tmagan Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 17Z Observations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 8, 2011 Author Share Posted June 8, 2011 Strongly agree with the above posts. The guidance will continue to try and build the block in and keep a trough over the area...but the ridge will fluctuate and give us periods just like these few days. I'd be welling to bet money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Over 1" of rain on Friday GFS is wet for this weknd, which in my book stinks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 81 degrees here in Long Beach with the sea breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Just lost power here for a minute, heard a transformer blow. It's hot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Slight Risk tomorrow: http://www.spc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Looks like the cap is close to breaking, Were now in the 5% risk zone for severe hail and NW areas are in 2% risk for tornados and 5% risk for wind. If anything pops or gets close to us it could be severe with steep mid-level laps rates and SBCAPE now in excess of 2000 J/KGE and a pocket of 3000 J/KGE over SE upstate NY. Limiting factor should be only 20-30kts at most of bulk shear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Slight Risk tomorrow: http://www.spc.ncep....k/day2otlk.html yep, and northern areas went to a 30% risk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 8, 2011 Author Share Posted June 8, 2011 30% contour into New Jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Over 1" of rain on Friday That might be spurious, looks like a QPF bullseye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 we need a good storm to clean the atmosphere and give a temporary cool down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 92/68 park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 8, 2011 Author Share Posted June 8, 2011 Newark only up to 95 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Spiked 10* in the last 2 hours here... 93.2* here If you want to make a degree symbol, it is alt+0176. If you are on a laptop, it is alt+9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Newark only up to 95 now cool summer day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Newark only up to 95 now lol I suppose you're right! Baltimore (DMH) had that an hour ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 this heat wave didn't show up until it was within day 6 Excellent point. I've seen numerous people belittle the effects of soil moisture etc. but the drought in the southern Plains is over a large area classified as exceptional and the heat built up is tremendous. How's that evapotranspiration treating the medium range guidance lately? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Newark only up to 95 now Still seeing farily high dewpoints. Went up one to 65F this hour there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Newark only up to 95 now i think they will make 98 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 8, 2011 Author Share Posted June 8, 2011 cool summer day. yup, torch has failed yet again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 yup, torch has failed yet again we'll get it next time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 yup, torch has failed yet again It won't fail tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 yup, torch has failed yet again There was no torch last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Long Island City says 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 8, 2011 Author Share Posted June 8, 2011 It won't fail tomorrow. lol I was kidding! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 lol I was kidding! Me too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 That might be spurious, looks like a QPF bullseye. The NAM is completely dry lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Rosyln Village, north shore of nassau at 95.1 http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=11576&sp=KNYROSLY5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 lol I was kidding! Tommorows forecast to be hotter correct?.....another question too with some of the models showing a "chance" of storms for the evening you think that could happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 HRRR has some activity making into parts of our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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