TheTrials Posted June 15, 2011 Share Posted June 15, 2011 Newark could hit 100 for all I care as long as the weather here remains as it was today. Low 80s and a nice breeze. Seriously, let them roast and cough from the smog. And I see John posting, I hope he knows I a was just playing, I should have put a j/k or smiley up, he is about to rip me a new one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 15, 2011 Share Posted June 15, 2011 Where did I say anything about my location? I said "Newark hit 88 in the last hour, +8 for the day" Your obnoxious posts have taken away your reading comprehension ability apparently Funny you point out the temps, and not the snow totals...LOL, I am just playing around buddy, you know that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted June 15, 2011 Share Posted June 15, 2011 Seriously, let them roast and cough from the smog. And I see John posting, I hope he knows I a was just playing, I should have put a j/k or smiley up, he is about to rip me a new one. He'll probably post a 200 hour prog of a heatwave to piss us off. And watch it verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 15, 2011 Share Posted June 15, 2011 He'll probably post a 200 hour prog of a heatwave to piss us off. And watch it verify. Seriously, he is that kid in the class that always had good luck. He never seems to fail, well, except for 1/27, he got that all wrong, but he was gracious enough to admit it. That's why we love him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted June 15, 2011 Share Posted June 15, 2011 Funny you point out the temps, and not the snow totals...LOL, I am just playing around buddy, you know that. He never said that 88 referred to him thats true. He actually hit 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 15, 2011 Share Posted June 15, 2011 He never said that 88 referred to him thats true. He actually hit 90. I hope he takes his wrath out on you as much as me.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 15, 2011 Author Share Posted June 15, 2011 Seriously, let them roast and cough from the smog. And I see John posting, I hope he knows I a was just playing, I should have put a j/k or smiley up, he is about to rip me a new one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted June 15, 2011 Share Posted June 15, 2011 I hope he takes his wrath out on you as much as me.... Earthlight dreams of making love to caliente Latina women during heatwaves while playing "feeling hot hot hot," in the background. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 15, 2011 Author Share Posted June 15, 2011 Funny you point out the temps, and not the snow totals...LOL, I am just playing around buddy, you know that. Can't even lie, my snow totals have seemed high but it's honest luck. People around me have reported similar stuff...but I'm not complaining. We went through years of hell in my area where we got assed in every single event known to man kind from 06-09 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 15, 2011 Author Share Posted June 15, 2011 He never said that 88 referred to him thats true. He actually hit 90. Trust me, if I hit 90 you would have heard from me before now posting my daily and monthly departures and describing how the heat is overperforming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted June 15, 2011 Share Posted June 15, 2011 Trust me, if I hit 90 you would have heard from me before now posting my daily and monthly departures and describing how the heat is overperforming. I have no doubt lol. Seriously though NJ seems to be the place to be for weather extremes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted June 15, 2011 Share Posted June 15, 2011 Earthlight's hood with Mt Zucker in the background: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 15, 2011 Share Posted June 15, 2011 Earthlight dreams of making love to caliente Latina women during heatwaves while playing "feeling hot hot hot," in the background. one of earthlights heat parties at the spa. Check out his girlfriend in the orange shirt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 15, 2011 Share Posted June 15, 2011 Earthlight's hood with Mt Zucker in the background: where is the vegetable garden? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 15, 2011 Author Share Posted June 15, 2011 18z GFS is more amplified with the ridge and slower with the trough over the Central US..gives us a more extended period of heat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 Strongly agree..made a post about this yesterday. I do think the ridge may end up a bit father north though...so the severe threat may manifest itself over new England. Yeah where the ridge positions itself is always a question, although I think it'll be further south than the early June heat spell considering we've got a -NAO/AO signal now. That should allow the ring of fire convective zone to threaten the Lakes southeastward to the Mid atlantic and SNE rather than NNE/Quebec like last time. Also agree mid next week could get pretty toasty with near +20c 850's. Front looks to wash out via the strengthening West Atlantic ridge, a player which I believe will be an omnipresent factor much of this summer. Cool/troughiness in the Mid-west/Lakes with a ridge centered in the SW US/Southern Plains and off the SE US coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderdude Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 Yeah where the ridge positions itself is always a question, although I think it'll be further south than the early June heat spell considering we've got a -NAO/AO signal now. That should allow the ring of fire convective zone to threaten the Lakes southeastward to the Mid atlantic and SNE rather than NNE/Quebec like last time. Also agree mid next week could get pretty toasty with near +20c 850's. Front looks to wash out via the strengthening West Atlantic ridge, a player which I believe will be an omnipresent factor much of this summer. Cool/troughiness in the Mid-west/Lakes with a ridge centered in the SW US/Southern Plains and off the SE US coast. That would be good news. Thats would be my ideal pattern with warm humid air and threat for thunderstorms but not too hot though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 16, 2011 Author Share Posted June 16, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 16, 2011 Author Share Posted June 16, 2011 Crazy changes since last nights run--the GFS has slowed the system over the Central US quite dramatically, so the ridge is building in with a west-southwesterly flow at the surface and aloft. Despite the H5 heights being lower the run is drier and warmer because of that. Continues afterward.. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/AVN_12z/f156.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 Earthlight's hood with Mt Zucker in the background: :lol: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 Earthlight's hood with Mt Zucker in the background: Lmao, win! your missing his garden though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted June 16, 2011 Share Posted June 16, 2011 Lmao, win! your missing his garden though. I think I can see Nor'easter's location in between with the fog belt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderdude Posted June 17, 2011 Share Posted June 17, 2011 00z NAM is showing another slap on the area with a backdoor cold front. I hate this model and ruins everything with warmth and thunderstorms. Death to the NAM I wish this model go bye bye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 17, 2011 Share Posted June 17, 2011 Lmao, win! your missing his garden though. Well the deer have eaten a few plants in the past week, so that may be the missing chunk. Most of the garden's doing great, however, except for a few random things that weren't inside the big protective fence. I've probably harvested close to a pound of arugula/baby spinach/chard/lettuce as a salad mix in the last week, which has been absolutely delicious. I have one Japanese eggplant almost ready to eat, and dozens of tomatoes on the vines. Zucchini looks as if it's about to flower as well, and even the melons are doing OK. A warm spell next week would be great news for my veggies. BRING IT ON! Still 70.1/60 right now, mild night after a balmy high temperature of 83.9F. I'm using the Tarrytown station which runs a bit warmer since Wunderground's closer station is down, but I figure it's still a decent approximation. I work in Tarrytown so spend 1/3 of the day there anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 17, 2011 Author Share Posted June 17, 2011 Man the deer ate my plants too. Total horse ****. I planted the tulips so long ago, and the second they came up they ate them. I was so pissed. Not kidding either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderdude Posted June 17, 2011 Share Posted June 17, 2011 Well the deer have eaten a few plants in the past week, so that may be the missing chunk. Most of the garden's doing great, however, except for a few random things that weren't inside the big protective fence. I've probably harvested close to a pound of arugula/baby spinach/chard/lettuce as a salad mix in the last week, which has been absolutely delicious. I have one Japanese eggplant almost ready to eat, and dozens of tomatoes on the vines. Zucchini looks as if it's about to flower as well, and even the melons are doing OK. A warm spell next week would be great news for my veggies. BRING IT ON! Still 70.1/60 right now, mild night after a balmy high temperature of 83.9F. I'm using the Tarrytown station which runs a bit warmer since Wunderground's closer station is down, but I figure it's still a decent approximation. I work in Tarrytown so spend 1/3 of the day there anyway. I hate to break to you all it may not happen after all if you look at the 00z NAM but on the other hand the NAM tends to have its cold back door bias. It has a back door front going all the way down to DC which is insane I don't believe it will go all down there. It has 850 9 C over us by Monday which could mean 60's instead of 80's and 90's and where wants bring High from Northeast bring down the chill and the E/NE flow over us with possible clouds and light rain/drizzle. Lets hope its wrong and that won't be our weather pattern. The 18z GFS is showing something completely different though. I am not sure what the Euro model because I can't get any access to it. For the sake for you all that is growing plants lets really hope that the NAM is showing its usually cold bias with the back door front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 17, 2011 Share Posted June 17, 2011 I hate to break to you all it may not happen after all if you look at the 00z NAM but on the other hand the NAM tends to have its cold back door bias. It has a back door front going all the way down to DC which is insane I don't believe it will go all down there. It has 850 9 C over us by Monday which could mean 60's instead of 80's and 90's and where wants bring High from Northeast bring down the chill and the E/NE flow over us with possible clouds and light rain/drizzle. Lets hope its wrong and that won't be our weather pattern. The 18z GFS is showing something completely different though. I am not sure what the Euro model because I can't get any access to it. For the sake for you all that is growing plants lets really hope that the NAM is showing its usually cold bias with the back door front. 12z ECM is pretty warm, 850s around 17C Thursday and 14C Wednesday...widespread upper 80s and low 90s: We have a pesky trough over the Canadian Maritimes to backdoor fronts could be an issue, although it will certainly get very warm when winds turn WSW ahead of the cold front. 18z GFS does have clouds/showers for most of the weekend and into Monday, which may cause temperatures to be lower than forecast, but we should warm sector after that. 18z GFS is much warmer than the 12z ECM for Wednesday: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderdude Posted June 17, 2011 Share Posted June 17, 2011 12z ECM is pretty warm, 850s around 17C Thursday and 14C Wednesday...widespread upper 80s and low 90s: We have a pesky trough over the Canadian Maritimes to backdoor fronts could be an issue, although it will certainly get very warm when winds turn WSW ahead of the cold front. 18z GFS does have clouds/showers for most of the weekend and into Monday, which may cause temperatures to be lower than forecast, but we should warm sector after that. 18z GFS is much warmer than the 12z ECM for Wednesday: The NAM goes more dramtic about it than any other model and has it going all down to DC and has the 850's of 9 C over us on Monday which would mean 60's with clouds and drizzle/light rain with E/NE flow. Now the 00z GFS is coming and is showing something different and showing more of a warm front coming in for Monday and Tuesday and keeping 850's above 10 C over us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 17, 2011 Author Share Posted June 17, 2011 I hate to break to you all it may not happen after all if you look at the 00z NAM but on the other hand the NAM tends to have its cold back door bias. It has a back door front going all the way down to DC which is insane I don't believe it will go all down there. It has 850 9 C over us by Monday which could mean 60's instead of 80's and 90's and where wants bring High from Northeast bring down the chill and the E/NE flow over us with possible clouds and light rain/drizzle. the nam only goes out to 84 hours. the heat is not forecast to occur until 138 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderdude Posted June 17, 2011 Share Posted June 17, 2011 the nam only goes out to 84 hours. the heat is not forecast to occur until 138 hours. I would like to get some good thunderstorm chances around that time period along with little bit of heat that would fuel it. With a back door front and with a trough hanging in that would ruin everything bring a crappy pattern for us where it would cool damp 60's for us and possibly even a Noreaster I am fearing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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