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Severe wx potential Wednesday


free_man

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Haha that is is. RUC is keeping 0-1km SRH and EHI pretty high across ME, srn VT, NH, MA, CT, and srn NY all through the afternoon (>200J/kg). This would be more than enough to support tornadoes with the CAPE profile in place. In fact, I would venture there to be a strong tornado or two if this really does pan out. I would honestly probably put out a 10% hatched area for SNE and NYC metro if I were making an outlook.

LOL...I knew when I saw you in here that you liked the setup for some TOR's today. i wish we could get a general sense of where the best areas would be to chase. I think from Western mass down to about BDL in CT is primo

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Haha that is is. RUC is keeping 0-1km SRH and EHI pretty high across ME, srn VT, NH, MA, CT, and srn NY all through the afternoon (>200J/kg). This would be more than enough to support tornadoes with the CAPE profile in place. In fact, I would venture there to be a strong tornado or two if this really does pan out. I would honestly probably put out a 10% hatched area for SNE and NYC metro if I were making an outlook.

Yeah RUC has winds very backed in metro NYC and areas northeast into SNE which enhances tornado threat. Will be interesting to see what SPC does at 1630.

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Yeah RUC has winds very backed in metro NYC and areas northeast into SNE which enhances tornado threat. Will be interesting to see what SPC does at 1630.

Another thing is, though not a true EML by any stretch, some very good mid-level LRs made it into NE and the mid-atl on the 12z soundings this morning, anywhere from 7.7 to 8.0°C/km.

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LOL...I knew when I saw you in here that you liked the setup for some TOR's today. i wish we could get a general sense of where the best areas would be to chase. I think from Western mass down to about BDL in CT is primo

I would agree with that and probably extend it into srn VT and srn NH.

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Special Weather Statement

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA1051 AM EDT WED JUN 1 2011CTZ002>004-MAZ002>021-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>007-012100-HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...GLOUCESTER...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...AYER...JAFFREY...KEENE...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...WEARE...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT1051 AM EDT WED JUN 1 2011...THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THISAFTERNOON AND EVENINGA COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM NEW YORK STATE THIS AFTERNOON. THEREWILL BE A LOW PROBABILITY OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPINGACROSS THE REGION EXCEPT FOR CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS.THUNDERSTORMS WILL APPROACH SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE AND WESTERNMASSACHUSETTS BY 1 TO 2 PM...THEN WILL PUSH EASTWARD THROUGH THEREST OF THE AFTERNOON...REACHING THE BOSTON TO PROVIDENCE CORRIDORBY 4 TO 5 PM.THE MAIN THREATS FROM ANY POSSIBLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEDAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS AREREQUESTED TO WATCH OUT FOR CONDITIONS THAT REACH REPORTABLECRITERIA AND CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.$$EVT

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