jrips27 Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 We went from no clouds to tons in about 30 minutes here. Radar shows storms firing around the ATL Metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 pretty much the same pattern today..slow moving pop ups. Ones that get over 45k feet could have hail, and if you're lucky to get under one a lot of rain could fall. I see a def. trend toward a major pattern change soon, and that should start showing up as early as Tuesday with the New England strong low pressure. By midweek, a deepening low or wave (possibly just 2 MCC) will approach the Southeast. And with the block in central Canada, the GFS has several rounds of west to nw systems getting the Southeast. Obviously no guarantee on really widespread rains, but I think it will be much more in coverage than what we've been having, and it will be much cooler overall. That pattern could last a good long while as well, so anythings better than the heat and spotty storms the last month. It could actually turn very, very wet for some areas (probably in/around TN/NC/GA mtns) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 11, 2011 Author Share Posted June 11, 2011 First storm grazed my location, I still got a nice quick downpour. Went outside and to my dismay another storm is firing to my NW on a path to possibly hit directly this time. The thunder is nonstop pretty wild weather to see these storms go from nothing to towering monsters in minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 MD # 1182 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1182 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1248 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...SRN/ERN KY...MIDDLE/ERN TN...NE AL...NRN GA...WRN SC...SRN NC...SWRN VA CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 111748Z - 111915Z INCREASING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LIKELY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. SOME MAY BRIEFLY BECOME STRONG OR SEVERE...BUT THE SEVERE POTENTIAL IS NOT EXPECTED TO REQUIRE A WW. THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOW WELL UNDERWAY ACROSS THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...IN ASSOCIATION WITH OROGRAPHIC LIFT AND WEAKENING INHIBITION AS THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS WITH INSOLATION. THIS ACTIVITY APPEARS LIKELY TO PERSIST THROUGH AND BEYOND PEAK AFTERNOON HEATING...WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT PROBABLE ALONG A REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ADVANCING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO PARTS OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY. IN THE PRESENCE OF MODERATELY LARGE CAPE...FURTHER STEEPENING OF LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY SUPPORT THE RISK FOR LOCALLY STRONG DOWNBURSTS. WHILE CONSOLIDATING COLD POOLS ASSOCIATED WITH STORMS ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY SEEM TO OFFER THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR UPSCALE CONVECTIVE GROWTH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...WESTERLY DEEP LAYER MEAN FLOW FIELDS AND SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION ARE VERY WEAK. AS A RESULT...POTENTIAL FOR AN ORGANIZING STORM CLUSTER WITH A BROADER SCALE DAMAGING WIND THREAT APPEARS LOW. Chances should be better today than yesterday but still hit and miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 No watch, but I'm sure plenty of warnings on a local basis will be issued this afternoon/evening.Hopefully I get some actual decent rains, having just missed outa lot recently. INCREASING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LIKELY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. SOME MAY BRIEFLY BECOME STRONG OR SEVERE...BUT THE SEVERE POTENTIAL IS NOT EXPECTED TO REQUIRE A WW. THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOW WELL UNDERWAY ACROSS THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...IN ASSOCIATION WITH OROGRAPHIC LIFT AND WEAKENING INHIBITION AS THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS WITH INSOLATION. THIS ACTIVITY APPEARS LIKELY TO PERSIST THROUGH AND BEYOND PEAK AFTERNOON HEATING...WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT PROBABLE ALONG A REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ADVANCING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO PARTS OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY. IN THE PRESENCE OF MODERATELY LARGE CAPE...FURTHER STEEPENING OF LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY SUPPORT THE RISK FOR LOCALLY STRONG DOWNBURSTS. WHILE CONSOLIDATING COLD POOLS ASSOCIATED WITH STORMS ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY SEEM TO OFFER THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR UPSCALE CONVECTIVE GROWTH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...WESTERLY DEEP LAYER MEAN FLOW FIELDS AND SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION ARE VERY WEAK. AS A RESULT...POTENTIAL FOR AN ORGANIZING STORM CLUSTER WITH A BROADER SCALE DAMAGING WIND THREAT APPEARS LOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 water content is pretty high, 1.5 to 1.9, so with slow cell movement, some folks will get several inches of rain from a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 water content is pretty high, 1.5 to 1.9, so with slow cell movement, some folks will get several inches of rain from a storm. I am under the white bullseye. Grrreat. Tough to get rain up here this summer, Foothills. Storms just evaporate as they run into high pressure and/or are weakened by downslope. Very similar to the winter precip. pattern of December through mid-January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 In addition to the boundaries firing storms off now you can see the ones that have potential pretty well here: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 pretty much the same pattern today..slow moving pop ups. Ones that get over 45k feet could have hail, and if you're lucky to get under one a lot of rain could fall. I see a def. trend toward a major pattern change soon, and that should start showing up as early as Tuesday with the New England strong low pressure. By midweek, a deepening low or wave (possibly just 2 MCC) will approach the Southeast. And with the block in central Canada, the GFS has several rounds of west to nw systems getting the Southeast. Obviously no guarantee on really widespread rains, but I think it will be much more in coverage than what we've been having, and it will be much cooler overall. That pattern could last a good long while as well, so anythings better than the heat and spotty storms the last month. It could actually turn very, very wet for some areas (probably in/around TN/NC/GA mtns) Got my fingers crossed for next week's cool down to be a good one even if it is for just a while, it beats what we have recently experienced aside from cooling rains/storms. The areas further east could definitely benefit if we are able to get several systems to enter into the Southeast. Cautiously looking forward to this outcome. I'm really impressed by these old outflow boundaries that keep appearing from the NW. They have done wonders for some people who have been needing the rain badly or just to get a relief from the heat. I'd look for that to continue for today with the eroding cap and supportive thermodynamics in place. The freezing level is located just low enough for survival of larger hail that is produced from the stronger storms (already seeing some indicated to have a little over an inch in size). As the approaching cold front nears us, we should get into a more multi-celled, faster moving storm motion going on as it passes through the Upper Southeast during the day Sunday. Then we get the nice relief from behind, and would spell for a few days of lovely June weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 pretty much the same pattern today..slow moving pop ups. Ones that get over 45k feet could have hail, and if you're lucky to get under one a lot of rain could fall. I see a def. trend toward a major pattern change soon, and that should start showing up as early as Tuesday with the New England strong low pressure. By midweek, a deepening low or wave (possibly just 2 MCC) will approach the Southeast. And with the block in central Canada, the GFS has several rounds of west to nw systems getting the Southeast. Obviously no guarantee on really widespread rains, but I think it will be much more in coverage than what we've been having, and it will be much cooler overall. That pattern could last a good long while as well, so anythings better than the heat and spotty storms the last month. It could actually turn very, very wet for some areas (probably in/around TN/NC/GA mtns) we had around 3 inches off one storm yesterday, anything is better than the heat we are having. Burning everything up even irrigated lawns. Brown patch fungus is showing up as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Psalm 148:8 Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 I won again!! Its pouring!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Sixteen days in a row w/ no rain. Will it be broken today? Looks like the storm line is dodging southeast again. (edit: struck out again) This stinks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Busick Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Nice set of T-storms moving out of Virginia into Northcentral NC. This could be the one, can hear Thunder right now! That one cell is is producing hail 1 inch in diameter. I swear its like a invading force of T-Storms! http://www.digtriad.com/weather/interactive-map.aspx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Storms got within 2-3 miles from my house last night but nary a drop... Very intense lightning show looking straight up the edge of the shaft though. I love storms... I was under that storm at Barnes and Noble on 15-501 and it was quite the rainmaker. Decent lightning too, though mostly cloud to cloud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Sixteen days in a row w/ no rain. Will it be broken today? Looks like the storm line is dodging southeast again. (edit: struck out again) This stinks! I finally got a little bit of rain, probably around a tenth maybe. This storm had some decent cloud to ground lightning with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 11, 2011 Author Share Posted June 11, 2011 I won again!! Its pouring!! Sky is darkening up, I hope this is the time I match all five numbers and the mega ball. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Sky is darkening up, I hope this is the time I match all five numbers and the mega ball. Sky is really dark up here and I see lightning in the distance. Hoping we get nailed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Greensboro,NC At 606 PM EDT... local emergency management reported thunderstorms with very heavy rain producing flash flooding over Guilford County. An estimated fifteen water rescues had occurred from persons stranded in high water in Greensboro... and a couple of apartment complexes were being evacuated due to rising water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Not a drop here today, try again Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 nothing here today. Right about now is the climo time though for pop-up convection in my part of the county though, so not giving up til midnight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Might get something here shortly,good storm off to the NW but there's good cumulus growing just ahead of it also. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted June 11, 2011 Share Posted June 11, 2011 Very heavy rains here in Wilkes at the moment...already had a few storms today. Power lines and trees down a few miles to my east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 an amazing cell pulsed right over about 2 minutes after I posted. Major bolt from the blue landed right beside teh house, so went out to get some vids. the winds pushed 50 or so in the strong downdraft, now its hailing like crazy (about marble size) and pouring rain , all the while I have a "pink" environment look to everything. I watched teh cell develop from an outflow near Gaffney. Got some lightning above the house on video I'll post soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 Just checked the gauge I've got 1/3 inch in the first 10 minutes of this storm so far. Really coming down hard. Still hailing . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 Just got a few shots of some amazing cloud formations. This is viewing to my west out toward the Kings Mountain area: an amazing cell pulsed right over about 2 minutes after I posted. Major bolt from the blue landed right beside teh house, so went out to get some vids. the winds pushed 50 or so in the strong downdraft, now its hailing like crazy (about marble size) and pouring rain , all the while I have a "pink" environment look to everything. I watched teh cell develop from an outflow near Gaffney. Got some lightning above the house on video I'll post soon. Just saw your post. That explains why I'm seeing this. It looks rather nasty just from how this storm's structured. Sounds like you're having quite a bit of action going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 Just got a few shots of some amazing cloud formations. This is viewing to my west out toward the Kings Mountain area: Thats my cell. Its an awesome cell! Still bolting all around and the rain is now over half inch. The hail lasted around 5 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 Was looking at the next 4-6 weeks. Other than a brief cool down early next week, it looks like the heat is back and here to stay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 Still a very vivid lightning show to my south now, with light rain still falling. Got .75" in just 40 minutes. Here's a before shot of the storm developing, and the high winds. This is the first wave of high winds, the second wave was much worse but my memory filled up. Like I said earlier in May, if I don't get another storm this Summer or Fall, I've already had the best storm season here since June 2005. No other year even comes close to approaching this Spring as far as thunderstorms go, atleast not until you go into the middle 1990's. Just moments before the storm: Beginning of storm: In another post, I'll put up the lightning and hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 Was looking at the next 4-6 weeks. Other than a brief cool down early next week, it looks like the heat is back and here to stay. I haven't seen anythng past the next 2 weeks, but over the next week to 10 days, starting around early next week, our heights take a pretty significant nosedive. Meaning, we'll put an end to this extreme heat, and bring in some better rain chances. I don't know how long it will last though, but the big Canadian ridge should keep our heights down atleast a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jalba Posted June 12, 2011 Share Posted June 12, 2011 GSP radar has indicated i've been under 46dbz + returns since about 8:30 .. and i've yet to see a single drop. Just intense lightning. That is odd? I am about 80 or so miles away from the radar, just never actually had this happen before. edit: just started raining now. Starting to get heavy. About time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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