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June likely to come in with a summer-like scorch


earthlight

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SPC WRF and SREF just pummel New York State, Western Southern New England and Northeast PA with severe weather today. I'd have to say I may support a moderate risk in that area if I were SPC given the wind fields and effective shear parameters that are juxtaposed with very supportive instability and an area of noticeable height falls. Damaging winds may be widespread there.

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It's so awesome outside right now...just intense. Unfortunately I'm at work at the peak heating...but I'll try to peak outside to see exactly how bad it gets. Right now it's all about the pool.

Everything from the north and everything from the west will not get to NE NJ in time to ruin today's potential high temperature in your area. 94 at EWR at 11? haha

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SPC WRF and SREF just pummel New York State, Western Southern New England and Northeast PA with severe weather today. I'd have to say I may support a moderate risk in that area if I were SPC given the wind fields and effective shear parameters that are juxtaposed with very supportive instability and an area of noticeable height falls. Damaging winds may be widespread there.

Good call.

mcd1152.gif

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Can someone explain why the Philly area always tends to be in excessive heat warnings while the rest of the area is in a heat advisory despite similar heat index values? I would think the EHW would be more severe than a plain ole heat advisory

They give excuses like alot of people in philly don't have a/c and are elderly. Maybe philly can't stand the heat, however philly airport and Newark airpot always seem to be the hot spot more than the rest of the area.

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Very impressive wording from SPC regarding the NE box; unfortunately, excepting a true derecho, the NYC area will see little action from this (Springfield Mass on the other hand...) interesting the current box excludes some of the best capes and includes Maine, it also excludes much of their earlier meso discussion region

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6/16 to 6/18 look in the toity with east winds, moderate rain and 58-62 degree temps for Philly and points N and E. Punishment incoming late next week. Any more Sonoran torches look remote for several weeks, this may be the best of it, and it may be downhill summer from here on out. 2000, 1996 and 2009 crap incoming for several weeks ?????

Don't be saying that I would scream if this were to happen. I would take another summer of 2000 and 2009 with noreasters in the summer.

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6/16 to 6/18 look in the toity with east winds, moderate rain and 58-62 degree temps for Philly and points N and E. Punishment incoming late next week. Any more Sonoran torches look remote for several weeks, this may be the best of it, and it may be downhill summer from here on out. 2000, 1996 and 2009 crap incoming for several weeks ?????

We still haven't leafed out here in the city so your call about that was spot on.

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We still haven't leafed out here in the city so your call about that was spot on.

Yes and those highs in the upper 50's you mention...mmmm, are you getting that from your personal model? the models I'm looking at depict above normal highs continuing with little rain (except for maybe a two day break) in the long range...trust me, I'm old, Sonoran heat does not continue to just build and build all summer and then dissipate come fall, it HAS to advect out ...that's how the physics of this particular planet's atmosphere works

edit: not responding to you Pazzo but to Mikehobbyist

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