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Plains May 27-30 severe weather threat?


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Tornado Watch out for Southern MI, Northern IN, NW Ohio.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

DISCUSSION...A FAST-MOVING BOW ECHO COMPLEX OVER NORTHERN IL WILL TRACK RAPIDLY EASTWARD AT 45-50 KNOTS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TODAY. A WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND EVENT /DERECHO/ IS POSSIBLE. RAPID DESTABILIZATION HAS OCCURRED AHEAD OF THE BOW AS THE WARM FROM RETREATS... SUGGESTING BOW MAY MAINTAIN INTENSITY FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS. STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL WINDS AND PROXIMITY OF WARM FRONT... COUPLED WITH HIGH LEVEL OF MESOSCALE ORGANIZATION OF BOW SUPPORTS A THREAT OF QLCS TORNADOES ALONG THE BOW...AS WELL AS ISOLATED SUPERCELLS AHEAD OF THE BOW.

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post-214-0-24983300-1306690128.gif

DISCUSSION...A FAST-MOVING BOW ECHO COMPLEX OVER NORTHERN IL WILL

TRACK RAPIDLY EASTWARD AT 45-50 KNOTS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TODAY.

A WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND EVENT /DERECHO/ IS POSSIBLE. RAPID

DESTABILIZATION HAS OCCURRED AHEAD OF THE BOW AS THE WARM FROM

RETREATS... SUGGESTING BOW MAY MAINTAIN INTENSITY FOR SEVERAL MORE

HOURS. STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL WINDS AND PROXIMITY OF WARM FRONT...

COUPLED WITH HIGH LEVEL OF MESOSCALE ORGANIZATION OF BOW SUPPORTS A

THREAT OF QLCS TORNADOES ALONG THE BOW...AS WELL AS ISOLATED

SUPERCELLS AHEAD OF THE BOW.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL

1232 PM CDT SUN MAY 29 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

SOUTHEASTERN GRUNDY COUNTY...

KANKAKEE COUNTY...

NORTHEASTERN LIVINGSTON COUNTY...

EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN WILL COUNTY...

* UNTIL 115 PM CDT

* AT 1228 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS

STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR DWIGHT...AND MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

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yeah backside of the comma should deliver more than the nearly calm winds out there now.

Yeah Dubuque was gusting to 53mph from the southeast on the back side of the rain at noon.

With building instability out ahead of the line it should only get stronger through the afternoon. Quite the cold pool has developed now as well.

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Yeah Dubuque was gusting to 53mph from the southeast on the back side of the rain at noon.

With building instability out ahead of the line it should only get stronger through the afternoon. Quite the cold pool has developed now as well.

Massive radial upper-level outflow on this sucker on visible.

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love the way cells have fired up along the back band from dubuque to the QCs

Yes, the line end vortex will become an issue later I think. Coriolis force has had time to help spin this sucker up and with all of the intense latent-heat release going on, we should see both the front and lee-side winds increase.

On a somewhat separate note, I seriously can't remember the last time I had rain that heavy.

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