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Plains May 27-30 severe weather threat?


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Hail spike showed up on 0.5 tilt for a while too.

Nothing larger than ping pong balls reported so far:

THERE HAVE BEEN NUMEROUS REPORTS OF QUARTER TO PING PONG BALL SIZE

HAIL WITH THIS STORM.

EDIT:

This just out of Vandalia:

:lol::axe: j/k

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It looks like a classic ring of fire setup. CAPE values will be 2000-3000 J/KG and LI will be between -5 and -10. Shear values are just enough for the decent storms too with the warm front in the vicinity. The only questions will be how any mesoscale features (outflow boundaries) evovle and how fast the atmosphere caps in response to the rising heights and mid-level temps.

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Pushed out a 18Z Severe Analysis. Current target zone is from Joplin, MO to Coffeyville, KS to West Plains, MO. Seeing values of SFC CAPE 3100 j/kg, 0-3KM Shear around 47 knots, LI's around -8, seeing potential for convective gusts up to 73 knots, and hail around .7" in diameter.

Detailed output uploaded at http://smartwxmodel.net/

usa.jpg

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MN

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN

239 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

SOUTHWESTERN CARVER COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

SOUTHWESTERN SCOTT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

EASTERN SIBLEY COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

* UNTIL 315 PM CDT

* AT 234 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR

GAYLORD...

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may be getting close to near surface based now

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL

241 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

NORTHWESTERN EFFINGHAM COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

SOUTHERN SHELBY COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 345 PM CDT.

* AT 236 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP

TO TENNIS BALL SIZE. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HILLSBORO...AND

MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH. IT WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST SHELBY COUNTY

AROUND 255 PM...AND APPROACH NORTHWEST EFFINGHAM COUNTY SHORTLY

AFTER 3 PM.

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Ughhh, fire already..haha. I see something on KLSX, not sure if something is trying or not.

There's boundries or something over the city, I see it too... now if your talking about the small speck just west of I-270, that's ground clutter, always shows up there...

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