earthlight Posted June 3, 2011 Author Share Posted June 3, 2011 sun angle is helping here..the last hour it's starting to feel warmer than about an hour ago. the winds arent that bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 3, 2011 Share Posted June 3, 2011 sun angle is helping here..the last hour it's starting to feel warmer than about an hour ago. the winds arent that bad. yeah, its killing any chance of the snow sticking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderdude Posted June 3, 2011 Share Posted June 3, 2011 Everybody check out how low the dewpoints are for early June pretty impressive. In KISP is 31 F and some spots the dewpoints are in the 20's. That is really low for early June. We are in quite a dry air mass. Tonight it will get a few degrees cooler than last night I expect with radiation cooling and calm winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted June 3, 2011 Share Posted June 3, 2011 You people are out of your damn minds. I get so hot at night, if it was 80 degrees in my house overnight I might actually have a heat stroke while sleeping. this. Agree. I can't sleep when it's too warm. My room runs warm by nature anyway which sucks--and we have central air, so everybody suffers when it gets hot in my room...I turn the temp down pretty low. But nothing overly dramatic. and this. ACs set to 66F in the summer FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 3, 2011 Author Share Posted June 3, 2011 this. and this. ACs set to 66F in the summer FTW agree. 68-70 F ftw. everybody else can sweat in their sleep while I'm nice and comfy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted June 3, 2011 Share Posted June 3, 2011 Everybody check out how low the dewpoints are for early June pretty impressive. In KISP is 31 F and some spots the dewpoints are in the 20's. That is really low for early June. We are in quite a dry air mass. Tonight it will get a few degrees cooler than last night I expect with radiation cooling and calm winds FOK will be down in the upper 30s or lower 40s..... Long Island climatology FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 4, 2011 Author Share Posted June 4, 2011 Back in business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 Back in business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 Back in business does the west coast trough ever leave? i feel like its always consistent out there, and if the PNA is any indication, that slight dip negative towards the end of may coincided well with our heat wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 looks like we'll be dealing with some clouds for a bit. today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 Back in business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHSnow Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 I can't see New York getting any sustained heat until that weakness over New England and the North Atlantic skedaddles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 4, 2011 Author Share Posted June 4, 2011 I can't see New York getting any sustained heat until that weakness over New England and the North Atlantic skedaddles. Agreed. Lucky those weakeness have been overforecast quite a bit the past few weeks. The Euro offers some more support for a big heat ridge. We will see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 4, 2011 Author Share Posted June 4, 2011 The interesting thing is how the models are giving us the heat. We are on the top of a heat dome, basically. The weakness over Southeast Canada is still going to be there on the 10 day anomaly maps, so it doesn't look as impressive. Yet, it's really just transient. We can see it on the 6z GFS which has 20+ C 850 temps but a shortwave heading towards SE Canada. The heat keeps rebuilding despite the block over greenland on most of the global superensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 The interesting thing is how the models are giving us the heat. We are on the top of a heat dome, basically. The weakness over Southeast Canada is still going to be there on the 10 day anomaly maps, so it doesn't look as impressive. Yet, it's really just transient. We can see it on the 6z GFS which has 20+ C 850 temps but a shortwave heading towards SE Canada. The heat keeps rebuilding despite the block over greenland on most of the global superensembles. -nao in summer is hot for us. see last year and 1999 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 -nao in summer is hot for us. see last year and 1999 Not 2009, but that probably had more to do with the -AO that summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 4, 2011 Author Share Posted June 4, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 4, 2011 Author Share Posted June 4, 2011 GFS next week: Tue: Mid 80's Wed: Mid-Upper 80's Thu: Mid 90's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 gfsx mos has above normal temps every day after sunday http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta=KEWR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 GFS next week: Tue: Mid 80's Wed: Mid-Upper 80's Thu: Mid 90's That's for this upcoming tuesday-Thursday or the following week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 Agreed about the -NAO Forky..... the way I look at it, a neg NAO tends towards extremes while a pos (aka piece of ****) NAO tends towards annual means...... therefore, in the winter, a +NAO will make the temp warmer than normal, and in summer, cooler than normal.... a -NAO will make the temp cooler than normal in the winter and warmer than normal in the summer..... thus move further away from the annual means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 Us being on top of the heat ridge should ensure a land breeze for us so hot right to the coast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 the euro is pretty much the same. near 90 wed and mid 90's thurs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 the euro is pretty much the same. near 90 wed and mid 90's thurs i would say low 90's on wed, after looking at it more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 Us being on top of the heat ridge should ensure a land breeze for us so hot right to the coast! On days when there's a strong W or NW wind component, it can actually get HOTTER down here than further inland. JFK often runs ahead of other terminals on those kind of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted June 4, 2011 Share Posted June 4, 2011 Not seeing any June torch John........just not seeing it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 4, 2011 Author Share Posted June 4, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted June 5, 2011 Share Posted June 5, 2011 I have a feeling Boston will be in the 60's all week, with easterly flow and NYC on the battle line with 70's just east of the city on LI, 80's in the city itself and 95-100 degree temps in Philly and DC mid to late week. I think this will be NYC's turn for significant severe weather with significant winds 60knt and EF0- EF1 spin ups with stalled warm front over the area. Torrid and oppressive west and mild humid east. DC probably 98/74 with 120 HI next Wednesday and Thursday, while Boston is stuck at 67/62 with SE flow. Severe weather near NYC with major heat on their door step that just fails to get in over the Hudson River. Just my speculation and opinion with trouble seeing WF getting east of NYC with blocked Atlantic flow and -NAO, great for SVR with boundary and massive temp gradient SW to NE in this area. I can envision a moderate risk day for NJ/SE NY and NYC area on Wed or Thurs for 45% wind, 30% hail and 10% for <EF2 tornado, with a small hatched wind area for 60knt winds. Just a hunch. ROF SVR MCS or Derecho depending on wind fields, shear and position of jet and WF boundary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 5, 2011 Author Share Posted June 5, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted June 5, 2011 Share Posted June 5, 2011 Torch coming mid week. GFS/GGEM/Euro on board. Btw, cool stuff. Look at the 00z GGEM at after 200 hrs. It has a perfect storm scenario over the Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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