Solak Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 Hoping for at least a few clouds the next 3 days to temper the sun. Given up wishing for rain. Will be out of town for the weekend, and hope some of the garden stays alive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 Really hoping that we can catch a break from the heat for a part of next week. The GFS, CMC, and Euro all agree on a closed upper level system that will cross the Ontario region during the early part of next week and head eastward, causing a trough that will develop near the East coast. Heights are lowered some as high pressure builds to our north, circulating the air to a more easterly flow which will allow temperatures to be potentially in the low to mid 80s for high in some areas, particularly across the Carolinas with low humidity for a refreshing air mass. This will only be short-lived though (around 3 or 4 days) as the ridge is expected to make its comeback for the second half of the week, boosting temperatures back into the 90s for highs once more and back into the usual summer shenanigans. We'll see though. I'm not completely sold on the idea just yet but looks promising. It would do a lot of us some good to be able to stay outside longer for outdoor activities. I agree...looks much drier next week, with lower dewpoints and refreshing north winds...the high may settle into Virginia, so atleast at night for a few days it will feel better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 when the front comes through next week, much drier air (and cooler) will work in, all the way to part of Ala and Ga as well. The GFS actually has low 80's for highs on Tuesday in the piedmont of NC, so that will feel great...dewpoints in the 50s! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 Hoping for at least a few clouds the next 3 days to temper the sun. Given up wishing for rain. Will be out of town for the weekend, and hope some of the garden stays alive. Seems like we can't catch a break. I bought a new rain guage back around easter and I was thinking of putting it up for sale on ebay. I could say it is "like brand new hardly used" and ask a fair price for it because it seems I don't need it anymore! congrats to all the lucky winners out west of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 Seems like we can't catch a break. I bought a new rain guage back around easter and I was thinking of putting it up for sale on ebay. I could say it is "like brand new hardly used" and ask a fair price for it because it seems I don't need it anymore! congrats to all the lucky winners out west of here. hang in there. I can't tell you how weird it seems for me not to be reporting on a drought here (although its still there long term-- that will never change the last 12 yrs). At some point the pattern will change, its just repeating right now, but eventually it will get shaken up, and things will adjust. I don't know if it will be months before it rains there, maybe a trop. system, or if the next few days could get you, atleast theres a decent front coming through Sunday evening, that looks pretty widespread. Monday to Tuesday its atleast going to cool off and get drier air in from the heat...hope it rains there before then just so you can enjoy the change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 hang in there. I can't tell you how weird it seems for me not to be reporting on a drought here (although its still there long term-- that will never change the last 12 yrs). At some point the pattern will change, its just repeating right now, but eventually it will get shaken up, and things will adjust. I don't know if it will be months before it rains there, maybe a trop. system, or if the next few days could get you, atleast theres a decent front coming through Sunday evening, that looks pretty widespread. Monday to Tuesday its atleast going to cool off and get drier air in from the heat...hope it rains there before then just so you can enjoy the change. Really since late April it has been dry as a bone here. My running tally since May 1st is at .80 And almost .50 of that came from one morning storm that rolled through. This is as bad a dry stretch as we ever experienced in the worst of the drought over the last few years. We had recovered well after that September deluge that gave me 20 inches but thats just a distant memory now. Sunday is really our only hope and MHX doesn't seem thrilled by the chances at all. Please give me some good news and tell me they are wrong? If we don't get any precip Sunday then its gonna be another long stretch with no chances and we will be in serious trouble as far as our growing drought problems are concerned. From MHX: MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON COLD FRONT SET TO MOVE THROUGH E NC SUN NIGHT. CONFIDENCE ON WHETHER THE FRONT WILL PRODUCE ANY APPRECIABLE RAINFALL IS NOT VERY HIGH. FIRST INHIBITOR WIDESPREAD PRECIP IS LACK OF SIG FORCING...AS DYNAMICS ASSOCIATED WITH SFC LOW STAY WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA. SECONDLY...TIMING OF FROPA LOOKS TO BE DURING THE EVENING...WHEN INSTABILITY WILL BE LESSENED. ATTM...KEPT POPS FOR SUN AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING IN THE SLGT CHANCE RANGE. FRONT MAY LINGER INTO MON...SO LEFT IN THE SMALL POPS THROUGH THEN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 hang in there. I can't tell you how weird it seems for me not to be reporting on a drought here (although its still there long term-- that will never change the last 12 yrs). At some point the pattern will change, its just repeating right now, but eventually it will get shaken up, and things will adjust. I don't know if it will be months before it rains there, maybe a trop. system, or if the next few days could get you, atleast theres a decent front coming through Sunday evening, that looks pretty widespread. Monday to Tuesday its atleast going to cool off and get drier air in from the heat...hope it rains there before then just so you can enjoy the change. It seems we have reversed roles this year. It's been incredibly dry here the last couple of months. But I FINALLY got some rain yesterday, but still got screwed partially. Picked up 0.40, but, and this is no joke, a mile up and down the road (and probably every direction except southeast) probably an inch fell. What happened was I got clipped by two storms, but they didn't move at all so I only got grazed. With The first storm, I could see there was a whiteout just up the road for 10 or 15 minutes, while behind my lake to the east hardly a drop was falling. This morning, I drove up the road and you could see the ditches rain high no further than a half mile away. Then another storm formed just to my east 30 minutes later and the same damn thing happened with the heaviest rain this time less than a quarter of a mile to the east/northeast. I've been on the edge of a storm before and gotten screwed like that but I don't think I've ever seen it happen twice back to back and have so much fall so close. On the radar, there was a tiny hole, literally only a pixel or two wide, that wasn't getting nearly as much and guess where that was Still, at least I got something. This was the first appreciable rain I've had in weeks and only the second one and a month and a half(?). The first storm even dropped some pea to nickel size hail...in fact for about a minute there was only hail falling and no rain...pretty cool thing to see. Also had several very close lighting strikes, one likely hit a crane at the quarry across the road. I was sitting outside when it happened and saw it. Really since late April it has been dry as a bone here. My running tally since May 1st is at .80 And almost .50 of that came from one morning storm that rolled through. This is as bad a dry stretch as we ever experienced in the worst of the drought over the last few years. We had recovered well after that September deluge that gave me 20 inches but thats just a distant memory now. Sunday is really our only hope and MHX doesn't seem thrilled by the chances at all. Please give me some good news and tell me they are wrong? If we don't get any precip Sunday then its gonna be another long stretch with no chances and we will be in serious trouble as far as our growing drought problems are concerned. I've had around 0.65 since late april also. I've had worse stretches though but that's bad enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 No such luck for me. Dry Dry Dry. Onto the afternoon, and the pop up storm lottery Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 I'm dead center of the FFC hazard map so maybe today will be my day. I just lost one of my blueberry bushes. I've been watering them but I guess that one was too weak. If I don't get any rain soon I'm going to go crazy though. By the way, if anyone wants some groundhog meat let me know. There's about to be one dead one. he's nice and fat from eating through three rows of beans in the last week. I've got my sniper spot ready and the .22 loaded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 10, 2011 Author Share Posted June 10, 2011 I'm dead center of the FFC hazard map so maybe today will be my day. I just lost one of my blueberry bushes. I've been watering them but I guess that one was too week. If I don't get any rain soon I'm going to go crazy though. By the way, if anyone wants some groundhog meat let me know. There's about to be one dead one. he's nice and fat from eating through three rows of beans in the last week. I've got my sniper spot ready and the .22 loaded. nice post, hope we get some rain here too. Good luck on the Groundhog, sounds like a pesky pest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 nice post, hope we get some rain here too. Good luck on the Groundhog, sounds like a pesky pest. We've coexisted for four years since he's never bothered my garden before. I've tolerated his holes under my fence but finding all of my beans defoliated crossed a line. I'm an animal lover but taking food off of my families table is too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 10, 2011 Author Share Posted June 10, 2011 We've coexisted for four years since he's never bothered my garden before. I've tolerated his holes under my fence but finding all of my beans defoliated crossed a line. I'm an animal lover but taking food off of my families table is too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 No rain yesterday. But the severe-labelled storm 10 miles or so to my north cooled the air to around 80 degrees in the afternoon. Crossing my fingers for a nice storm today. As to the heat-it really isn't that horrible. Take this from a guy who's out in it every afternoon (well, almost every afternoon). Drink lots of water and you'll be fine. I'm pumped about the potential cool-down/drying forecast for this weekend. Upper 80s/low 60s his/los will feel frigid compared to what we've been experiencing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
juspeachy Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 This is what I woke up to on the news this morning - As of today, Stephens County has received 23.35 inches of precipitation for the year to date. As of June 10 last year, Stephens County had received 27.77 inches of precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 10, 2011 Author Share Posted June 10, 2011 I don't know a ton about thermodynamics but what I can see is an unusually stable pocket of air over the metro Atlanta area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 10, 2011 Author Share Posted June 10, 2011 Any mets want to confirm or refute this for me please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Czar Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 Has not been too bad up here the last few days. Woke up to mid 50's this am, and after leaving all the windows open and the back door, It was 62 in the house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 Not a cloud in the sky currently. At least there's somewhat of a breeze today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 FFC says the air is stable due to the storms yesterday but that the atmosphere is condusive for tstorms. Im in Conyers and there are cottonballs appearing in the sky. Lightning fried the fire alarm on my jobsite for the second time in two months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Busick Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 I was pretty sick yesterday, because a storm developed 8 miles west of here and dumped over 3 inchs of rain and we end up recieving a trace. I hope today we can get one of those slow moving T-storms without the hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 hopefully we will get some more widespread storms today....not a lot of rain here the last two days, but the temps cooled into the low 70s by late afternoon which was nice. its warm today but is relatively not-hot at 84 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORWX Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 I was pretty sick yesterday, because a storm developed 8 miles west of here and dumped over 3 inchs of rain and we end up recieving a trace. I hope today we can get one of those slow moving T-storms without the hail. Same storm went about 8 miles east of me, split us both! So frustrating when I was surrounded to the West, South and East Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 Convection is starting to fire up in the app's. But it does not looks as promising for widespread thunderstorms as it did yesterday. Still might an isolated cell outside of the mountains today though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 Moisture convergence and sfc. convergence are best right now in the Triad. Could see some initiation there should anything decide to fire east of the apps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 The cottonballs puffed up quick. Well get some storms after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORWX Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 Moisture convergence and sfc. convergence are best right now in the Triad. Could see some initiation there should anything decide to fire east of the apps Waiting patiently here....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 Today's activity arrived much slower than yesterday. Also seems a bit weaker and isolated so far but should still increase. Mountain coverage slowly increasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 Despite the slightly increased rain chances, I'm guessing this will just be another 3H day, with perhaps an isolated storm somewhere over Person county that peters out after 45 minutes. We haven't had rain in two weeks to the day. Doesn't look to change in the near future. Hello hot summer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted June 10, 2011 Share Posted June 10, 2011 A slow start indeed compared to yesterday's, which had the mountains swamped with enhanced convection around this time. There is a bit of cap that's contributing to this as well but that should quickly erode once we get into the peaking period this afternoon with action similar to yesterday and again because of weak steering currents, these storms either move very slowly or just remain in a stationary fashion with more localized flooding in combo with strong winds and large hail in any of the stronger storms. At least the cumuli are beginning to pop up now. Whoever missed out yesterday I will hope that you folks get the rain this time and if not, there is always the weekend with the approaching cold front which will up the chances in some locations. EDIT(3:13pm): Got the first severe thunderstorm up for Avery county. +60mph wind gust with quarter sized hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 10, 2011 Author Share Posted June 10, 2011 Weatherkid : I see some nice rising Cumulus clouds in the distance to the north looks like some storms might be getting ready to fire in Cherokee and drop down towards Cobb. No crossing fingers today, maybe that will do the trick. Edit : There they go!!! Best shot at rain in two weeks, yeah come on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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