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LithiaWx

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:lightning:My backyard is a tropical rain forest. I believe all this moisture is drawing out all the frogs at night which is very annoying here.

As glad as I am that y'all have been enjoying a stellar severe storm season it still pains me to watch all those great storms never move this way. I'll try to take a few pics or videos of how brown everything is turning here. no pops higher than 30% for the next 7 days either so its only gonna get worse.

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Radar is starting to light up, here is the latest discussion out of Morristown:

DISCUSSION...12Z OHX SOUNDING UNSTABLE WITH LI VALUES AT -9 AND

CAPES RUNNING CLOSE TO 4500 J/KG AND HIGHER PWAT VALUES TODAY

COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. LATEST 13Z SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT

MID-UPPER 60S DEW POINTS ARE ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.

WATCHING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM EARLIER INDIANA/OHIO CONVECTION...PUSHING

SOUTHEAST THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY. BASED UPON RADAR/SATELLITE

TRENDING...THIS SHOULD PUT THE BOUNDARY INTO SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA BY

AROUND 17Z. WILL BE MONITORING SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA/NORTHEAST

TENNESSEE FOR EXPECTED SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FOR THE

EARLY-MID AFTERNOON. WILL UP POPS FROM SLIGHT TO CHANCE CATEGORY

FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE COUNTIES.

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the tops are almost 45k feet in northern Wilkes and Surry Co. already, which is impressive so early. This earlier than usual start is a pretty good sign coverage will be good, so all is on target for east Tn, much of n. half of GA and western to central Carolinas. Even well after dark the convection could linger due to so many outflows and rich moisture, which is a little unusual.

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the tops are almost 45k feet in northern Wilkes and Surry Co. already, which is impressive so early. This earlier than usual start is a pretty good sign coverage will be good, so all is on target for east Tn, much of n. half of GA and western to central Carolinas. Even well after dark the convection could linger due to so many outflows and rich moisture, which is a little unusual.

Generally speaking, will most of the storms be moving North to South?

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This could turn out to be a record breaking hot summer unless things start to cool off. As of now, Atlanta has had 15 days of 90+, compared to only 2 days of 90+ as of June 9 last year. Last year, Atlanta ended up with 90 days of 90+, which I believe was the 2nd most ever. So they are way ahead of their pace last year.

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MD # 1153

post-6441-0-13982700-1307639495.gif

A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED. MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL AND DOWNBURSTS ARE

EXPECTED TO REMAIN RATHER LOCALIZED WITH PULSING STORMS...BUT TRENDS

WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A MORE

ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

WEAK UPSLOPE FLOW AND OROGRAPHIC LIFT ACROSS THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU

AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF

SCATTERED VIGOROUS THUNDERSTORMS AS INSOLATION WEAKENED INHIBITION

FOR BOUNDARY LAYER PARCELS. MIXED LAYER CAPE IS SIZABLE...IN EXCESS

OF 2000 J/KG...ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION...AND AS LOW-LEVEL LAPSE

RATES CONTINUE TO STEEPEN...THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL LIKELY BE

FAVORABLE FOR LOCALIZED DOWNBURSTS...PERHAPS MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.

HOWEVER...DEEP LAYER FLOW FIELDS AND SHEAR ARE VERY WEAK WITHIN THE

CENTER OF LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC RIDGING. A SLOW PROPAGATION OFF

THE HIGHER TERRAIN INTO THE PIEDMONT OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTHERN

GEORGIA APPEARS POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...IT

CURRENTLY APPEARS THAT POTENTIAL IS LOW FOR COLD POOL CONSOLIDATION

AND UPSCALE GROWTH INTO A STORM CLUSTER CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A

BROADER SCALE DAMAGING WIND THREAT.

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Me too! Do you know how depressing it was last night to watch the only storm anywhere around here to devlop just a mile to my west and then head west?

we both do we watched a storm clip the corner of our county last night. Hard to watch that nice tstorm in the distance taunting me.

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Now under a Severe Thunderstorm Warning. Thunder is growing louder and sun has gone away with numerous cumulonimbus clouds popping up.

Edit: Some nice wind gusts opened the front door, no rain yet.

Edit 2: Still no rain and the storm is refusing to drift south.

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Me too! Do you know how depressing it was last night to watch the only storm anywhere around here to devlop just a mile to my west and then head west?

Oh believe me I do! There was a massive cumulonimbus sitting just east of me and Hawksfan. It was taunting us haha.

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As of now, most cells in NC look to be stationary.

same in n ga. most storms are not really moving. and of course there is a doozy close, but not in, mby lol

looks like a dry day today unless we get some movement or development right overhead

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same in n ga. most storms are not really moving. and of course there is a doozy close, but not in, mby lol

looks like a dry day today unless we get some movement or development right overhead

They've got me surrounded.....AGAIN. Man it's been super frustrating so far the last 3 weeks of near misses.

post-644-0-30609400-1307644216.png

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Severe thunderstorm warning for the Hickory area.

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...

Alexander County in the Piedmont of North Carolina...

western Catawba County in the Piedmont of North Carolina...

eastern Caldwell County in western North Carolina...

southeastern Burke County in western North Carolina...

* until 400 PM EDT

* at 302 PM EDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a

severe thunderstorm capable of producing quarter size hail... and

damaging winds in excess of 60 mph. This storm was located near

Longview... or 3 miles southwest of Hickory... moving east at 5 mph.

Another severe storm was located 4 miles southeast of Kings Creek.

* Locations impacted include...

Ellendale...

Lake Hickory...

Hickory...

Bethlehem...

St. Stephens...

Conover... Newton and Claremont...

Beginning to finally see some convection pop into the piedmont area. Good timing on its part since it's only after 3pm now. We could potentially get Southern NC and Upstate SC on the action later today if this can keep up.

Catawba County, NC

Severe Thunderstorm

64 dBZ

Severe Hail: 70% Chance

Max Hail Size: 1.75"

Top: 41,000 ft.

VIL: 59 kg/m²

EDIT(3:35pm): Charlotte is in the process of getting slammed as I type, as well as northern Cleveland county. One lone shower has popped literally right on top of me and putting down some raindrops; your typical lone cloud shower type of deal. The cell from Mecklenburg appears as though it wants to migrate westward into my area and intensifying a bit as it does so. We'll see.

http://gwxmanblog.bl...orms-today.html

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Unbelievable. No rain since May 27th other than a few drops. Rain is on the east end of town and not mine - probably get +0.25. Happy for them, but frustrating business. Well, time to pull out the hose to water the garden again. Maybe we'll steal a shower yet. Storms have a very slow southern movement. Maybe since it is still early in the afternoon, the instability will be around for round two.

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