weatherwiz Posted May 24, 2011 Author Share Posted May 24, 2011 Vertical shear values actually throughout the region aren't too bad, between 30-40 knots...this may decrease a bit as the day goes on but given this and the alignment of the winds aloft storms could try forming into small lines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 24, 2011 Share Posted May 24, 2011 Yeah lapse rates blow. They weren't half bad on the OKX sounding, but Albany sounding was horrible. So was BUF and PIT. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 24, 2011 Share Posted May 24, 2011 http://rapidrefresh....+May+2011+-+11Z Click on composite reflectivity. If you want to have some fun, choose the SC sector and check out the cells it's showing for Oklahoma. Take a look at this mornings OUN sounding lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted May 24, 2011 Share Posted May 24, 2011 GFS wants to mix down like 20-30 knot winds near 2pm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 24, 2011 Share Posted May 24, 2011 Take a look at this mornings OUN sounding lol Oh I know. That's nuts. There are some pretty large metro areas in the line of fire for today..and even tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted May 24, 2011 Share Posted May 24, 2011 http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrrconus/Welcome.cgi?dsKey=hrrr&domain=t5&run_time=24+May+2011+-+11Z Click on composite reflectivity. If you want to have some fun, choose the SC sector and check out the cells it's showing for Oklahoma. I actually clicked on CAPE first.. funny that its printing out 2000j/kg for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 24, 2011 Author Share Posted May 24, 2011 I actually clicked on CAPE first.. funny that its printing out 2000j/kg for us With the lapse rates today we'd probably need about mid 80's with dewpoints in the upper 60's to achieve that. Even if that were to happen LI values would probably be no lower than -3 and MLcape values just around 1000 or 1250 J/KG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 24, 2011 Author Share Posted May 24, 2011 I'm much more interested in Friday...waiting for the NAM to get out that far and the 9z SPC SREF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted May 24, 2011 Share Posted May 24, 2011 With the lapse rates today we'd probably need about mid 80's with dewpoints in the upper 60's to achieve that. Even if that were to happen LI values would probably be no lower than -3 and MLcape values just around 1000 or 1250 J/KG. Dare I say Ray may see a severe storm today? He could be in line for something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 24, 2011 Author Share Posted May 24, 2011 Dare I say Ray may see a severe storm today? He could be in line for something He certainly has a shot at a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted May 24, 2011 Share Posted May 24, 2011 He certainly has a shot at a storm. It really is funny how entrained in this event I have become because of pure boredom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 24, 2011 Author Share Posted May 24, 2011 It really is funny how entrained in this event I have become because of pure boredom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 24, 2011 Share Posted May 24, 2011 -12 TO -15 LI's are on the GFS for OK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 24, 2011 Author Share Posted May 24, 2011 -12 TO -15 LI's are on the GFS for OK. Holy crap! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 24, 2011 Share Posted May 24, 2011 -12 TO -15 LI's are on the GFS for OK. LOL. we shouldn't even be allowed to discuss t-storm parameters here in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 24, 2011 Share Posted May 24, 2011 HRRR seems to like the Pike area on south. Locked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 24, 2011 Author Share Posted May 24, 2011 I wonder if I'll get my first watch of the year today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 24, 2011 Share Posted May 24, 2011 LOL. we shouldn't even be allowed to discuss t-storm parameters here in SNE. Honestly..I love a good tstm, but it almost seems wrong to talk about tstms here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 24, 2011 Share Posted May 24, 2011 Honestly..I love a good tstm, but it almost seems wrong to talk about tstms here. exactly. they are great but it's almost laughable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 24, 2011 Author Share Posted May 24, 2011 Honestly..I love a good tstm, but it almost seems wrong to talk about tstms here. It almost seems wrong to talk about snow here too when you think of the Rockies, Cascades, Sierra Nevada, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New England Storm Posted May 24, 2011 Share Posted May 24, 2011 wow a good part of the area is in a slight risk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 24, 2011 Author Share Posted May 24, 2011 FRIDAY STILL LOOKING GOOD ON THE NAM!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted May 24, 2011 Share Posted May 24, 2011 Yeah.. if your truly interested in the weather when there is a reasonable shot at something interesting for your area you will pay attention.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted May 24, 2011 Share Posted May 24, 2011 Suns out, guns out in southie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 24, 2011 Share Posted May 24, 2011 It almost seems wrong to talk about snow here too when you think of the Rockies, Cascades, Sierra Nevada, etc. You can't compare the Plains to here. It's like comparing the Hartford little league team to the Red Sox or Yankees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 24, 2011 Author Share Posted May 24, 2011 You can't compare the Plains to here. It's like comparing the Hartford little league team to the Red Sox or Yankees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted May 24, 2011 Share Posted May 24, 2011 Mid to upper 70's in e ma and ne ma at 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 24, 2011 Author Share Posted May 24, 2011 I'm salivating over Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted May 24, 2011 Share Posted May 24, 2011 You can't compare the Plains to here. It's like comparing the Hartford little league team to the Red Sox or Yankees. Well.. yes...uhmm... obviously.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted May 24, 2011 Share Posted May 24, 2011 I'm salivating over Friday. Ill drive us around if you want to chase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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