglers today, but water levels are starting to get kinda high here surprisingly. It sounds like the amazon outside, lots of toads/frogs running around. Mosquito patrol is going to conduct aerial spraying early today to prevent the mosquitoes from reaching plague levels. That's funny you mention that. I have a half dried up swamp behind the house. After every heavy rain the frogs and toads are singing out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted July 16, 2011 Author Share Posted July 16, 2011 Widespread reports of 3-4 inches from yesterdays rain in the Orlando area. Would not be surprised if there were some isolated areas that had over 5". The worst part was that the storm really intensified around rush hour. Street flooding was common in the Conway area of Orlando. The storm caused some structure fires due to intense lightning and water leaks and damage to a few homes in my local neighborhood. Below is a picture of my wall. Yikes I was watching the impressive radar echos from last evening. Is there a class just above toad strangler around these here parts? So, I imagine this came from your roof? It sucks to say, but, in events like this the business I am in sky rockets. If you need a roofer to inspect PM me and I can hook you up with a quality contractor. Someone should PM kush this pic. Not a C%#k shadow but eerily similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted July 16, 2011 Author Share Posted July 16, 2011 You called that one. It's now Invest 98. Some of the early models bring it WSW across our area. Gotta love the ever present chance for small surprises in life! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 Yikes I was watching the impressive radar echos from last evening. Is there a class just above toad strangler around these here parts? So, I imagine this came from your roof? It sucks to say, but, in events like this the business I am in sky rockets. If you need a roofer to inspect PM me and I can hook you up with a quality contractor. Someone should PM kush this pic. Not a C%#k shadow but eerily similar I have lived in the house for a few years including during Fay and never had this happen. We did have some issues during Charley/Jeanne/Frances where we had some seepage around our windows but nothing ever extreme like this. After work I will be working on it with some friends and hopefully can get the issue corrected. I am fearful of a repeat of yesterdays intense weather if we can't get the issue repaired in time. It was a very odd storm here for duration and intensity. It just kept going and back building as the different outflows and sea/lake breezes all interacted together. My neighbor had it much worse and still had the large blow drying machines going this morning when I left for work. He actually had standing water in one of the bedrooms. The rain was so intense and lasted so long the drainage systems could just not handle it all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted July 16, 2011 Author Share Posted July 16, 2011 I have lived in the house for a few years including during Fay and never had this happen. We did have some issues during Charley/Jeanne/Frances where we had some seepage around our windows but nothing ever extreme like this. After work I will be working on it with some friends and hopefully can get the issue corrected. I am fearful of a repeat of yesterdays intense weather if we can't get the issue repaired in time. It was a very odd storm here for duration and intensity. It just kept going and back building as the different outflows and sea/lake breezes all interacted together. My neighbor had it much worse and still had the large blow drying machines going this morning when I left for work. He actually had standing water in one of the bedrooms. The rain was so intense and lasted so long the drainage systems could just not handle it all. Mega toad strangler FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 You called that one. It's now Invest 98. Some of the early models bring it WSW across our area. Something to watch the next few days.. It will be interesting to see if this will end up over Florida. I just saw a pro met in the 98L thread hint that it just might end up in the GOM.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 Mega toad strangler FTW Yes!!!, I would say the storm DavidK had yesterday is the rare Mega- Toad strangler indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 I have lived in the house for a few years including during Fay and never had this happen. We did have some issues during Charley/Jeanne/Frances where we had some seepage around our windows but nothing ever extreme like this. After work I will be working on it with some friends and hopefully can get the issue corrected. I am fearful of a repeat of yesterdays intense weather if we can't get the issue repaired in time. It was a very odd storm here for duration and intensity. It just kept going and back building as the different outflows and sea/lake breezes all interacted together. My neighbor had it much worse and still had the large blow drying machines going this morning when I left for work. He actually had standing water in one of the bedrooms. The rain was so intense and lasted so long the drainage systems could just not handle it all. Hopefully the damage isn't very extensive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hurricaneman Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 Widespread reports of 3-4 inches from yesterdays rain in the Orlando area. Would not be surprised if there were some isolated areas that had over 5". The worst part was that the storm really intensified around rush hour. Street flooding was common in the Conway area of Orlando. The storm caused some structure fires due to intense lightning and water leaks and damage to a few homes in my local neighborhood. Below is a picture of my wall. that sucks, you may have to tear down the drywall and replace it, too much rain in such a short time will do that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted July 17, 2011 Author Share Posted July 17, 2011 Invest 98L Nice to have even a lame lemon so close to home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 Invest 98L Nice to have even a lame lemon so close to home 98L has started to look a little better the last few hours. Lets see how it looks in the morning and if it starts to get any westerly motion the next 24 hours. At least something to watch the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 NM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 Looks like a center is forming due east of Sebastion on radar. Slowly moving SSE. Also Jville doesn't even mention this feature in their overnight discussion while Melbourne, Tampa, and Miami at least acknowledge it. Boo hoo Jville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 Looking at a radar loop for the past 7 hours and the latest sat it looks like the dmax is over. Still a circulation but less convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted July 17, 2011 Author Share Posted July 17, 2011 Looking at a radar loop for the past 7 hours and the latest sat it looks like the dmax is over. Still a circulation but less convection. What a nice little drought buster 98L could be if it can get to the peninsula. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 What a nice little drought buster 98L could be if it can get to the peninsula. Yea, why do I get the feeling 98L will be nothing more then a tease for Florida. It doesn't look like it's going anyplace fast the next few days ,so maybe it can get some westward motion to it and not get pulled to the NE but that's more the IMBY weenie in me then anything else!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted July 17, 2011 Author Share Posted July 17, 2011 Yea, why do I get the feeling 98L will be nothing more then a tease for Florida. It doesn't look like it's going anyplace fast the next few days ,so maybe it can get some westward motion to it and not get pulled to the NE but that's more the IMBY weenie in me then anything else!! Some light showers from this system are just off the coast from me and Daytona Beach has got in on some small showers coming ashore as well. Ah, it is healthy to dream right? And hey, nothing wrong with IMBY'sm in this here thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 Some light showers from this system are just off the coast from me and Daytona Beach has got in on some small showers coming ashore as well. Ah, it is healthy to dream right? And hey, nothing wrong with IMBY'sm in this here thread Yep , looking at this radar loop you can see the first little showers coming ashore near Melbourne . The structure of the system is looking much better today IMHO. I am hoping it can get enough west movement to miss the connection to get pulled NE after 48 HRS . The weenie in me thinks it has a chance to come across Florida. :weenie: http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?num=10&delay=15&scale=1.00&noclutter=0&ID=MLB&type=N0R&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 Looks like a closed Circulation with 98L.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 Recon is going to fly this afternoon and should be at 98L around 2 pm. I bet they find a TD.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hurricaneman Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 Recon is going to fly this afternoon and should be at 98L around 2 pm. I bet they find a TD.. Maybe even a Tropical Storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted July 17, 2011 Author Share Posted July 17, 2011 Maybe even a Tropical Storm Satellite presentation is pretty damn impressive. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 Satellite presentation is pretty damn impressive. We shall see. Yes, it's really looking much better today. Interesting next few days ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 Maybe even a Tropical Storm Just want to go on record and not **** up the 98L thread that I do not think this is a TD. I don't believe this will be classified after recon. Looks more impressive than it really is IMHO. Moreso of a mid-level than low level COC in breifly looking at it. Slow brew and it requires patience. We will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 12Z coordinates 28.2 78.8 17Z coordinates 27.9 78.1 This was based on a radar fix. Drifting SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 Based on latest vis images I think it may be a closed tropical cyclone, but we'll see what recon tells us. Regardless, it seems to be generating subsidence across Florida, so there isn't much thunderstorm activity yet compared to usual for this time of day. However, NWS Miami still thinks other factors will lead to convection, but later in the day. This may actually lead to a stormier than normal day, since more energy has been built up in the boundary layer over Florida than usual, so when the subsidence cap blows we should see some intense thunderstorms. Another interesting aspect is some weak convergence bands associated with the low are spreading over the treasure coast and part of south FL, these are leading to some shower activity themselves and may be a focus later in the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 Wow, very widespread thunderstorms rapidly developing across all of South Florida. Many toads are being strangled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 Wow, very widespread thunderstorms rapidly developing across all of South Florida. Many toads are being strangled. Looks like we get an upgrade on 98L at 5 PM.. I have a sinking feeling though 98L is going to get pulled away from Florida after 24 hours or so.. Turtle, what's your thoughts on track?? Think it can hang around and get steered by the Plains High and get sent back towards Florida?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 Looks like we get an upgrade on 98L at 5 PM.. I have a sinking feeling though 98L is going to get pulled away from Florida after 24 hours or so.. Turtle, what's your thoughts on track?? Think it can hang around and get steered by the Plains High and get sent back towards Florida?? Every model except the BAMD and LBAR take it NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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