ag3 Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 12z RGEM also has t-storm activity very close to NYC tomorrow evening. Similar to NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Tommorows forecast to be hotter correct?.....another question too with some of the models showing a "chance" of storms for the evening you think that could happen? we're all in at least a slight risk for severe storms and the models have been quite bullish in showing a solid convective line coming through. Damaging winds look to be the primary threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderdude Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 It may not happen, GFS looks a little extreme with 570dm heights up to the Yukon. It's pretty certain though that the heat ridge is going to retreat to the SW for a while as we move into more normal conditions. 70s to low 80s this weekend with the occasional shower, then some cool/dry weather as we get into next week. Yeah, with the SOI being positive again and strong trade winds, I wouldn't be surprised if we went into a warmer than normal summer regime for a while if the Nina does indeed try to make a comeback. We've still seen slight ENSO warming in the last week, but perhaps if it flips back towards Nina we get a heat wave while lower heights return to the Arctic? You seem always cool anti-thunderstorm bias I hate to say. During the weekend I see some models have a difference with a stalled out a front. The NAM seems to be cool side of thing and more aggressive with front being to our south where the Euro model seems to keep the front nearby to give us showers and thunderstorms. The GFS seems to be in middle where it could give maybe an overrunning rain event where we hopefully see thunderstorms tomorrow evening through Friday. We see a few cool dry days early next week with temps in the 70's to near 80 F but the GFS does hint warmer and more humid will come back later in the week where the ridge will return and that could mean more convention (thunderstorm) chances. By the 12z NAM does show a good line of convention plowing through most of the area including NYC and good part of LI as well tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 You seem always cool anti-thunderstorm bias I hate to say. During the weekend I see some models have a difference with a stalled out a front. The NAM seems to be cool side of thing and more aggressive with front being to our south where the Euro model seems to keep the front nearby to give us showers and thunderstorms. The GFS seems to be in middle where it could give maybe an overrunning rain event where we hopefully see thunderstorms tomorrow evening through Friday. We see a few cool dry days early next week with temps in the 70's to near 80 F but the GFS does hint warmer and more humid will come back later in the week where the ridge will return and that could mean more convention (thunderstorm) chances. The GFS really keeps us away from any true "heat ridge" through at least day 10. One thing is for sure, the pattern looks wet and stormy east of the MS river and there are hints of something popping in the gulf which would be the wild card. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 You seem always cool anti-thunderstorm bias I hate to say. During the weekend I see some models have a difference with a stalled out a front. The NAM seems to be cool side of thing and more aggressive with front being to our south where the Euro model seems to keep the front nearby to give us showers and thunderstorms. The GFS seems to be in middle where it could give maybe an overrunning rain event where we hopefully see thunderstorms tomorrow evening through Friday. We see a few cool dry days early next week with temps in the 70's to near 80 F but the GFS does hint warmer and more humid will come back later in the week where the ridge will return and that could mean more convention (thunderstorm) chances. By the 12z NAM does show a good line of convention plowing through most of the area including NYC and good part of LI as well tomorrow night. I'm just stating what the GFS shows for the next 7-10 days, not my personal thoughts. I'm not anti-thunderstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Finally, we're 90 on the dot. Starting to rise more rapidly so I could see us going higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 3pm 97F at EWR Dewpoint down to 64. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 97 @ EWR 94 @ LGA 92 @ Central Park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 92.0F in Monmouth. Torching... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 US National Weather Service New York NYA record high temperature was just set at the Newark, NJ airport. A high temperature of 98 degrees was set today at 2:19 pm breaking the record of 97 degrees in 1999! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 95 in midtown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 make it stop...... :thumbsdown: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Poor A-L-E-X. JFK is only 84 degrees. I assume the entire ocean facing areas of LI are in the low 80's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 seemed like earlier in the day, the temps were gonna maybe come to a halt, but now they are starting to soar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=11576&sp=KNYROSLY5&MR=1 96 in northern nassau. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 850 temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 seemed like earlier in the day, the temps were gonna maybe come to a halt, but now they are starting to soar. 91.8/72 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderdude Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 I'm just stating what the GFS shows for the next 7-10 days, not my personal thoughts. I'm not anti-thunderstorm. I look at the GFS I see a couple cooler with low humidity days with highs mainly in the 70's to near 80 F from the weekend through Tuesday or Wednesday but I see that a warm front will set up during midweek and perhaps I won't surprise that showers and possibly some thunderstorms as well go along the warm front then warmer and more humid air mass for later next week with afternoon daily convention is possible for inland areas more. I think it will more mid to upper 80's for highs oppose to 90's except I won't rule a few warm spots cracking 90 F later next week but no big heat waves after this one for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Really not too terrible outside in the shade. Humidity isn't too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderdude Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 It got up to 92 F here but now down 88 F here with sea breeze kicking in now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 unless you are in water, its basically too hot to go outside right now..I went out for 15 minutes and came home sweating bullets..Beautiful day tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 8, 2011 Author Share Posted June 8, 2011 98 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 unless you are in water, its basically too hot to go outside right now..I went out for 15 minutes and came home sweating bullets..Beautiful day tho AG3 says its not safe to go in the water, so we have no options. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Poor A-L-E-X. JFK is only 84 degrees. I assume the entire ocean facing areas of LI are in the low 80's. Yeah,it's a gorgeous afternoon here.I am sitting at 79 with a nice sea breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 98 here Tomorrow warmer than today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 8, 2011 Author Share Posted June 8, 2011 Tomorrow warmer than today? I secretly am dying to hit 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Tomorrow warmer than today? The only way it isn't is because of convective blow-off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 seemed like earlier in the day, the temps were gonna maybe come to a halt, but now they are starting to soar. 98.4* here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 AG3 says its not safe to go in the water, so we have no options. LOL. LI sound is up to 65 today. By tomorrow afternoon, I will give the permission for all to swim at free will. Except Isotherm who swims naked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Out of the area, but the storms approaching Lake Ontario are impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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