hm8 Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 @ 90 mph storm motion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 Storm Cell X1 looks to be heading within a few miles of my location here in Central MI, 1.00" hail estimate at this time, should hit here or just a few miles south in 30-40mins... (from the weather underground radar) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 Latest HRRR and RUC are even more weak sauce...and initialized pretty spot-on with the isolated cells in MI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 i don't think thats making any impact, the sun was out all day around the state, its as unstable as its gonna get, its just waiting on the cold front to trigger something. thats what has been really lacking so far, a trigger and also the cooler mid level temp to help ease the cap. The cirrostratus probably won't have a HUGE impact, I'd just prefer if it weren't there. It can act as a lid on vertical development if the forcing isn't strong enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 Storm moving towards Mount Pleasant appearing to take on a classic supercell appearance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 Storm moving towards Mount Pleasant appearing to take on a classic supercell appearance. omg yeah I was just gonna say thats the "X1" cell I'm watching heading near me, latest radar update says up to 2.75" hail! has a 65 VIL too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 Storm moving towards Mount Pleasant appearing to take on a classic supercell appearance. Yeah I know, I saw that....trying not to think about it-haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T Denninger Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 First post here, how is everyone doing today? WFUS53 KGRR 312230TORGRR MIC073-312300- /O.NEW.KGRR.TO.W.0010.110531T2230Z-110531T2300Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 630 PM EDT TUE MAY 31 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN ISABELLA COUNTY IN CENTRAL MICHIGAN... * UNTIL 700 PM EDT * AT 628 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTH OF MOUNT PLEASANT...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. * THIS TORNADIC STORM WILL BE NEAR... SHEPHERD AROUND 635 PM EDT... THE WARNING INCLUDES AREAS SURROUNDING THESE LOCATIONS... SHEPHERD... COE... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING OBJECTS. && LAT...LON 4346 8465 4347 8481 4354 8482 4362 8461 4362 8460 4347 8460 TIME...MOT...LOC 2231Z 261DEG 41KT 4351 8472 $ LAURENS EDIT: another tornado warning for Midland County also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 Getting that "look" and tornado warnings issued by Grand Rapids and Detroit NWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 633 PM EDT TUE MAY 31 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN MIDLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN... * UNTIL 730 PM EDT * AT 630 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SHEPHERD...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... PLEASANT VALLEY AND OIL CITY AROUND 645 PM EDT. PORTER TOWNSHIP AROUND 655 PM EDT. GORDONVILLE AROUND 700 PM EDT. AVERILL AND SANFORD AROUND 705 PM EDT. MIDLAND AROUND 715 PM EDT. THE WARNING INCLUDES AREAS SURROUNDING THESE LOCATIONS... SANFORD... PLEASANT VALLEY... OIL CITY... MIDLAND... Until it gets close to Midland this should travel through mostly farmland and wooded areas, if it were to produce. However Midland is fairly large. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 well the tornado warning is 10 miles south of me, now I'm going back by the window to enjoy the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
outflow Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 633 PM EDT TUE MAY 31 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN MIDLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN... * UNTIL 730 PM EDT * AT 630 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SHEPHERD...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... PLEASANT VALLEY AND OIL CITY AROUND 645 PM EDT. PORTER TOWNSHIP AROUND 655 PM EDT. GORDONVILLE AROUND 700 PM EDT. AVERILL AND SANFORD AROUND 705 PM EDT. MIDLAND AROUND 715 PM EDT. THE WARNING INCLUDES AREAS SURROUNDING THESE LOCATIONS... SANFORD... PLEASANT VALLEY... OIL CITY... MIDLAND... Until it gets close to Midland this should travel through mostly farmland and wooded areas, if it were to produce. However Midland is fairly large. looks like the storm is going more linear and storms are filling in to the south, should become a pretty solid line of svr. storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 Instability staying pretty much the same across MI and shear is increasing...derecho composite of 12 across a big portion of SEMI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 Not bad... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 Other than the cell by Midland, not impressed at all. Will stick with my prediction of being mainly a northern threat. SPC should have stuck with the original day 2 last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 Watch out Sanford...it's tightened up decently the last couple of frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 More cells are starting to develop back in NW Indiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 Watch out Sanford...it's tightened up decently the last couple of frames. Sanford is a decently large town on Old US 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 The tornado warned cell near Sanford went about 10-15 miles south of me, have some relatives there, hope they didn't get any major damage... lots of thunder here but no wind or hail damage.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 Btw this storm is kinda proving the radar hole in Central MI, all 3 radars are hitting this thing pretty high, so its tough to get a real accurate reading on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 710 PM EDT TUE MAY 31 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN BAY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN... NORTHEASTERN MIDLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN... * UNTIL 745 PM EDT * AT 707 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SANFORD...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... BOMBAY AROUND 715 PM EDT. CRUMP AROUND 725 PM EDT. MOUNT FOREST AROUND 730 PM EDT. PINCONNING AROUND 735 PM EDT. THE WARNING INCLUDES AREAS SURROUNDING THESE LOCATIONS... SANFORD... PINCONNING... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 Btw this storm is kinda proving the radar hole in Central MI, all 3 radars are hitting this thing pretty high, so its tough to get a real accurate reading on it. Yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 Btw this storm is kinda proving the radar hole in Central MI, all 3 radars are hitting this thing pretty high, so its tough to get a real accurate reading on it. I really hate the radar hole here, most of the time when we do rarely get a good lake effect snow the radar shows nothing because it cuts the lower levels off here..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T Denninger Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 A funnel cloud was reported per the Bay-Midland warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 Radar holes? Try finding an NWS radar within range of this cell... BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDTORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 607 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN CULBERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS... CENTRAL JEFF DAVIS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS... * UNTIL 700 PM CDT * AT 600 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 14 MILES SOUTH OF PLATEAU...OR 21 MILES SOUTHEAST OF VAN HORN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. * THE TORNADO WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...OPEN COUNTRY NORTHWESTERN JEFF DAVIS COUNTY... OPEN COUNTRY OF SOUTHERN CULBERSON COUNTY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10... . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 A funnel cloud was reported per the Bay-Midland warning. SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 718 PM EDT TUE MAY 31 2011 MIC017-111-312345- /O.CON.KDTX.TO.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110531T2345Z/ BAY MI-MIDLAND MI- 718 PM EDT TUE MAY 31 2011 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN MIDLAND AND CENTRAL BAY COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM EDT... AT 715 PM EDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD. A TORNADO MAY DEVELOP AT ANY TIME. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTH OF MIDLAND...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. IN ADDITION...AT 708 PM HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE WAS REPORTED WEST OF MIDLAND. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... CRUMP AROUND 725 PM EDT. LINWOOD AROUND 735 PM EDT. PINCONNING AROUND 740 PM EDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 Radar holes? Try finding an NWS radar within range of this cell... Yeah but that's no mans land, Central Michigan is a bit denser populated than the Big Bend part of Texas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 This probably shouldn't go here but uh ... A Tornado Warning remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for central Jeff Davis County... At 628 PM CDT... National Weather Service meteorologists continued to detect a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado. This storm was located over moon Road 35 miles northwest of McDonald observatory or 10 miles north of Valentine. The storm was moving southeast at 10 mph. Some locations affected by this storm include... moon Road in central Jeff Davis County... open country of central Jeff Davis County. Precautionary/preparedness actions... A tornado may form at any time... take cover now. Abandon Mobile homes and vehicles for more substantial shelter. Avoid windows. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT Tuesday evening for southeast New Mexico and southwestern Texas. Lat... Lon 3081 10463 3104 10412 3084 10401 3068 10432 3062 10456 time... Mot... loc 2329z 246deg 9kt 3088 10447 Tornado Warning in west Texas... was there any indication there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 Dying storms to my WNW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T Denninger Posted May 31, 2011 Share Posted May 31, 2011 This probably shouldn't go here but uh ... A Tornado Warning remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for central Jeff Davis County... At 628 PM CDT... National Weather Service meteorologists continued to detect a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado. This storm was located over moon Road 35 miles northwest of McDonald observatory or 10 miles north of Valentine. The storm was moving southeast at 10 mph. Some locations affected by this storm include... moon Road in central Jeff Davis County... open country of central Jeff Davis County. Precautionary/preparedness actions... A tornado may form at any time... take cover now. Abandon Mobile homes and vehicles for more substantial shelter. Avoid windows. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT Tuesday evening for southeast New Mexico and southwestern Texas. Lat... Lon 3081 10463 3104 10412 3084 10401 3068 10432 3062 10456 time... Mot... loc 2329z 246deg 9kt 3088 10447 Tornado Warning in west Texas... was there any indication there? I'm pretty sure they were talking about that in the Mesoscale Discussion today, but I'm not 100% sure. Edit: yeah, http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1042.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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