Carvers Gap Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 Yes, it has been a very active spring in this area for sure. At this point, I’ve actually lost count of how many supercell thunderstorms that I’ve witnessed this spring, and they’ve all been in the NE Tennessee area. If any county in the US had 5 tornadoes in one night, then that’s pretty amazing regardless of the region. The fact that it happened in my home county (Greene) makes it even more incredible, especially since we aren’t in the most favorable region for tornadoes. The heat has been the big story recently. Honestly, I wouldn’t mind the heat if it occurred in August, but it has been too hot for this time of year. Agree on all points. Seems most of the stronger storms have raced along the I-81 corridor. It's a bit uncanny how well the storms have taken the I-81 route or paralled it just to the east. Now, the spicket is turned off. I don't mind heat either, like you say in August. I would be surpised if there is not a break. It's almost like the atmosphere is remembering the winter's late Nina pattern. I suspect we break into a neutral ENSO pattern in July. If this continues, June may rival July in temps...but I'm sure July will win since the nights are warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 thats the one! just got back on and saw that the one storm actually hit mby lol amazing! hailed for about 20 min, covered the ground (not completely). about quarter sized...big enough to break when they hit the deck (scared the dog senseless lol) a quick .75" as well not a lot of wind, some decent lightning, but the hail was the big story Awesome! Watched it from outside while I was painting a fence. Could see the nice anvil top off to my east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 Awesome! Watched it from outside while I was painting a fence. Could see the nice anvil top off to my east. Nothing but a few high clouds here. Good to see someone relatively nearby getting some action. Unfortunately it looks like we'll be in the oven for the forseeable future, and of course by the time things get back to normal our average high temps will be in the upper 80s May was a bit below normal in precip here, and now with the heat/sun and fairly low (for the southeast during a heat wave...) dew points the soil moisture is drying up quickly. We really need to cash in on a thunderstorm here in the next week or so before things start to get ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 Nothing but a few high clouds here. Good to see someone relatively nearby getting some action. Unfortunately it looks like we'll be in the oven for the forseeable future, and of course by the time things get back to normal our average high temps will be in the upper 80s May was a bit below normal in precip here, and now with the heat/sun and fairly low (for the southeast during a heat wave...) dew points the soil moisture is drying up quickly. We really need to cash in on a thunderstorm here in the next week or so before things start to get ugly. Maybe, just maybe by the time our average highs are in the upper 80's we'll get into a pattern of below normal temps, if we're lucky. It would be nice to see some highs in the low 80s in late June and July. I get the feeling June is going to be our hottest summer month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryan1234 Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 Day 2 outlook from the SPC has pretty much all the Carolina's in the slight risk category. Looks like damaging winds are the biggest threat at this moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryan1234 Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 Maybe, just maybe by the time our average highs are in the upper 80's we'll get into a pattern of below normal temps, if we're lucky. It would be nice to see some highs in the low 80s in late June and July. I get the feeling June is going to be our hottest summer month. Dude, relax about the heat. It's summer. It's going to be hot. We will have days above average and maybe some below average days. If you don't like the heat or humidity there are lots of other places to live, lol. So sit back pour yourself a glass of sweet tea and enjoy some of the best weather that mother nature has to offer. There is nothing like a summer afternoon severe thunderstorm, IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 I was out in the sun all day yesterday, and the breeze and lower humidity were excellent..huge difference from the days before. The one bad thing is the bad sunburn I got on the back of my neck....I had no idea I would get that burnt. My neck is frying, like a blowtorch continuously pointed at it. Its strange because I haven't been burnt since probably many years ago at the beach, and I practically live outdoors all Spring and Summer anyway, and keep a tan. Something about yesterday's atmosphere was just perfect to allow the sun to burn you....so today its sunscreen time. A nice 61 deg. this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 I was out in the sun all day yesterday, and the breeze and lower humidity were excellent..huge difference from the days before. The one bad thing is the bad sunburn I got on the back of my neck....I had no idea I would get that burnt. My neck is frying, like a blowtorch continuously pointed at it. Its strange because I haven't been burnt since probably many years ago at the beach, and I practically live outdoors all Spring and Summer anyway, and keep a tan. Something about yesterday's atmosphere was just perfect to allow the sun to burn you....so today its sunscreen time. A nice 61 deg. this morning. Yikes. Must have not been a good experience for you if it's burning that bad. For some reason I rarely get sunburned and when I do, it's like a minor burn at best. Guess it's different for some individuals amongst others. I know that it got to 88 here yesterday for my high, which actually felt cooler compared to what we have been through recently but was still sweating like a pig after getting through cutting the rest of the grass due to the storm interruption previously. Unusual for me to be up at this hour. Reason for that is due to the roofing crew that's out here and they're scraping the shingles off, making very loud thundering noises inside. They are having to do repairs for my rooftop since I've been hit with so much hail this season, especially after the April 9th storm that hit here. As far as I know, this is going to an ongoing thing for the next few hours, and I got little sleep (3 hours at the most). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 I was out in the sun all day yesterday, and the breeze and lower humidity were excellent..huge difference from the days before. The one bad thing is the bad sunburn I got on the back of my neck....I had no idea I would get that burnt. My neck is frying, like a blowtorch continuously pointed at it. Its strange because I haven't been burnt since probably many years ago at the beach, and I practically live outdoors all Spring and Summer anyway, and keep a tan. Something about yesterday's atmosphere was just perfect to allow the sun to burn you....so today its sunscreen time. A nice 61 deg. this morning. Come on Robert run with us big boys!!!! Just kidding I know what you mean. I left the house today at 530am and boy did it feel good outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 Jeezus. Thanks, Wasn't around to see this. I tried to warn him and he's been given enough chances, that's for damn sure. Next time, he's going to get a few days off as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 thats the one! just got back on and saw that the one storm actually hit mby lol amazing! hailed for about 20 min, covered the ground (not completely). about quarter sized...big enough to break when they hit the deck (scared the dog senseless lol) a quick .75" as well not a lot of wind, some decent lightning, but the hail was the big story Sigh, I got *maybe* 10 drops....I counted only 7 but I'm guessing a missed a couple. Those storms never had a chance here as they fell apart long before they got here and I only got some debris sprinkles. Last night though I got screwed yet again as a lone t-shower missed me just by to the east (3rd time in the last 7 days or so that I have been missed by spitting distance just to the east). This very long dry spell where I'm at is starting to get worrisome that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 Sigh, I got *maybe* 10 drops....I counted only 7 but I'm guessing a missed a couple. Those storms never had a chance here as they fell apart long before they got here and I only got some debris sprinkles. Last night though I got screwed yet again as a lone t-shower missed me just by to the east (3rd time in the last 7 days or so that I have been missed by spitting distance just to the east). This very long dry spell where I'm at is starting to get worrisome that's for sure. 10 more than me! FFC offers *some* hope of more t-storm activity by saying the ridge will shift away from us for a while, then weaken when it comes back over us. Not holding my breath for any significant rainfall though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 Awesome! Watched it from outside while I was painting a fence. Could see the nice anvil top off to my east. reports of hail over an inch in parts of the county...it was definitely an impressive storm. a couple of my friends said they had dents on their car. another friend 5 miles away - didnt even get any rain! Sigh, I got *maybe* 10 drops....I counted only 7 but I'm guessing a missed a couple. Those storms never had a chance here as they fell apart long before they got here and I only got some debris sprinkles. Last night though I got screwed yet again as a lone t-shower missed me just by to the east (3rd time in the last 7 days or so that I have been missed by spitting distance just to the east). This very long dry spell where I'm at is starting to get worrisome that's for sure. i didnt see this one coming (it was from the ne) dog started acting weird (her thunder look) and then it hit. the hail was so bad that when the internet went out 3G wouldnt connect. there was one storm last evening and i was lucky it hit mby for a change. its been really dry hopefully we can get some more to fire up, we need the rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 Jeezus. Thanks, Wasn't around to see this. I tried to warn him and he's been given enough chances, that's for damn sure. Next time, he's going to get a few days off as well. Meh. We are entering the boring time. Personally, during the slow days, I appreciate the comic relief. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 Sunday is starting to look a bit better regarding storm chances. With the next shortwave trough progressing southeast, we'll be able to tap into yet more afternoon/early evening convection. Per the NAM, it brings the showers and thunderstorms right through NC around 4pm, getting into Upstate SC by the time the evening gets started, though it could be earlier or later when this occurs. Given the behavior of the flow aloft suggested from modeling, the wind could get downright ugly for some in the strongest of storms that develop. Once more, we can't rule out some folks getting large hail in the mix from steep low-level lapse rates suggested by modeling and the moderate to near strong instability in place, similar to Thursday's event I imagine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 Meh. We are entering the boring time. Personally, during the slow days, I appreciate the comic relief. Don't worry I can always fire up some trolling too jk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 Meh. We are entering the boring time. Personally, during the slow days, I appreciate the comic relief. Yeah he, Cory, doesn't bother me at all. It was that so called met that was giving Robert crap this winter that chapped my butt. And they just let her/him/it go on and on and on. I thought I was going to have to blow my head off. Worse than this day after day heat..that just drags on and on and on, lol. Oh, well, each day is one day closer to fall. Bit cooler here today. Low 90's. Occasional clouds. T Edit: In fact that bit about sniffing squirrel whiz to tell the weather, that he came up with, is still one of the better bits of imagination I've seen since I've been on this board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 Yeah he, Cory, doesn't bother me at all. It was that so called met that was giving Robert crap this winter that chapped my butt. And they just let her/him/it go on and on and on. I thought I was going to have to blow my head off. Worse than this day after day heat..that just drags on and on and on, lol. Oh, well, each day is one day closer to fall. Bit cooler here today. Low 90's. Occasional clouds. T Edit: In fact that bit about sniffing squirrel whiz to tell the weather, that he came up with, is still one of the better bits of imagination I've seen since I've been on this board Yeah the squirrel whiz was a classic. Definite You Tube potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 Don't worry I can always fire up some trolling too jk You could but I just don't see you having the same comedic potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 Yeah he, Cory, doesn't bother me at all. It was that so called met that was giving Robert crap this winter that chapped my butt. And they just let her/him/it go on and on and on. I thought I was going to have to blow my head off. Worse than this day after day heat..that just drags on and on and on, lol. Oh, well, each day is one day closer to fall. Bit cooler here today. Low 90's. Occasional clouds. T Edit: In fact that bit about sniffing squirrel whiz to tell the weather, that he came up with, is still one of the better bits of imagination I've seen since I've been on this board I'm counting down the days to the summer solstice because on that day, we finally begin the slow progression towards winter and shorter days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 Tomorrow reeks of potential CAPE pooling ahead of a frontal boundary dropping south towards the region. Modeling suggests 2000j/kg to 3000j/kg of CAPE present tomorrow afternoon and evening with the GFS more bullish on instability. NAM seems to favor coastal NC with more instability than the rest of the region. However it seems NAM also points out the presence of a sea breeze boundary where increased wind shear and helicity remains present which would favor coastal NC with the strongest storms, however the NAM also shows most of the SC/NC/VA/GA region getting in on the fun tomorrow evening. Right now damaging winds look like the primary threat, especially if we can tap into the mid level wind field the NAM wants to show. With little if any low level shear, tornadoes do not look like a threat right now, but an isolated occurrence along the sea breeze boundary is possible. Also if storms can tap the mid level wind field than they might organize into a bowing line segment or possibly a derecho, however right now a bow segment seems more probable as a derecho would require more wind shear present. Oh well, just have to see the soundings tomorrow to see if the cap will become breakable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 ^ im not gonna quote the entire post but are you a pro met? We can get you tagged up if you are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Psalm 148:8 Posted June 5, 2011 Share Posted June 5, 2011 We had an awesome thunderstorm here in Destin....we had one last nite too, but this one rocked! If I was not driving I would have taken pics....Wowee at the lightning too...long lasting numerous streaks....the storm had a warning on it, I guess because of the lightning...did not see any hail or wind damage...2 for 2 on supper with a thunderstorm to follow....wonder if tomorrow nite will be 3 fo 3...according to hubby, still crispy crunchy at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman22 Posted June 5, 2011 Share Posted June 5, 2011 I saw a nice cumulonimbus cloud about 60 miles SE of me in Troy, all the storms have been in SE AL, SW GA and NW FL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted June 5, 2011 Share Posted June 5, 2011 Tomorrow evening's storms will be dangerous and pack a punch. A subtle disturbance in the mid levels will kick off a line of thunderstorms that will move SEward across NC and SC. Right now NAM wants to enhance storm threat over eastern NC as it encounters the sea breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted June 5, 2011 Share Posted June 5, 2011 Nice little line of storms dropping south from Virginia towards eastern NC. Areas along and east of I-95 should be getting in on the action if it holds together. Looks to be a little after daybreak say 7-9am for their arrival! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted June 5, 2011 Share Posted June 5, 2011 While checking out the Invest 94L system on water vapor, I noticed this off the California coast. Downright amazing looking system! http://www.ssec.wisc...goeswestwv.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted June 5, 2011 Share Posted June 5, 2011 Happy Slight Risk Sunday in NC. CAPE certainly won't be a problem once the CIN erodes with heating. There is some slight veering in the profile but shear is primarily unidirectional (speed shear) and should be enough for some decent organization. Inverted V soundings point to a damaging wind / microburst threat with impressive low level lapse rates. Picking a target all comes down to where the triggers set up between a trough in the peidmont, remnant MCV, and outflow boundaries. Farther east the sea breeze front may come into play but this morning's convection in NE NC may leave some debris clouds to inhibit heating out there. My target based on all of this and the position of the trough/front at peak time is CLT to perhaps as far east as FAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 5, 2011 Share Posted June 5, 2011 Happy Slight Risk Sunday in NC. CAPE certainly won't be a problem once the CIN erodes with heating. There is some slight veering in the profile but shear is primarily unidirectional (speed shear) and should be enough for some decent organization. Inverted V soundings point to a damaging wind / microburst threat with impressive low level lapse rates. Picking a target all comes down to where the triggers set up between a trough in the peidmont, remnant MCV, and outflow boundaries. Farther east the sea breeze front may come into play but this morning's convection in NE NC may leave some debris clouds to inhibit heating out there. My target based on all of this and the position of the trough/front at peak time is CLT to perhaps as far east as FAY. Nice to get some rain I just hope it doesnt screwup a bigger better payoff this afternoon. The sky is already brightening and the vis shot doesnt look to bad lots of breaks and eroding debris clouds. IF we can get 3-5 hrs of decent sun in at peak heating we should be fine here in the east, the question is what kind of storms do we get setup screams linear but maybe we can squeeze a few good chasable discrete supes out early. Otherwise its all about trying to find the worst point in the line and hoping you get the 60+mph type winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted June 5, 2011 Share Posted June 5, 2011 Nice to get some rain I just hope it doesnt screwup a bigger better payoff this afternoon. The sky is already brightening and the vis shot doesnt look to bad lots of breaks and eroding debris clouds. IF we can get 3-5 hrs of decent sun in at peak heating we should be fine here in the east, the question is what kind of storms do we get setup screams linear but maybe we can squeeze a few good chasable discrete supes out early. Otherwise its all about trying to find the worst point in the line and hoping you get the 60+mph type winds. Some supercells would definitely be nice but the hodos don't look great that is for sure. I am thinking linear and/or multicells for the most part. I don't mind witnessing a good downburst now and then . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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