A-L-E-X Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 On 6/8/2011 at 4:33 AM, Dark Energy said: absolutely! the old rer was only 95 in 2004. They killed the record! Wow, almost by ten degrees! This is like an early version of the 1995 heat wave lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 8, 2011 Author Share Posted June 8, 2011 It's TEB...has 103 on the text MOS as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 8, 2011 Author Share Posted June 8, 2011 KTEB NAM MOS GUIDANCE 6/08/2011 0000 UTC DT /JUNE 8 /JUNE 9 /JUNE 10 / HR 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 18 00 X/N 96 75 103 70 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 The NAM MOS has 103F for TEB: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getmet.pl?sta=KTEB&sta=KNYC&sta=KJFK&sta=KLGA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 On 6/8/2011 at 4:46 AM, earthlight said: It's TEB...has 103 on the text MOS as well. yup, just looked it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 0z Nam has temps near 100 for the area on Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 8, 2011 Author Share Posted June 8, 2011 The NAM got warmer at 850, too...we would probably see 100+ readings in lots of places if this verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 8, 2011 Author Share Posted June 8, 2011 The 00z NAM must have had some clouds around tomorrow afternoon or something..850 temps are 20-21 C and it has 2m temps of 90-93 F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 holy EML today batman! h7-5 LR almost 8C/km! But nothing to break cap. If it does in some location, LOOK out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 8, 2011 Author Share Posted June 8, 2011 On 6/8/2011 at 4:59 AM, Dark Energy said: holy EML today batman! h7-5 LR almost 8C/km! But nothing to break cap. If it does in some location, LOOK out! Check out the supercell coming into Western NY State right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 On 6/8/2011 at 5:01 AM, earthlight said: Check out the supercell coming into Western NY State right now Saw that. just like last night's version Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 8, 2011 Author Share Posted June 8, 2011 On 6/8/2011 at 5:02 AM, Dark Energy said: Saw that. just like last night's version Absolute monster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 8, 2011 Author Share Posted June 8, 2011 Wow. Another really awesome shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Waterloo, Ontario had a gust to 45 kts. when that storm moved through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 8, 2011 Author Share Posted June 8, 2011 Watch just went up for W NY and NW PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Anybody think we'll see some thunderstorm action tommorow night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 fingers crossed for 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Fingers crossed for a large cloud Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Upton now has me for a high of 89 today: SEA BREEZE DEVELOPMENT SHOULD KEEP THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN THE 80S FOR THE MOST PART. Already 82/67 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 8, 2011 Author Share Posted June 8, 2011 06z NAM is still ridiculously close to 100 tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 8, 2011 Author Share Posted June 8, 2011 850 temps of 22-23c this afternoon (23 C next frame) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 On 6/8/2011 at 1:01 PM, earthlight said: 850 temps of 22-23c this afternoon (23 C next frame) You love looking at the pretty colors. Simple text sounding search shows 94 today and 97-99 tomorrow, areawide. 850 temps are warmer today then tomorrow, according to NAM. 22 today and 20 tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 Some thick cirrus now over the Catskills, might prevent EWR from reaching 100F today: http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/1km.php?loop=1&type=vis®ion=LongIsland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 On 6/8/2011 at 1:01 PM, earthlight said: 850 temps of 22-23c this afternoon (23 C next frame) That looks much cooler than previous forecasts, especially NE of NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 On 6/8/2011 at 1:17 PM, NorEaster27 said: That looks much cooler than previous forecasts, especially NE of NYC I wouldn't even go by what the surface temps are showing on those maps. I'd go more by 850 temps. If they indeed will be up near 22-23, then upper 90's is almost a guaranteed certainty and 100+ is definitely in the cards for some of the warmer locations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 On 6/8/2011 at 1:17 PM, NorEaster27 said: That looks much cooler than previous forecasts, especially NE of NYC Yeah, I'm not sure Southern Westchester is going to hit the forecast high of 96F. It's 78.7F here so we've got a chance as the temperature has been rising pretty rapidly, but I wouldn't say mid-upper 90s is a lock. Dewpoints are pretty high though, 69F here. Very muggy out but luckily I'm in an AC workplace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 On 6/8/2011 at 1:25 PM, tornadojay said: I wouldn't even go by what the surface temps are showing on those maps. I'd go more by 850 temps. If they indeed will be up near 22-23, then upper 90's is almost a guaranteed certainty and 100+ is definitely in the cards for some of the warmer locations. Doesn't that map show 850s of 18-20C, not 22-23C? I don't see the 21-22C 850s that Earthlight mentions on the above map. I agree that 850s of 23C should produce widespread upper 90s/low 100s, but it depends a lot on cloud cover. Humidity is also pretty high so that may reduce the heat a bit. It's hard to get to 100F here in Dobbs Ferry without drying/compressional warming on a W/NW downsloping wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted June 8, 2011 Share Posted June 8, 2011 On 6/8/2011 at 1:28 PM, nzucker said: Doesn't that map show 850s of 18-20C, not 22-23C? I don't see the 21-22C 850s that Earthlight mentions on the above map. I agree that 850s of 23C should produce widespread upper 90s/low 100s, but it depends a lot on cloud cover. Humidity is also pretty high so that may reduce the heat a bit. It's hard to get to 100F here in Dobbs Ferry without drying/compressional warming on a W/NW downsloping wind. I didn't look too closely at his map. I just assumed John had the correct numbers, and I believe he does, as shown below... Yes, cloud cover will play a role, but if you read the morning NWS discussions, they expect lower dewpoints to be able to mix down today so the dew point should probably drop a bit during the day. Station: EWR Lat: 40.68 Lon: -74.17 Elev: 7 Closest grid pt: 24.4 km. Initialization Time: 11-06-08 0600 UTC PARAMETER/TIME 000 006 012 018 024 030 036 042 048 054 060 066 072 ------------------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ DAY / HOUR 08/06 08/12 08/18 09/00 09/06 09/12 09/18 10/00 10/06 10/12 10/18 11/00 11/06 ------------------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ TEMPS SFC (2 M) (F) 67 73 86 79 72 75 88 79 71 73 83 70 63 850 MB © 17 19 21 22 22 22 21 19 17 18 16 15 14 700 MB © 7 8 9 10 9 9 9 7 7 7 7 6 5 500 MB © -9 -11 -10 -11 -11 -11 -10 -11 -10 -12 -11 -11 -10 1000-500 THCK 572 572 575 577 576 574 576 574 572 571 570 569 566 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 8, 2011 Author Share Posted June 8, 2011 Talking with forky and we were discussing how it appears the NAM (and the RUC for that matter) aren't mixing high enough to bring us the very high 90's advertised yesterday. Something to keep an eye out for over the next few hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 8, 2011 Author Share Posted June 8, 2011 On 6/8/2011 at 1:28 PM, nzucker said: Doesn't that map show 850s of 18-20C, not 22-23C? I don't see the 21-22C 850s that Earthlight mentions on the above map. It's right to the left of the 20C red line...the thin black contour says 21 c and the one to the left of that says 22 C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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