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Florida Fall/Winter Weather


MJW155

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Jax AFD bumped up POPS to 60% for Sunday. Hope this pans out. Really need a good soaking. Since the end of September have only received 1.58.

Yea.. the Pops have been bumped up for the Tampa area as well. It will be interesting to see if some part of Northern Florida reports some snow/frozen precip overnight Sunday into Monday Morning.

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Yea.. the Pops have been bumped up for the Tampa area as well. It will be interesting to see if some part of Northern Florida reports some snow/frozen precip overnight Sunday into Monday Morning.

Here's what Jax had to say about that.

THERE WILL BE VERY COLD AIR COINCIDING WITH WRAP-AROUND CLOUDINESS

SUN NIGHT OVER AT LEAST OUR SE GA ZONES. AFTER LOOKING AT MODEL

SOUNDINGS...IT APPEARS THE DEPTH OF THE MOISTURE WILL BE VERY

SHALLOW WITH BONE DRY AIR ABOVE AND FAIRLY DRY AIR BELOW THE MOIST

LAYER. IN ADDITION...LIFT SHOULD BE VERY MINIMAL. SO...AT THIS

POINT NOT EXPECTING ANY FROZEN PRECIP. HOWEVER...HAVE INCLUDED

SOME MIXED PRECIP OVER THE COASTAL WATERS SUN NIGHT AND EARLY MON

WHERE MOISTURE WILL BE DEEPER AND LOWER ATMOSPHERE WILL BE A BIT

MORE UNSTABLE.

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Umm.. yes.. you see that's why I moved to Florida, for warmth not cold .:rolleyes:

Oh believe me I get the whole moving down to Florida thing. I moved here from NJ 2 years ago. But after dealing w/ 90 degree weather from March to November, I welcome the cool spells. They never last more than a few days and you can still do outdoor activities.

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Tonight will be an interesting freeze event to unfold, but watch out for tomorrow night. IMHO Tuesday could be the more damaging of the two nights.

No doubt outlying areas are going under the freezing mark tonight but these advective type freezes most times have a hard time dropping MCO to under 32. I don't believe we set a record tonight in Orlando. Record is 28. Tuesday night however should be a different story. Record is 33 and as it looks now I believe MCO will get to at least 30.

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Oh believe me I get the whole moving down to Florida thing. I moved here from NJ 2 years ago. But after dealing w/ 90 degree weather from March to November, I welcome the cool spells. They never last more than a few days and you can still do outdoor activities.

I know what you mean and I used to feel the same way but as the years have gone by I can't handle the cold at all.. In short I have become a cold weather wimp.:snowman:

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Tonight will be an interesting freeze event to unfold, but watch out for tomorrow night. IMHO Tuesday could be the more damaging of the two nights.

No doubt outlying areas are going under the freezing mark tonight but these advective type freezes most times have a hard time dropping MCO to under 32. I don't believe we set a record tonight in Orlando. Record is 28. Tuesday night however should be a different story. Record is 33 and as it looks now I believe MCO will get to at least 30.

I think your right Tuesday night looks like a Radiational Cooling event and indeed the forecast low for Tuesday night in Lakeland is the Lower 20's compared to the mid 20's tonight.

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I know what you mean and I used to feel the same way but as the years have gone by I can't handle the cold at all.. In short I have become a cold weather wimp.:snowman:

You are dealing with much colder wx than SF. Most of us get that :thumbsup: Anyway, this is my second fall / winter here and I am already getting thinner blood. I like cool shots as well, but not ones that deep six my Christmas Palms. :thumbsdown: The upper / mid 20's below for me suck. Give me the mid to upper 40's for lows and upper 60's for highs and that is the perfect cool shot.

coldshot.jpg

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Really won't know how bad this is until its over :)

Find this interesting:

Event date: Freeze of February 2-9, 1835

Summary of event: According to Warren Johnson, Meteorologist In Charge in 1958, the freeze of

1835 was the most severe of all historically significant freezes in the state of Florida. During this

freeze, the St. Johns River was frozen, “several rods from the shore,” and people were able to walk a

distance from the shore. Many citrus and other fruit trees were killed to the ground, never to grow

again, when temperatures reached as low as 1ºF in Charleston and 8ºF in Jacksonville. A Florida

gentleman told a newspaper that the state, “appeared as desolate as if a fire had swept over it,” after

the severe freeze of that winter season. According to Florida Citrus Mutual, this freeze was so

severe that it is considered an impact freeze. This indicates that the freeze, “annihilate[d] entire

groves across the state, killing both mature and young citrus trees, while causing a profound

economic impact on the citrus industry and… prompting growers to replant farther south.” This

freeze ended attempts to grow citrus in southern Georgia, southeast South Carolina, and northern

Florida.

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Does anyone have the record low in Miami?

here are some 7am obs:

..SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE KEYS

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS

FORT MYERS CLEAR 35 21 56 N12 30.14R WCI 27

SW REGIONAL AP CLEAR 34 21 59 N9G17 30.14R WCI 27

NAPLES CLEAR 37 25 61 N8 30.12R WCI 31

MIAMI CLEAR 36 23 59 NW10G16 30.10R WCI 28

MIAMI BEACH NOT AVBL

KEY LARGO NOT AVBL

MARATHON CLEAR 44 33 65 N20G28 30.10R WCI 36

BOCA CHICA NAS MOCLDY 51 42 71 N20 30.09R

KEY WEST INTL CLOUDY 50 43 77 N15G23 30.10R WCI 45

WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS

CRESTVIEW CLEAR 21 9 59 N3 30.28R

DESTIN CLEAR 28 9 44 N15G21 30.25R WCI 16

DUKE FIELD CLEAR 21 8 57 N5 30.26R WCI 15

MARY ESTHER CLEAR 24 10 55 N12 30.25R WCI 13

MILTON CLEAR 28 7 41 N3 30.27R

WHTNG S FIELD SUNNY 24 8 50 N5 30.27R WCI 18

PENSACOLA CLEAR 26 9 48 N7 30.26R WCI 18

NAS PENSACOLA CLEAR 27 9 46 N5 30.27R WCI 22

VALPARAISO CLEAR 24 7 47 N12 30.26 WCI 13

NORTH FLORIDA

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS

MARIANNA CLEAR 25 9 50 NW6 30.24R WCI 18

TALLAHASSEE CLEAR 26 8 46 NW10 30.22R WCI 16

PERRY N/A 23 11 60 NW5 30.20S WCI 17

CROSS CITY N/A 25 10 53 N6 30.20R WCI 18

GAINESVILLE CLEAR 25 11 55 NW8 30.16R WCI 16

MAYPORT NAS PTCLDY 26 12 55 W9 30.15R WCI 17

JACKSONVILLE CLEAR 22 13 68 W8 30.15R WCI 12

JAX NAS CLEAR 25 11 55 NW9 30.16R WCI 15

JAX CRAIG CLEAR 24 11 57 NW14 30.15R WCI 12

JAX CECIL NOT AVBL

ST AUGUSTINE CLEAR 26 13 57 NW10 30.15R WCI 16

STATION/POSITION TEMP WIND PRES WAVE SWELL

AIR SEA DIR/SP/G HT/PER HT/PER

(F) (DEG/KT/KT) (MB) (FT/S) (FT/S)

FERNANDINA 25 48 310/ 13/ 18 1020.6R

KEATON BEACH 25 340/ 6/ 10 1023.0S

MAYPORT NOT AVBL

31.4N 80.9W 29 320/ 21/ 27 1019.7R 5/ 5

30.0N 80.5W 40 71 310/ 21/ 27 1018.4R

ST AUGUSTINE 27 53 320/ 9/ 11 1020.6R

FLZ040-043>046-052-053-057-058-063-141400-

CENTRAL FLORIDA

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS

OCALA CLEAR 25 10 54 NW5 30.18R WCI 19

THE VILLAGES N/A 27 14 59 NW6 30.17R WCI 20

LEESBURG CLEAR 28 12 51 NW10G17 30.17R WCI 19

SANFORD CLEAR 27 13 55 NW12 30.15R WCI 17

ORLANDO EXEC CLEAR 29 11 47 NW10G21 30.15R WCI 20

ORLANDO INTL CLEAR 30 14 51 NW15 30.15R WCI 19

KISSIMMEE CLEAR 28 14 54 NW12 30.16R WCI 18

WINTER HAVEN CLEAR 29 13 51 NW12 30.17R WCI 19

LAKELAND CLEAR 27 12 54 N5 30.15R WCI 21

BARTOW CLEAR 28 12 50 NW9 30.17R WCI 20

OKEECHOBEE CLEAR 30 19 64 NW8 30.14R WCI 23

FLZ041-047-054-059-064-141400-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS

ORMOND BEACH CLEAR 27 12 54 NW14 30.15R WCI 15

DAYTONA BEACH PTCLDY 26 12 55 NW8 30.14R WCI 18

JFK SPACE CTR PTCLDY 28 19 69 NW9 30.13R WCI 20

TITUSVILLE CLEAR 27 14 59 NW16 30.13R WCI 14

CAPE CANAVERAL CLEAR 30 16 55 NW12G18 30.13R WCI 20

PATRICK AFB CLEAR 31 17 55 NW18G26 30.13R WCI 19

MELBOURNE CLEAR 30 14 51 NW13 30.14R WCI 20

VERO BEACH CLEAR 30 17 58 NW10 30.12R WCI 21

FT PIERCE SUNNY 30 19 63 NW12 30.12R WCI 20

STATION/POSITION TEMP WIND PRES WAVE SWELL

AIR SEA DIR/SP/G HT/PER HT/PER

(F) (DEG/KT/KT) (MB) (FT/S) (FT/S)

28.5N 80.2W 42 72 300/ 21/ 27 1019.1R 9/ 7

28.9N 78.5W 53 75 330/ 23/ 29 1015.0R 12/ 9 8/ 9

FLZ042-048>051-055-056-060-061-141400-

WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS

CRYSTAL RIVER SUNNY 27 12 54 VRB6 30.18R WCI 20

INVERNESS FAIR 29 15 56 N6 30.19R WCI 23

BROOKSVILLE CLEAR 28 12 51 N8 30.20R WCI 20

CLEARWATER CLEAR 35 23 61 N14G21 30.17R WCI 26

TAMPA INTL CLEAR 33 18 53 N9 30.18R WCI 25

TAMPA EXEC CLEAR 32 19 59 N8 30.19R WCI 25

PLANT CITY CLEAR 30 14 51 N8 30.19R WCI 23

MACDILL AFB CLEAR 33 20 59 N7 30.18R WCI 27

PETER O KNIGHT CLEAR 34 18 51 N9G17 30.18R WCI 26

ST PETERSBURG CLEAR 39 27 62 N10 30.16R WCI 32

SARASOTA CLEAR 36 26 67 NE6 30.15R WCI 31

STATION/POSITION TEMP WIND PRES WAVE SWELL

AIR SEA DIR/SP/G HT/PER HT/PER

(F) (DEG/KT/KT) (MB) (FT/S) (FT/S)

CEDAR KEY 28 350/ 9/ 12 1022.2R

28.5N 84.5W 43 65 350/ 17/ 25 1022.7R 8/ 7

27.3N 84.2W 71 N/A 10/ 8 2/11

VENICE 35 54 30/ 8/ 11 1021.0R

.RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE SET AT JACKSONVILLE

UPDATED

A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF 20 DEGREES WAS SET AT JACKSONVILLE THIS

MORNING AT 717 AM. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 24 SET IN 1960.

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You are dealing with much colder wx than SF. Most of us get that :thumbsup: Anyway, this is my second fall / winter here and I am already getting thinner blood. I like cool shots as well, but not ones that deep six my Christmas Palms. :thumbsdown: The upper / mid 20's below for me suck. Give me the mid to upper 40's for lows and upper 60's for highs and that is the perfect cool shot.

coldshot.jpg

Yes, that's about the range of cool shots I can handle upper 40's for lows and the 60's for highs anything lower and I start bitching.:scooter:

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