OSUmetstud Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 On 6/1/2011 at 10:17 AM, CT Rain said: It's early in the day so I'm not too worried about it. It's also not some huge remnant MCS that's producing a wide swath of clouds and rain for hundreds of miles. those big remnant MCSs kill lapse rates...this is definitely not that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 On 6/1/2011 at 10:25 AM, CoastalWx said: It looks like the stuff that models have coming trough late day might be along the actual front? Some of the models are pretty dam impressive with those. SREFs seem impressive still. As usual, probably a nowcast thing. Yeah models for the most part remain exceptionally impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 not even a mention of severe weather on Channel 10 PVD this morning...what a terrible station lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 On 6/1/2011 at 10:27 AM, OSUmetstud said: those big remnant MCSs kill lapse rates...this is definitely not that. Yeah this isn't pumping out massive amounts of latent heat lol I'm interested to see 12z PIT/BUF soundings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 On 6/1/2011 at 10:28 AM, OSUmetstud said: not even a mention of severe weather on Channel 10 PVD this morning...what a terrible station lol And they're one of the strongest stations in the country (in terms of ratings)! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 On 6/1/2011 at 10:28 AM, CT Rain said: And they're one of the strongest stations in the country (in terms of ratings)! terrible...the morning people routinely use straight GFS MOS for the 7 day. It's awful for weather...the news might be okay, idk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 Actually see some CU to my west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 On 6/1/2011 at 10:31 AM, CoastalWx said: Actually see some CU to my west. You working today? I'm here til noon but will probably stay late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 On 6/1/2011 at 9:59 AM, CT Blizz said: As they should. People that stay up late/all night and sleep the day away are wastes Like fireman and cops? Those storms up in your area are pretty nasty. Some tops pushing 50k, pretty impressive for am storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 On 6/1/2011 at 10:31 AM, CT Rain said: You working today? I'm here til noon but will probably stay late Yeah going in shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 that squall line is falling apart pretty quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 so the SPC is thinking earlier initiation. idk...I've seen some decent capping forecasted for the 15z-18z time frame...plus lift is weak as it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 On 6/1/2011 at 10:41 AM, OSUmetstud said: so the SPC is thinking earlier initiation. idk...I've seen some decent capping forecasted for the 15z-18z time frame...plus lift is weak as it is. Yeah with the EML and forcing still NW I don't think we'll initiate too early. I think they were hedging based on the mesoscale models blowing lots of stuff up very early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 On 6/1/2011 at 10:23 AM, CT Rain said: Line looks like it's beginning to wane some as well. Yup--I think this could be completely kaput before it gets out of NYS (at least the portion that could effectareas from here/south) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 How many mornings do we see that this before a svr wx threat in SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 Low clouds with the advection of the high dews have just made it in here..though disc of sun is visible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 On 6/1/2011 at 10:51 AM, CT Blizz said: Low clouds with the advection of the high dews have just made it in here..though disc of sun is visible Lots of sun here, although it is hazy. 62.4/60 EDIT: Sun Cancel. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 On 6/1/2011 at 10:42 AM, CT Rain said: Yeah with the EML and forcing still NW I don't think we'll initiate too early. I think they were hedging based on the mesoscale models blowing lots of stuff up very early. lol...you sleep at all last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 On 6/1/2011 at 10:03 AM, CoastalWx said: Some of those meso models really develop a ton of crap this morning. Hopefully they are wrong, but it appears to be tied to WAA. yeah you can see the instability nicely in the vis sat shots now with the stuff starting to pop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 68/61... the stuff in NY looks pretty weak at this point. One things for sure is its going to be cool tomorrow- probably 15-20 degrees cooler then today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 sun burning through the haze here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 On 6/1/2011 at 11:01 AM, CapeCodWeather.net said: lol...you sleep at all last night? Working the AM show... was up at 230 Got to bed by 10 or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 On 6/1/2011 at 11:06 AM, weatherMA said: 68/61... the stuff in NY looks pretty weak at this point. One things for sure is its going to be cool tomorrow- probably 15-20 degrees cooler then today! Yeah, the little weather widget that is on my desktop shows fall leaves... I wish I hope this isn't a complete bust today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 TTs are in the 56-60C range in Eastern NY and NE PA...pretty damn good. 19/15 at 850mb and -12c to -13c at 500mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 IPT is 71/71 MDT is 73/71. There's some serious juice in PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 Will it be able to overcome the pretty dry air around here? Lot's of dews in the upper 50s to 60F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 On 6/1/2011 at 11:21 AM, HubbDave said: Will it be able to overcome the pretty dry air around here? Lot's of dews in the upper 50s to 60F We're advecting in high dews now. Mine jumped from 59 to 64 in less than 30 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 On 6/1/2011 at 11:22 AM, CT Blizz said: We're advecting in high dews now. Mine jumped from 59 to 64 in less than 30 minutes Lots of mini-convection going on out there looking at the clouds... Winds from the south/southwest... dews should climb slowly but surely, but I hope it picks up the pace (can't believe I am hoping for higher dews) Ah well. Daddy daycare today. Not much else to do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 nice pool of 18C+ 925mb dewpoints in PA and Ohio advecting this way should support sfc dewpoints in the upper 60s....with low 70s possible in some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 1, 2011 Share Posted June 1, 2011 the nam has been useless for convection Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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