yoda Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 1600 SPC meso has 6000 SBCAPE still... MLCAPE 4000, but small pocket of 4500. 0-3 km EHI is 4 in N VA. Craven Brooks is 40-50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 You are close to where I am now then I bet - I'm over in Calverton/Beltsville - BATTEN DOWN THE HATCHES If it happens before 4, awesome... otherwise, oh well. Thats what car insurance is for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 1, 2011 Author Share Posted June 1, 2011 EDIT: Meso Disco out for Wiz country. im sure that helped make their thread more unreadable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 If it happens before 4, awesome... otherwise, oh well. Thats what car insurance is for. Do not want. My new Kia looking like a golf ball is naso good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 Do not want. My new Kia looking like a golf ball is naso good We don't get large hail around here. Nothing for you to worry about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 1, 2011 Author Share Posted June 1, 2011 nice supercell north of albany Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 im sure that helped make their thread more unreadable. Mt. Tolland will get 4-8" of snow out of it, i'm sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 Do not want. My new Kia looking like a golf ball is naso good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 lolz. no wonder GM needed a bailout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 1, 2011 Author Share Posted June 1, 2011 ny/w new england to maybe pa/central jersey? more outside shot into ne md. dont see how we'd get there currently, but that doesnt mean we can't get some fun out of it. long skinny torn watch almost into ne md http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0411.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 long skinny torn watch almost into ne md http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0411.html Almost to Marcus's house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 long skinny torn watch almost into ne md http://www.spc.noaa....tch/ww0411.html TORNADO WATCH PROBABILITIES FOR WT 0411 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1158 AM CDT WED JUN 01 2011 WT 0411 PROBABILITY TABLE: PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES : 40% PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /F2-F5/ TORNADOES : 20% PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS : 60% PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS >= 65 KNOTS : 30% PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS : 60% PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS >= 2 INCHES : 30% PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS : 90% && ATTRIBUTE TABLE: MAX HAIL /INCHES/ : 2.0 MAX WIND GUSTS SURFACE /KNOTS/ : 60 MAX TOPS /X 100 FEET/ : 500 MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR /DEGREES AND KNOTS/ : 28035 PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION : NO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 1, 2011 Author Share Posted June 1, 2011 Almost to Marcus's house skipped my old county in ct... would have had to chill with wiz. looks like real initiation might be about to occur off to our nw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 Cu towers are building from my viewpoint in Bowie... right over top of us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 We will have our own MD by 2:30 PM. Book it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 1, 2011 Author Share Posted June 1, 2011 We will have our own MD by 2:30 PM. Book it before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
onel0126 Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 We will have our own MD by 2:30 PM. Book it Own what, tornado watch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 Own what, tornado watch? MD = Mesoscale Discussion not tornado watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 Own what, tornado watch? MD = meso discussion probably not a tor watch - just thunderstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 Interesting watching the Vis Sat loop... up on northern PA the cells that had developed along the front completely died as the storms just ahead of the front exploded only one hour later. Cell in NE PA is dying now, too. I fear the pulse storms may be the prevalent type around here today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
onel0126 Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 MD = meso discussion probably not a tor watch - just thunderstorm Thanks all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 Should beinteresting to see what type of stw we get should we get one. What I mean by that is will it be a 2 inch hail 70 mph one or different one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 1, 2011 Author Share Posted June 1, 2011 Interesting watching the Vis Sat loop... up on northern PA the cells that had developed along the front completely died as the storms just ahead of the front exploded only one hour later. Cell in NE PA is dying now, too. I fear the pulse storms may be the prevalent type around here today. Could be. Maybe still enough for a microburst to take out Pepco tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 Interesting watching the Vis Sat loop... up on northern PA the cells that had developed along the front completely died as the storms just ahead of the front exploded only one hour later. Cell in NE PA is dying now, too. I fear the pulse storms may be the prevalent type around here today. Agreed, I think its the water loading is causing problems for new storms. Watch out for microbursts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1049 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1237 PM CDT WED JUN 01 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...VA...MD...DE...NJ...SE PA CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 011737Z - 011900Z A SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION THIS AFTERNOON. WIND DAMAGE AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER CELLS. WW ISSUANCE WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS. MESOANALYSIS CURRENTLY SHOWS AN AXIS OF STRONG INSTABILITY FROM SRN VA NNEWD INTO SE PA WHERE MLCAPE VALUES ARE ESTIMATED IN THE 3500 TO 4500 J/KG RANGE. THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO INITIATE ON THE WRN EDGE OF THE INSTABILITY AXIS ACROSS SRN PA...WRN MD AND ERN WV. THIS ACTIVITY WILL EXPAND IN COVERAGE MOVING EWD INTO THE MCD AREA WHERE STRONG INSTABILITY AND STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE ARE ALREADY IN PLACE. 0-3 KM LAPSE RATES OF 7.5 TO 8.0 C/KM LIKELY ALREADY EXIST WHICH ALONG WITH VEERED LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ESPECIALLY WITH LINE-SEGMENTS THAT ORGANIZE. THE STRONG INSTABILITY AND VERY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES OF 8.0 TO 8.5 C/KM WILL ALSO BE FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL. http://www.spc.noaa..../md/md1049.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 1, 2011 Author Share Posted June 1, 2011 me = winning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 Nice call ION Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 me = winning There will be no storms this afternoon within 50 miles of Washington. Everyone go away. Nothing to see here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 me = winning Good Point and nice call, now can i please have the limit removed after 4 months? haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 Good Point and nice call, now can i please have the limit removed after 4 months? haha Probably not going to help your case to bargain for that in a public thread lol - just saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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