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June likely to come in with a summer-like scorch


earthlight

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Started at 7am and just finished. Trimmed and cut lawns. It was hot, but it is what we do.

it actually wasnt that bad. I thought last weeks heat was worse because we didnt get used to it yet...a week later not bad, however I think tomorrow will be worse, it does help that the grass has slowed dramatically so we get done waaaaaaaaay quicker this week

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that line of severe storms in the catskills is really cranking, not sure with the movement but if it holds together it might hit conneticut/long island.....any thoughts on this line?

They have organized into a line now, I think eastern L.I. has a chance at it, but with the storms below severe limits.

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Pretty impressive differential between here and urban locations right now. I've dropped like a rock down to 78.1F, calm winds. My high was 95.1.

I need to break 95.8F tomorrow in order to surpass my highest temp for the June 2008 heat wave 6th-10th. I think we can do it but we'll see. It's always tougher to get the extreme heat numbers in the less urbanized suburbs. Newark and the other major airports should have little problem approaching and maybe hitting 100F tomorrow.

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Pretty impressive differential between here and urban locations right now. I've dropped like a rock down to 78.1F, calm winds. My high was 95.1.

I need to break 95.8F tomorrow in order to surpass my highest temp for the June 2008 heat wave 6th-10th. I think we can do it but we'll see. It's always tougher to get the extreme heat numbers in the less urbanized suburbs. Newark and the other major airports should have little problem approaching and maybe hitting 100F tomorrow.

I think the 1999 heatwave was worse (and the summer too overall)..... today's record at JFK is 96 from 1999.

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Regarding severe weather...tomorrow looks interesting. It's probably going to be a situation where a severe MCS or derecho type system tries to move southward towards the higher instability. The problem is that the 0-6km and effective shear and wind fields are greatly lacking until later in the period/overnight. It will be interesting to see if the system can ride south along the southern periphery of the stronger/more favorable shear.

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00z NAM got warmer at H850 by the way..and the surface temperatures responded. With the earlier runs showing 99 F on the MOS for EWR...tonights 00z run should probably show that if not 100.

It's gotten progressively warmer since the 12z run too...which was way too fast with the pre-frontal thermal boundary.

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Regarding severe weather...tomorrow looks interesting. It's probably going to be a situation where a severe MCS or derecho type system tries to move southward towards the higher instability. The problem is that the 0-6km and effective shear and wind fields are greatly lacking until later in the period/overnight. It will be interesting to see if the system can ride south along the southern periphery of the stronger/more favorable shear.

I think SNY and NNJ have the best chance later tomorrow with the better dynamics and greater lift. I would think these areas get at least one good line of storms as the southern fringe of the trough with the associated minimal shear encroaches on the aforementioned locations. We shall see what fires up later tomorrow, and as you said the more favorable conditions will exist later into the evening.

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I think I'd go to a hotel on a night like this if I didn't have A/C. Pure torture.

I might break down and get an AC after this heat wave. Thing is I have to get my super to help me install it because my window in my bedroom is all weird (80 yr old bldg).

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