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Severe wx potential Wednesday


free_man

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it's a great setup for the EC but there is really no comparison to 1,000 miles west almost ever IMO

I'm not saying there's going to be a massive tornado outbreak, but the forecast soundings look a lot like what you'd see farther west with remnant EML/strong instability, good shear etc. Overall I'd expect a good severe weather day especially by northeast standards.

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I'm not saying there's going to be a massive tornado outbreak, but the forecast soundings look a lot like what you'd see farther west with remnant EML/strong instability, good shear etc. Overall I'd expect a good severe weather day especially by northeast standards.

i think that was a given already for the most part.. im just saying by most standards the same percentages etc won't produce as well in the northeast as to the west of the apps. even great days still need a fluke up here for something "big" torn wise etc.

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Tornadoes

Probability of 2 or more tornadoes

Mod (40%)

Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes

Low (20%)

Wind

Probability of 10 or more severe wind events

Mod (60%)

Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots

Mod (30%)

Hail

Probability of 10 or more severe hail events

Mod (60%)

Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches

Mod (30%)

Combined Severe Hail/Wind

Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

High (90%)

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camera ready gas in the car im ready should be fun in a couple hours!!!

I just cannot bring myself to chase in NE. Maybe a quick drive to a nice lookout or something, that's about it.

Good luck , be careful. :)

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