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June In Southern New England...............


Mr Torchey

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eh, no chance for severe thunderstorms NE of HFD this week.... man, if anything, pressure rise from the NE when this rain ends. -NAO has a high pinned just perfectly, could not be designed better for NOT allowing warm frontal displacement.

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This sucks, I have to go back to work in an hour to keep score for a mens league hockey game. Hopefully it's not raining out. Not sure why I agreed to do this, working from 8-5 AM all week during the summer and I usually get up around 5-6 AM...probably won't be home until just after 11 PM. Hate being this tired and long days like this have always killed me...I suspect it's b/c I've always had a completely horrible diet and horrible sleep program. This past week I've been in bed between 8-9 PM :lol:

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eh, no chance for severe thunderstorms NE of HFD this week.... man, if anything, pressure rise from the NE when this rain ends. -NAO has a high pinned just perfectly, could not be designed better for NOT allowing warm frontal displacement.

Yeah the NAO is still hanging on over the next couple of weeks. It appears the GFS backed off from flipping the NAO + and developing the big eastern heat ridge. Makes sense given the teleconnections that are in place. We still could get bouts of some warmth and humidity from time to time. We'll see as we go forward. Lots of things can happen 2 weeks out.

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Yeah the NAO is still hanging on over the next couple of weeks. It appears the GFS backed off from flipping the NAO + and developing the big eastern heat ridge. Makes sense given the teleconnections that are in place. We still could get bouts of some warmth and humidity from time to time. We'll see as we go forward. Lots of things can happen 2 weeks out.

-NAO in summer tends to correlate well with heat coming out of the plains and then getting shoved into the SE US. Though we saw some exceptions last summer. I know one of our heat waves occurred during a -NAO.

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BYE BYE !!! Personally, this weather is just fine. The frequent rain has left the golf courses in great shape and I've only watered the garden once.

Has not been good for the farmers. Lot of root rot and very slow going for the warm weather vines, cukes, melons, squash etc.

I'm at 2.2" already today.

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-NAO in summer tends to correlate well with heat coming out of the plains and then getting shoved into the SE US. Though we saw some exceptions last summer. I know one of our heat waves occurred during a -NAO.

The flip is perfect for these nice warm days cool nights. I would hope this continues through July.

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ANNUAL CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY

NAME: Ashfield CITY: Ashfield STATE: MA

ELEV: 1350 ft LAT: 42° 30' 46" N LONG: 72° 50' 58" W

TEMPERATURE (°F), HEAT BASE 65.0, COOL BASE 65.0

DEP. HEAT COOL

MEAN MEAN FROM DEG DEG MAX MAX MIN MIN

YR MO MAX MIN MEAN NORM DAYS DAYS HI DATE LOW DATE >=90 <=32 <=32 <=0

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

11 1 26.4 6.7 16.6 -10.1 1502 0 52.9 1 -18.7 24 0 26 31 9

11 2 33.2 8.1 20.7 -8.2 1241 0 58.3 18 -17.2 11 0 13 28 7

11 3 39.7 20.7 30.2 -2.0 1078 0 57.5 18 -6.5 3 0 1 29 2

11 4 54.7 34.9 44.8 1.6 607 2 77.7 11 21.9 8 0 0 13 0

11 5 68.0 45.4 56.7 -0.2 264 22 84.7 27 27.9 6 0 0 3 0

11 6

11 7

11 8

11 9

11 10

11 11

11 12

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

44.2 23.1 33.7 -3.8 4691 23 84.7 MAY -18.7 JAN 0 40 104 18

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This image reminds me a bit of a SWFE. Notice how the back edge can be compared to in oncoming dryslot where the elements start getting more disorganized, but convective looking. Also, look at the redeveloping heavy elements over ne mass and into NH. There's actually some really good isentropic lift for a summer type system.

post-33-0-27156100-1308789000.gif

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ANNUAL CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY

NAME: Ashfield CITY: Ashfield STATE: MA

ELEV: 1350 ft LAT: 42° 30' 46" N LONG: 72° 50' 58" W

TEMPERATURE (°F), HEAT BASE 65.0, COOL BASE 65.0

DEP. HEAT COOL

MEAN MEAN FROM DEG DEG MAX MAX MIN MIN

YR MO MAX MIN MEAN NORM DAYS DAYS HI DATE LOW DATE >=90 <=32 <=32 <=0

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

11 1 26.4 6.7 16.6 -10.1 1502 0 52.9 1 -18.7 24 0 26 31 9

11 2 33.2 8.1 20.7 -8.2 1241 0 58.3 18 -17.2 11 0 13 28 7

11 3 39.7 20.7 30.2 -2.0 1078 0 57.5 18 -6.5 3 0 1 29 2

11 4 54.7 34.9 44.8 1.6 607 2 77.7 11 21.9 8 0 0 13 0

11 5 68.0 45.4 56.7 -0.2 264 22 84.7 27 27.9 6 0 0 3 0

11 6

11 7

11 8

11 9

11 10

11 11

11 12

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

44.2 23.1 33.7 -3.8 4691 23 84.7 MAY -18.7 JAN 0 40 104 18

Something is seriously messed with those numbers. Its claiming a -10.1F departure in January with an avg temp of 16.6...that means its average Jan temp is 26.7F. ORH's average January temp is 23.6F. So obviously that doesn't add up. :lol:

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This image reminds me a bit of a SWFE. Notice how the back edge can be compared to in oncoming dryslot where the elements start getting more disorganized, but convective looking. Also, look at the redeveloping heavy elements over ne mass and into NH. There's actually some really good isentropic lift for a summer type system.

I was thinking the same thing this afternoon when looking at the national radar loop. One of those 27F with +SN/PL deals here, 30F with SN/PL/FZRA at ORH, and 34F with PL/RA in N CT.
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