TalcottWx Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 NAM wants to break through the cap as early as 12pm in BOS.. which suggests its wrong or anything will be minimal because we won't be getting too unstable behind the MCS and there might be some subsidence.. Looks like instability may be higher the further east you go for whatever reason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted May 30, 2011 Author Share Posted May 30, 2011 HRRR has storms firing up right around NH mass border and heading south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 HRRR has storms firing up right around NH mass border and heading south Timing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted May 30, 2011 Author Share Posted May 30, 2011 Timing? I think it was 11-3pm with focus being boston to orh to tolland southeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 I think it was 11-3pm with focus being boston to orh to tolland southeast Looks like I might be on the outside of that Enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLove Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 This is a phail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 I saw some clouds today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 I saw some clouds today lol... this weekend was awesome... The garden shot up fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 I saw some clouds today I saw lots of clouds. No thunder or rain though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 The only thing severe today was the sun....not even a cloud in the sky right now. Absolutely awesome out right now, 87 and full sun...with the dp dropping below through the 50s....except I'm now inside about to start my English paper on poetry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted May 30, 2011 Author Share Posted May 30, 2011 I busted with BOX. Pretty good bunch to bust with Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 Not to bust any balls but the indices were never really that impressive today... In fact, CINH was pig and a foregone conclusion that after that dying MCS finished, backside meso NVA was going to mean exactly what happened - a few pancaked CU. Not really seeing where the NAM was breaking any caps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted May 31, 2011 Author Share Posted May 31, 2011 Not really seeing where the NAM was breaking any caps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 The Convective temp today was like 92 or 93F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted May 31, 2011 Author Share Posted May 31, 2011 The Convective temp today was like 92 or 93F On the 6z GFS... There was a temp cap at 3k or so until 11am, the minute that broke at 12pm the bufkit profile had precip falling and clouds filling the sky from 3-40kft... It was obvious the NAM thought something was going to come through BOS.. We can't break a cap without hitting the convective temp? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 On the 6z GFS... There was a temp cap at 3k or so until 11am, the minute that broke at 12pm the bufkit profile had precip falling and clouds filling the sky from 3-40kft... It was obvious the NAM thought something was going to come through BOS.. We can't break a cap without hitting the convective temp? Well you can if you have a source of lift,the strength of the lift needed all depends on the strength of the cap. For today there really wans't no strong source of lift around so it was unlikely the cap would be broken. Plus, heights around 500mb rose as the day went on...never a good thing, so you had sinking air instead of rising air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted May 31, 2011 Author Share Posted May 31, 2011 Well you can if you have a source of lift,the strength of the lift needed all depends on the strength of the cap. For today there really wans't no strong source of lift around so it was unlikely the cap would be broken. Plus, heights around 500mb rose as the day went on...never a good thing, so you had sinking air instead of rising air. Well it was clear the boundaries werent enough to cause lift.. and the NAM was underestimating the effects of the MCS and drying aloft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 Well it was clear the boundaries werent enough to cause lift.. and the NAM was underestimating the effects of the MCS and drying aloft Plus there was probably some decent subsidence with the passing of the MCS and that can be really hard to overcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted May 31, 2011 Author Share Posted May 31, 2011 Plus there was probably some decent subsidence with the passing of the MCS and that can be really hard to overcome. Yeah I think I put that in post 1 of the thread... I only posted this thread because of what the HRRR and NAM were all of a sudden trying to show.. then BOX jumped on for convection.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 SNE tstms fail. More to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 SNE tstms fail. More to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 SNE tstms fail. More to come. Didn't Kevin think today would be bigger than Wednesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 Didn't Kevin think today would be bigger than Wednesday? I saw a few struggling CU..lol. I hope something pops Wednesday, but even that might have some question marks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 I saw a few struggling CU..lol. I hope something pops Wednesday, but even that might have some question marks. Kevin will be hyping it shortly... I'm sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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