FallsLake Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 My sister is taking her kids and one of mine down to Orlando next Wednesday. Looks to be cool highs upper 50s / lower 60s lowes in the 30s. Tha's cold if you outside all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Ohhhhhh yeah baby ...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Ohhhhhh yeah baby ...... I am ready for June myself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJW155 Posted December 4, 2010 Author Share Posted December 4, 2010 LOL... yea when I first moved down here I used to laugh at the locals all dressed up like it was Alaska but the longer you live down here, you will find in time you will do the same thing. I doubt it. This will be my 3rd winter down here. The cold never bothered me, even up north. I rarely wore a jacket unless I was going to be outside for more that 10 minutes or if it was rainy/snowy. But if I was going to my house to my car to work, I didn't use a jacket even if it was 10 degrees. I would have a sweater or sweatshirt on but that's about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonathanBelles Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Heading for a couple hard freezes here in Tally. I'm thinking it might get into the teens with this arctic blast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 I am ready for June myself I hear ya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclonicjunkie Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 You FL guys have like a subforum inside a subforum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 I hear ya. meh, you have three seasons up there in ocala land. No love for the southern crew who look forward to some temps that almost actually count as cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 meh, you have three seasons up there in ocala land. No love for the southern crew who look forward to some temps that almost actually count as cold? Then there is this: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Then there is this: NICE oh, hey Jerry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Check out this discussion tonight out of Melbourne! Who says mets don't eat shrooms on the job Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Mid 90s....i'm going on vacation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 meh, you have three seasons up there in ocala land. No love for the southern crew who look forward to some temps that almost actually count as cold? Yeah, I'm a wimp when it comes to cold weather. Maybe I should move back to south Florida. It's weird because I moved here from Cleveland in 88 and the cold never bothered me. For what ever reason though the last few years it has. Oh well only 4 more months to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Looks like the first freeze of the season for the Lakeland area tomorrow night and/or Tuesday Night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Looks like the first freeze of the season for the Lakeland area tomorrow night and/or Tuesday Night. Going to be an interesting night, I think we are going to set up for a slightly better freezing conditions Tuesday night but nevertheless some areas will get to the freezing mark tonight. MLB NWS is going for 32 at MCO tonight. I don't think we get to freezing tonight but I think we at least make a run at the record and end up somewhere between 34-36 in the metro. Record is 34 at MCO for tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ocala Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Impressive cold front. Even with the wind blowing all night it still made it to 30. Usually the wind blowing mix's the air and temps rise. Calling for lower 20's here tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 12Z Euro is very cold for Florida.. 2 meter temps at the 240 hour period had high temps no better than 50 near Miami. 850 mb temps as low as -4 near west palm beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 HPC: 12Z MODELS: DETERMINISTIC 12Z/06 GUIDANCE IS STILL ON TRACK IN MOVING A WEAKENING STORM ACROSS THE UPPER MS VLY/GREAT LAKES THU-SAT....AND WITH DEVELOPING A NEW MAJOR ERN CONUS STORM NEXT WEEKEND. BY SUN DAY 6...THE GFS IS ON THE FAST SIDE OF THE ENVELOPE OF SOLUTIONS WHILE THE UKMET IS ON THE SLOW SIDE. ECMWF WAS FARTHER N WITH THE PRIMARY LOW MOVING INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION NEXT WEEKEND AND NOT QUITE AS FAR E AS THE GFS WITH THE SECONDARY CENTER DEVELOPING DAY 6 VICINITY OF VA/NC. I WILL NUDGE THE DAY 6 FINAL LOW POSITION JUST A TAD TO THE E OVER KY. THIS SYS WILL BE A MAJOR WEATHER PRODUCER AS SYNOPTIC HEAVY SNOWFALL NEXT WEEKEND IN THE GREAT LAKES LAKES REGION GIVES WAY TO MORE EFFECT SN BY DAY 7. FARTHER S...SN MAY CHANGE TO RAIN FROM THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS TO SE NEW ENG BEFORE QUICKLY CHANGING BACK TO SN OVER THE APPALACHIANS/NY/INTERIOR NEW ENG AS THE SYS MOVES FROM THE OH VLY INTO NY STATE. WHILE SOME HEAVY SN IS EXPECTED TO THE LEFT OF THE STORM TRACK...PERHAPS EVEN MORE IMPORTANT WILL BE THE DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS THAT WILL HOWL IN ON NORTHWESTERLY WINDS E OF THE MS RIVER BEHIND THE STORM. FURTHERMORE THERE IS A RISK OF SOME NEAR RECORD LOW TEMPS DAMAGING CITRUS CROPS IN FL EARLY NEXT WEEK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 What sort of setup is needed for gulf effect snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Damn.. I am not liking the trend of the Models for the cold shot for early next week.. I hope things change between now and then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Damn.. I am not liking the trend of the Models for the cold shot for early next week.. I hope things change between now and then I just planted a beautiful Christmas Palm in August. Cover it up time the next two nights. Xmas Palms croke in the low 30's Besides THAT, I am lovin it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 What sort of setup is needed for gulf effect snow? God has to be smiling. GES requires some strong WNW/W winds, coupled with a good bit of moisture in the atmosphere, and plenty of cold before it, with a cold 850 and 500 mb in front and trailing. When GES happens, we're usually on the far back edge of a deep cutting Low with a weak, cool High building from the plains into the Gulf/Alabama region, and then its warm within 36 hours. Just my observations, since it happens so rarely - just based on what I've watched on a few occasions over the years (no science to support this). BTW - Looks like (if you take the 18Z GFS with any seriousness) we'll be warming for Christmas. That 18Z run (of the GFS) in itself indicates snow from the Gulf! (since it's the GFS at 360, after all). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaguars Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 God has to be smiling. GES requires some strong WNW/W winds, coupled with a good bit of moisture in the atmosphere, and plenty of cold before it, with a cold 850 and 500 mb in front and trailing. When GES happens, we're usually on the far back edge of a deep cutting Low with a weak, cool High building from the plains into the Gulf/Alabama region, and then its warm within 36 hours. Just my observations, since it happens so rarely - just based on what I've watched on a few occasions over the years (no science to support this). BTW - Looks like (if you take the 18Z GFS with any seriousness) we'll be warming for Christmas. That 18Z run (of the GFS) in itself indicates snow from the Gulf! (since it's the GFS at 360, after all). Looks like the 0z GFS follow suit in the longer term trying to make the pattern more zonal. But with the NAO still pretty solid negative along with AO possibly heading in the same direction this may be an attempt to move back towards climatology. I'll wait for the 12z tomorrow to see, 12z always more reliable for longer term IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Jax throws the 5 letter S word in their AM AFD WEDNESDAY...FAST MOVING SHORTWAVE ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE MID/UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE MID/UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS AND WILL MAKE FOR A VERY COLD DAY WITHOUT FULL INSOLATION...FOR NOW HAVE GONE WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES...BUT MAY BE MOSTLY CLOUDY FOR A PORTION OF THE DAY. THIS WILL KEEP MAX TEMPS DOWN INTO THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S ACRS THE REGION. MOISTURE APPEARS TO REMAIN MAINLY IN THE MID/UPPER LEVELS AND NO MEASURABLE PCPN IS EXPECTED...BUT A FEW POCKETS OF ISOLD SLEET IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...STILL A VERY LOW CONFIDENCE EVENT...IF IT HAPPENS AT ALL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 70-90 knot 500 mb winds with that big storm on the GFS... Could be a severe weather outbreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flwxwatcher45 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 70-90 knot 500 mb winds with that big storm on the GFS... Could be a severe weather outbreak. I was about to ask about the prospects of severe weather for this week-ends storm. Keep us informed about severe weather and how cold it mat get next week!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Tonight will be the worst night of this event. I expect temps to be a good 2-4 degrees colder all across the I-4 corrider. If we can get these winds to die off we may even get a freeze in the metro. 35 for an overnight low at MCO, 47 as of midday unnder sunny skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Anyone seen the 12z GFS ... Drops Miami to 30F... That would be devastating for the whole state. Last year you guys got crushed by cold and it looks possible again, which sucks because i like Florida strawberries that come out around the new year. http://www.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KMIA.html Miami was 44F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 The temps in the Jacksonville, namely along the St. Johns, didn't bottom out nearly as far as thought. NAS JAX just sat at 32, which means locations on the east side of the river and within a mile of it were in the mid 30s. The hard freeze was avoided, but another chance tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Calderon- What are your thoughts on the GFS? Out to lunch or possible? Any analog dates that come to mind? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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