turtlehurricane Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I'm back in South Florida for about a week, the weather here is beautiful. Highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s, the sort of weather that makes people flock to this state. Gonna have to soak it all up before heading back to what looks like sub-zero temps in Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I'm back in South Florida for about a week, the weather here is beautiful. Highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s, the sort of weather that makes people flock to this state. Gonna have to soak it all up before heading back to what looks like sub-zero temps in Wisconsin. Enjoy your stay and Hoping the Packers beat the Dirty Birds this week-end. I would love to see a Bears vs Packers Championship game!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Enjoy your stay and Hoping the Packers beat the Dirty Birds this week-end. I would love to see a Bears vs Packers Championship game!! Packers fans annoy me to the extent that I hope they lose There are several reports of sleet in northern FL from the system that just came through, yet another occurrence of wintry weather in FL. Starting to become common in recent years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Packers fans annoy me to the extent that I hope they lose There are several reports of sleet in northern FL from the system that just came through, yet another occurrence of wintry weather in FL. Starting to become common in recent years. Yea, I saw the frozen precip reports and your right , the last few years it seems to be common place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Yea, I saw the frozen precip reports and your right , the last few years it seems to be common place. More of the S word in this AM's AFD from Jax. If it were to snow Friday AM it would make the 13th report of snow/sleet, within 100 miles of my Belleview location, since I moved here in 2005. Even the local Crackers do not care about it (or the seemingly endless cold weather) anymore. The day time sun is still warm most days but the nights here in North Florida are "almost" like a northern US winter now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 More of the S word in this AM's AFD from Jax. If it were to snow Friday AM it would make the 13th report of snow/sleet, within 100 miles of my Belleview location, since I moved here in 2005. Even the local Crackers do not care about it (or the seemingly endless cold weather) anymore. The day time sun is still warm most days but the nights here in North Florida are "almost" like a northern US winter now. Well I heard yesterday that every state except Florida has snow on the ground. Maybe enough could fall to make it all 50 states. Just so it stays North of me though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 53 °F here as of 11 am, pretty damn chilly by Florida standards! Gonna make for an awesome day of biking in the Everglades. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Well I heard yesterday that every state except Florida has snow on the ground. Maybe enough could fall to make it all 50 states. Just so it stays North of me though. I think it was also commented that on 2/12/2010 all 50 states had some snow cover. So you are not out of the woods yet. :-) I noticed Jax just dropped Marion County down to the teens for tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 53 °F here as of 11 am, pretty damn chilly by Florida standards! Gonna make for an awesome day of biking in the Everglades. Awesome because the cold blooded Gators might move too slowly to snag you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I think it was also commented that on 2/12/2010 all 50 states had some snow cover. So you are not out of the woods yet. :-) I noticed Jax just dropped Marion County down to the teens for tonight. Hmm.. I missed that last year that all 50 states had snow cover last year. It looks like the low around my neck of the woods may get down to 26 or so but the GFS brings some nice warm weather for the week-end into next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Just think warm thoughts. 4 and a half months till tropical season. Then again the way this winter is going they may push it back to July.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Just think warm thoughts. 4 and a half months till tropical season. Then again the way this winter is going they may push it back to July.. Yea, bring on Hurricane season, Let's hope we have a little more excitement this hurricane season then last year!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 Got down to a low of 27 here in Lakeland according to my weather station and it has stayed in the 50's all day. Looking forward to the Week-end and the start of the warmer weather it will bring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 Thought you guys may be interested in this from NWS JAX. http://www.srh.noaa....=61683&source=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 Thought you guys may be interested in this from NWS JAX. http://www.srh.noaa....=61683&source=0 That was an interesting read!!!, thanks!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 It looks like Monday will bring some needed rain for Florida and maybe even some stormy Weather for parts of Central and Southern Florida. Today's SPC 3 day outlook offers a glimmer of hope. ...SRN HALF OF FL PENINSULA... WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NWD THROUGH SRN FL MONDAY AS SURFACE RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS EWD AND SLY FLOW STRENGTHENS IN ADVANCE OF APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. LOW-MID 60S DEWPOINTS WILL ADVECT NWD INTO SRN FL CONTRIBUTING TO DESTABILIZATION...BUT INSTABILITY SHOULD REMAIN MARGINAL DUE TO WEAK MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. DEVELOPING ISENTROPIC LIFT AND WARM ADVECTION REGIME WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD CONVECTION AND THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF WARM FRONT. THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY REMAIN ELEVATED. HOWEVER...SURFACE BASED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN WARM SECTOR OVER SRN FL WHERE DIABATIC WARMING CAN DESTABILIZE THE BOUNDARY LAYER. STRONGER FLOW ALOFT ACCOMPANYING THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO 40+ KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR AND HODOGRAPHS WILL ALSO BE ENHANCED WHERE THE LLJ INTERSECTS THE WARM FRONT. THREAT WILL EXIST FOR A FEW SUPERCELLS AND BOWING SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS A COUPLE OF TORNADOES. UNCERTAINTIES REGARDING THE EXTENT OF DESTABILIZATION WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR PRECLUDES INTRODUCING MORE THAN 5% SEVERE PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME...BUT AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED. ..DIAL.. 01/15/2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 It's looking better. We'll have to see how things evolve tomorrow but at this point it's looking like a rain event instead of severe weather. Stay tuned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 It's looking better. We'll have to see how things evolve tomorrow but at this point it's looking like a rain event instead of severe weather. Stay tuned. Things looking up for some action on Monday from about Tampa south but the whole state has a shot of strong t-storms according to the SPC, todays outlook.. The Tampa AFD mentions the threat of Isolated Tornadoes tomorrow as well. DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0209 AM CST SUN JAN 16 2011 VALID 171200Z - 181200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE SRN HALF OF THE FL PENINSULA... CORRECTED FOR GENERAL THUNDER GRAPHIC ...SYNOPSIS... SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL REMAIN DOMINATED BY A BROAD TROUGH OVER THE ERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY AND CORRESPONDING UPSTREAM RIDGE OVER THE WRN THIRD. THE LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH NRN MEXICO AND EXTREME S TX WILL DEAMPLIFY AND SHEAR NEWD IN RESPONSE TO UPSTREAM IMPULSE DROPPING SEWD INTO WRN TX. LATTER IMPULSE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE GULF COASTAL AREA BEFORE REACHING FL MONDAY. WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NWD INTO THE SRN FL PENINSULA AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE. ...SRN HALF OF FL PENINSULA... INITIAL WEAKER IMPULSE WILL EJECT THROUGH COOL SECTOR OVER NRN FL EARLY MONDAY WITH ATTENDANT INCREASE IN ELEVATED CONVECTION. WARM FRONT WILL ADVANCE NWD THROUGH SRN FL AS ERN U.S. SURFACE RIDGE SHIFTS EWD AND SLY FLOW STRENGTHENS IN ADVANCE OF APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. LOW-MID 60S DEWPOINTS WILL ADVECT NWD INTO SRN FL CONTRIBUTING TO DESTABILIZATION. HOWEVER...MUCAPE WILL LIKELY REMAIN AOB 500 J/KG DUE TO WEAK MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...AND THIS MAY ULTIMATELY SERVE AS A LIMITING FACTOR FOR A MORE ROBUST SEVERE THREAT. INCREASING ISENTROPIC ASCENT WILL PROMOTE WIDESPREAD ELEVATED CONVECTION AND THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF WARM FRONT. SURFACE BASED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN WARM SECTOR WHERE MODEST DIABATIC WARMING AND HIGHER DEWPOINTS SHOULD RESULT IN A MORE UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER. STRONGER FLOW ALOFT /50 KT AT 500 MB/ ACCOMPANYING THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL RESULT IN 40+ KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR...AND HODOGRAPHS WILL ALSO BE ENHANCED WHERE THE LLJ INTERSECTS THE WARM FRONT. THREAT WILL EXIST FOR A FEW SURFACE BASED SUPERCELLS AND BOWING SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hypatia Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 tornado watches out for central and southern FL... decent helicity today, but rather limited instability. We'll see what happens... crossing my fingers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 tornado watches out for central and southern FL... decent helicity today, but rather limited instability. We'll see what happens... crossing my fingers. Exactly. Looks like a little bit too much moisture, and therefore very high cloud cover and zero solar insolation, may be the limiting factor today. Kinda like a typical El Nino severe weather setup, but in a Nina . It's raining pretty hard here in Miami, but apparantly nothing like Homestead right now: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 tornado watches out for central and southern FL... decent helicity today, but rather limited instability. We'll see what happens... crossing my fingers. Yep, until 7 PM Tornado Watch out for my area here in Central Florida. I have had about .50 inches of rain from this mornings round of storms. Hoping for more later today. WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 1213 PM EST MON JAN 17 2011 FLC015-027-049-055-071-081-105-115-180000- /O.CON.KTBW.TO.A.0006.000000T0000Z-110118T0000Z/ TORNADO WATCH 6 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 8 COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST FLORIDA CHARLOTTE LEE IN WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA DESOTO HARDEE HIGHLANDS MANATEE POLK SARASOTA THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ARCADIA...AVON PARK...BRADENTON... CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS...LAKELAND...PORT CHARLOTTE... PUNTA GORDA...SARASOTA...SEBRING...VENICE... WAUCHULA AND WINTER HAVEN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 tornado watches out for central and southern FL... decent helicity today, but rather limited instability. We'll see what happens... crossing my fingers. It would be nice if we could get some daytime heating this afternoon, but that doesn't appear likely here in Central Florida. Like you, I am crossing my fingers and have the video camera ready. :mapstorm: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hypatia Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Exactly. Looks like a little bit too much moisture, and therefore very high cloud cover and zero solar insolation, may be the limiting factor today. Kinda like a typical El Nino severe weather setup, but in a Nina . It's raining pretty hard here in Miami, but apparantly nothing like Homestead right now: It would be nice if we could get some daytime heating this afternoon, but that doesn't appear likely here in Central Florida. Like you, I am crossing my fingers and have the video camera ready. :mapstorm: Yeah, I hear ya. It seems so hard to get all the right ingredients at the right time for decent severe in central and southern Florida. Although this does remind me a little of the March 28 event last year with a confirmed EF-0 tornado in Melbourne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hypatia Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Cool. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 1242 PM EST MON JAN 17 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY IN FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...SHARPES...PORT CANAVERAL...MERRITT ISLAND...CAPE CANAVERAL...TITUSVILLE AIRPORT...ROCKLEDGE...PORT SAINT JOHN...PLAYALINDA BEACH...LONE CABBAGE FISH CAMP...COCOA BEACH...COCOA... SOUTHEASTERN ORANGE COUNTY IN FLORIDA... NORTHERN OSCEOLA COUNTY IN FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF HOLOPAW... * UNTIL 145 PM EST. * AT 1240 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HARMONY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO SUNTREE...VIERA...CANAVERAL GROVES...MERRITT ISLAND WILDLIFE REFUGE AND THE FLORIDA TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKER 220 AND 230. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A STRONG BUILDING ON THE LOWEST FLOOR...IN AN INTERIOR ROOM SUCH AS A BATHROOM OR CLOSET. KEEP AWAY FROM WINDOWS. GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY. EVACUATE MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS. ABANDON YOUR VEHICLE IF THE TORNADO IS NEARBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Yeah, I hear ya. It seems so hard to get all the right ingredients at the right time for decent severe in central and southern Florida. Although this does remind me a little of the March 28 event last year with a confirmed EF-0 tornado in Melbourne. Your right and the cool shelf waters off the coast of Florida hurts also. The weather around here has quieted down and it looks like a bust for severe weather for the Lakeland area the rest of today!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJW155 Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 Crazy ass clouds out there today. Everything swirling around and rainy. You can see why they issued a tornado watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hypatia Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Well, we didn't get much when the line went through Melbourne... just some gusty winds, nothing too intense. Got some pics of the shelf cloud though: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Well, we didn't get much when the line went through Melbourne... just some gusty winds, nothing too intense. Got some pics of the shelf cloud though: Same with my mom who lives just south of Rockledge on the river. I was on the phone with her just before that Meso came through, looking at L2 for signs of rotation at the surface, and I could not find any. There was good spin about 2k' up, but not much to be seen below that. She said it was just a heavy downpour with a little wind, but not much. Based on the radar from it, the worst looked to go over Pineda and Patrick Shore, so south of her and north of you. The bark from it though sure looked meaner than the bite though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Impressive line going through the Keys now but no rotation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kanc2001 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 could a met familiar with Orlando, FL WX give me some insight for friday afternoon regarding a golf tournament a friend of mine is playing in? thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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