A-L-E-K Posted June 13, 2011 Share Posted June 13, 2011 If it's going to be boring, this is about as good as it gets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 13, 2011 Share Posted June 13, 2011 Some of you should avoid looking at the Euro D7-10...return to widespread heat. With big time humidity too. The GFS been showing the same thing for a few runs around that time range. as long as it yields action I'll take it. If it's going to be hot and humid and nothing happens, I'll pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 13, 2011 Share Posted June 13, 2011 Some of you should avoid looking at the Euro D7-10...return to widespread heat. Yep, these pulses of heat will be nasty...Euro definitely showing it in the extended. Euro ensemble mean moves it through a little quicker though. But I'm with Stebo, hopefully there's some action to make it "meaningful". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted June 13, 2011 Share Posted June 13, 2011 Yep, widespread 70+ DPs With big time humidity too. The GFS been showing the same thing for a few runs around that time range. as long as it yields action I'll take it. If it's going to be hot and humid and nothing happens, I'll pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted June 13, 2011 Share Posted June 13, 2011 I prefer the heat/humidity so even if not much happens I'll be happy. Days like today aren't bad at all though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted June 13, 2011 Share Posted June 13, 2011 I prefer the heat/humidity so even if not much happens I'll be happy. Days like today aren't bad at all though. I agree with you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 13, 2011 Share Posted June 13, 2011 A little wake low action in eastern Iowa right now. Iowa City had some very strong winds an hour or so ago. 0415 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG IOWA CITY 41.66N 91.54W 06/13/2011 JOHNSON IA EMERGENCY MNGR SEMI-TRUCK LOCATED BETWEEN MILE MARKER 3 AND 4 ON I380 TURNED OVER FROM GUSTY WINDS. EM ESTIMATED 60+ MPH WINDS. EDIT: Pressure's dropped 5mb here over the past hour and a half. Winds aren't gusty at all yet though. Starting to gust over 30mph in the QC though. These little features can be interesting sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 13, 2011 Share Posted June 13, 2011 Dew points are only in the mid-upper 30's in the Milwaukee area currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
River Card Posted June 13, 2011 Share Posted June 13, 2011 Haha, yup. Days start getting shorter in about 10 days! And as the days grow shorter the average highs get hotter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 Dew points are only in the mid-upper 30's in the Milwaukee area currently. Hard to believe that, but it's nice to see a couple comfortable June days after last week's rollercoaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 Monday, June 13th: Hi: 73F Lo: 56F Overall Sky Conditions: Partly Cloudy Max Wind Gust: 8MPH Rainfall: 0.00" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 Looks like one more nice, pleasant day before some substantial rains come in tomorrow. The 12z NAM puts much of SE Wisconsin in one to two inch rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 Looks like one more nice, pleasant day before some substantial rains come in tomorrow. The 12z NAM puts much of SE Wisconsin in one to two inch rains. Where's summer? These are May temps. Seems we had March temps in April, April temps in May and now May temps in June. Blah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 Where's summer? These are May temps. Seems we had March temps in April, April temps in May and now May temps in June. Blah. But then we had some July/August temps mixed in during May and early June, so it all evened out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 But then we had some July/August temps mixed in during May and early June, so it all evened out. We were on the - side of evening out in May and are quickly heading that way for June again. So, it has been far from even. Cold departure days keep outnumbering the warm ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 I'm more than down with a wet spell heading into a hot spell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 I'm more than down with a wet spell heading into a hot spell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 If we see those kinds of rains heading to a potential volatile period early next week, widespread low 70 dps might materialize. of note, some of the high res guidance keeps NE Illinois not to mention Eastern Wisc largely high and dry overnight into Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 If we see those kinds of rains heading to a potential volatile period early next week, widespread low 70 dps might materialize. And upper 70's here. Hoosier will be excited. Though I certainly welcome the storms...nice weather we're having, but a little blah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 And upper 70's here. Hoosier will be excited. Though I certainly welcome the storms...nice weather we're having, but a little blah. Can't wait to see how you're feeling next week when the temps are near 90F and 70F+ dews.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 Can't wait to see how you're feeling next week when the temps are near 90F and 70F+ dews.. Be careful what I wish for, huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 liking the afternoon update from LOT, active and getting summery Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 Furnace returns Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday. Monday especially looks like a scorcher. IWX goes all in... .LONG TERM... THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD INTO THE REGION THIS PERIOD. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE NEAR NORMAL THURSDAY...RISING TO MUCH ABOVE NORMAL BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THE GFS MEX HAS BEEN TRENDING WARMER AND APPEARS ON TRACK WITH HIGHS ABOVE 90F MONDAY. THE GFS MEAN ENSEMBLE MOS LOOKS TOO COOL WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 80S. GFS/ECMWF 850 MB TEMPS OF 22C TO 25C SUPPORT HIGHS 98F TO 104F. HAVE RAISED HIGHS MONDAY TO COME IN LINE WITH THESE EXPECTATIONS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 The ECMWF has 850mb temps around 25C for Chicago on Monday, though it appears mixing does not occur to that level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 Am I reading this right... 12z EURO has daytime surface temps in the 40s over a large part of WI at hour 222 which is 18z??? Is that even possible this late in the year??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 5-7" of rain fell in southeastern Iowa last night and this morning. You wouldn't know it here as we've stayed pretty quiet. Some light rain early, but that's about it. Turned out to be a pretty decent day with a nice breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 14, 2011 Share Posted June 14, 2011 LOT regarding heavy rain potential AS MID-LVL HEIGHTS OVERNIGHT RELAX...THE BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL STEADILY DRIFT NORTHEAST TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS WILL ALLOW THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER THAT HAS PRODUCED ABUNDANT RAINFALL ACROSS IOWA/MISSOURI TO BECOME POSITIONED OVER WISCONSIN/ILLINOIS/INDIANA. THE CHALLENGE AS PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED IS HOW MUCH PRECIPITATION WILL FALL OVER THE CWFA. SREF PRECIP PLUMES CONTINUE TO DEMONSTRATE CONSIDERABLE SPREAD OR NOISE...WITH A RANGE BETWEEN 0.25 TO 3 INCHES. HAVE OPTED TO UTILIZE THE MEAN AMONGST THE SREF MEMBERS WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE AND A RANGE BETWEEN 0.5 AND 1 INCH...HOWEVER THE POTENTIAL EXISTS THAT PRECIP TOTALS COULD BE HIGHER...DEPENDING ON ANY TRAINING OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS THAT MAY OCCUR. 850MB V-WINDS REMAIN RATHER WEAK...WHICH COUPLED WITH THE HISTORY OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN FROM THIS BOUNDARY COULD BE ENOUGH TO SIDE MORE WITH A HIGHER QPF TOTAL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 15, 2011 Share Posted June 15, 2011 Am I reading this right... 12z EURO has daytime surface temps in the 40s over a large part of WI at hour 222 which is 18z??? Is that even possible this late in the year??? Lol...if so, I'll be glad I'm in Maine next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted June 15, 2011 Share Posted June 15, 2011 It isn't possible. The truncation and the high resolution than the other globals is not a good thing in the summer. It really hurts the NAM. Explain that in weenie terms please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 15, 2011 Share Posted June 15, 2011 Explain that in weenie terms please? Your palms will be alright. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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