ag3 Posted May 27, 2011 Share Posted May 27, 2011 I'm joking lol. But heat has been a fail here all week. I'm sure NJ has been broiling as they always do no doubt. Torch to me means upper 80s at a minimum AREA WIDE with a dewpoint of at least 60. If 90 and above then humidity levels don't matter. But the readings have to be area wide. Agree 100%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 I have said for days the talk of big heat today from NYC on east was in serious trouble with the modeled S / SE wind. It dosen't matter what the NAM raw output says when the mean wind flow is onshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 Highs thru 8PM... for the first time I think we have a legitimate 90 at an airport in NYC metro... NYC 83? LGA 82 JFK 78 TEB 88 EWR 88 HPN 82 CDW 87 FRG 77 MMU 88 ISP 77 BLM 84 SMQ 87 DXR 83 BDR 78 12N 84 FWN 85 SWF 84 HWV 77 MGJ 86 NEL 90 *ding ding* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 I have said for days the talk of big heat today from NYC on east was in serious trouble with the modeled S / SE wind. It dosen't matter what the NAM raw output says when the mean wind flow is onshore. and in response to your posts, plenty of people said no one was predicting heat on Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 and in response to your posts, plenty of people said no one was predicting heat on Long Island. NYC on east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 NYC on east. link to (legitimate) posts of "big heat" claims for NYC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 link to (legitimate) posts of "big heat" claims for NYC? btw, glass house: a day or two maybe, but overall it looks like temps in the 70s next week with frequent rain chances. Memorial day weknd looks wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 link to (legitimate) posts of "big heat" claims for NYC? The way it's been talked about over the past several days you would have thought everyone was routinely hitting temps north of 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 The way it's been talked about over the past several days you would have thought everyone was routinely hitting temps north of 90. The only NYC poster talking about decent heat was Pazzo. Regardless, 90º is a whole lot closer to reality than 70s and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 I have said for days the talk of big heat today from NYC on east was in serious trouble with the modeled S / SE wind. It dosen't matter what the NAM raw output says when the mean wind flow is onshore. Exactly. At least around here this time of year, temps won't hit 80 on a south wind. Not a chance. We really need a west component to spike up there with the rest of the area (and we did, particularly last summer). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diego Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 a day or two maybe, but overall it looks like temps in the 70s next week with frequent rain chances. Memorial day weknd looks wet btw, glass house: Temp. wise for NYC and points east, he was pretty close, because of the maritime influence. But precip. wise, a surprising turnaround. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 there is always one week from hell every spring that while we are working we ponder giving this up and finding another job..last week was it Lol. Spot on. I just do it to plow in the winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 This is really just getting annoying now. Can you not read the maps of New Jersey posted that show upper 80 F temps? I've had a west wind all day. Newark had a southeast wind until 4. They veered and now spiked to 87. Your last four posts have had absolutely no substance. Must be a false OB since the geniuses in this thread think we are heat junkies and are the only people experiencing upper 80s He's just saying that most people aren't experiencing these temperatures, and that continually using the SW areas of the CWA for verification of a heat wave is heinously inaccurate. If we want to use data from Monmouth County to verify/discuss a NYC metro heat wave, then why aren't people allowed to post numbers from Montauk, from Islip, to say it's been cool? It's NOT in Dobbs Ferry. When you search for "Dobbs Ferry" on Weather Underground, you get a station that is in Tarrytown, NY. Done. Just stop it already, I'm sick of this BS. Then how are u 3-5 degrees warmer then them this whole week? Is it really that complicated? I've said it about 30 times. My wind has been west-southwest. Newarks wind has been east southeast. They had a seabreeze yesterday. I did not. They had southeast winds for 4 hours today. I did not. As soon as their wind direction veered and the seabreeze boundary backed to the east, they spiked to 87. That has been where I've been all week. No sea breeze, no marine layer. That's all there is to it. If it's not in his backyard, it didn't happen. If he lived here, and we lived where he lives, he would accuse us of placing our thermometers in refrigerators or something. You are running in circles with your posts. Just because I have the same average highs as Newark doesn't mean that the conditions will be the same in this synoptic setup. So I'm supposed to ignore my averages because Newark is cooler? Makes absolutely no sense at all. My average high temperature is maybe a bit above Newarks. So take a degree off my anomalies. +14, +12, +14. Lol. Not accusing anyone of lying. A lot of us are joking around. The way John and others joke with Noreaster. We'll stop joking around. The heat guys are very sensitive I guess. Yeah, it's been impressive here too. We got up to 89 when the winds went west around 4pm. Newark spiked to 87 at that time too. I've been in the pool today--it was awesome. But this is all heresay--because this heat did not happen. According to a few posters here we are living in an alternate universe. It is actually 78-82 in the entire area and nothing more. The upper 80's throughout most of New Jersey including Newark, a NYC Metro reporting OB station, do not exist. Jesus does the heat really get peoples panties in a bunch? seems it. got to 82 today LOL whats with all this drama sheesh? And why do people love to gleefully point out that it's not hot yet? Or argue over a degree here and there? I hope it's 105 degrees next week and the sun goes supernova in July so we can all roast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 And then people are worried about what's going to happen in June, when the models have behaved like crap lately. The pattern has discernably shifted and there's no reason to think it's magically going to go back to cutoffs in the northeast. The chances of that happening in the summer are pretty slim anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ict1523 Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 NWS now has 95 for Monday in New York. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shades Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 NWS now has 95 for Monday in New York. That's a bold leap. Yesterday's forecast for Memorial Day had mid 80's, a ten degree ramp up between forecasts is haphazard/jumping the gun, IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 Underdone fcst highs today anyone? My NWS point and click has 81F with south winds. As of 10am I'm already at 79.2 with light SW/SSWLY winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 Underdone fcst highs today anyone? My NWS point and click has 81F with south winds. As of 10am I'm already at 79.2 with light SW/SSWLY winds. Gotta watch the NAM carefully in these situations--06z run got a bunch warmer. 84+ F this afternoon even in the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 Up to 74 here already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 Up to 74 here already. 70 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 South winds should keep a lot of people here away from the mid and upper 80's. And some not even into the 80's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 South winds should keep a lot of people here away from the mid and upper 80's. And some not even into the 80's. South wind is really bad for LGA and JFK. Central Park should get into at least the low 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 Were in a day 5 severe outlook, wow. Maybe we get a crack at a moderate risk on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 Underdone fcst highs today anyone? My NWS point and click has 81F with south winds. As of 10am I'm already at 79.2 with light SW/SSWLY winds. It's hot out. It forced me to install my window unit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 I must disagree with your definition of a torch. Those departures are 50s in January. Warm, for sure. Torch? Not really. 60s in January qualifies as a torch, at least in the city. 50s is just a mild day. For this time of year, 90s are required, IMHO, for a "torch". Wouldn't duration be a factor? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 South winds should keep a lot of people here away from the mid and upper 80's. And some not even into the 80's. Looks like with the S/SW winds I'll be one of the hotter locations again. 81.3/65 right now and hot as hell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 Were in a day 5 severe outlook, wow. Maybe we get a crack at a moderate risk on this one. Yeah as I posted a few pages back I'm really liking that Wednesday severe threat. Deep low to our north, strong moisture advection, impressive thermodynamic and kinematic environment, land based sfc winds should prevent marine layer from being any issue. I wouldn't be surprised if there's a mdt risk with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 It's hot out. It forced me to install my window unit. Yeah, definitely one of the hottest Memorial day weekends in recent memory, with Monday potentially low to mid 90s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 Already pushing 80 at LGA and NYC. Winds are almost none. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 28, 2011 Share Posted May 28, 2011 It's also our only real rain threat of the next 7 days. With the building heat I can't believe I might have to start thinking about my lawn turning brown already! hopefully this year unlike last we'll at least get some good thunderstorm chances mixed in with the heat in June/July. Yeah as I posted a few pages back I'm really liking that Wednesday severe threat. Deep low to our north, strong moisture advection, impressive thermodynamic and kinematic environment, land based sfc winds should prevent marine layer from being any issue. I wouldn't be surprised if there's a mdt risk with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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