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May 2011 NYC metro area obs./discussion


Snowlover11

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I'm in Long Branch. The sun is warm. The breeze is light. The beers are good. The girls are hot. And most importantly, the marine layer is nowhere to be found.

Pier village? Yeah man it's a great day, light breeze, warm down to the coast. Hopefully we get a share of some of that severe wx in the next 2 weeks although I can do w/o the tornados.

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12Z GFS has this cutoff low yet again over SE Canada once the ridge builds over the plains, at least the fifth run in a row now.

lol

if you are talking about the 300 hr cutoff low then you should just do yourself a favor and remove this post. If you are talking about the 384hr cutoff low then you should remove yourself from the board.

sarcasm yes, but cmon. That is winter weenie territory

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lol

if you are talking about the 300 hr cutoff low then you should just do yourself a favor and remove this post. If you are talking about the 384hr cutoff low then you should remove yourself from the this board.

sarcasm yes, but cmon. That is winter weenie territory

referring to anything 300+ hrs out seriously should result in an immediate ban.

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Yes, I was talking about the far extended range, however not seriously. I know how quickly things can change. I do think its usefull though when looking at how the overall pattern is evolving. The NAO is also forecast to take a dip so it wouldn't suprise me to see a return to an east coast troughing regime.

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Yes, I was talking about the far extended range, however not seriously. I know how quickly things can change. I do think its usefull though when looking at how the overall pattern is evolving. The NAO is also forecast to take a dip so it wouldn't suprise me to see a return to an east coast troughing regime.

We're talking about you bro.

And -NAO, in JUNE. LMAO.

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Yes, I was talking about the far extended range, however not seriously. I know how quickly things can change. I do think its usefull though when looking at how the overall pattern is evolving. The NAO is also forecast to take a dip so it wouldn't suprise me to see a return to an east coast troughing regime.

Not anytime soon

http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/forecasts/teleconn/images/nao.png

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It will probably be in the 80s+.

You know what I think? Your so obsessed with warm temperatures that you refuse to consider the alternative. Not every summer in the NY metro is bright, sunny and warm and if you think it is your in for a rude awakaning. Last year was not the norm. We've had plent of summers where it has literally poured everyday for a week, and believe me it sucks, especially when your down the shore on vacation.

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It's still going to be positive. -NAO during the Summer is different than one during Winter.

This I know, hence why I said its going to take a dip, however when you compare it to its prior run, its significantly less positive.

5/24 12z run (old)

12zecmwfnao.gif

00z run

00zecmwfnao.gif

For all I know, it could flip again on the next run, but the GFS, which is the only model we have that goes beyond 10 days, is hinting at a central US ridge and a trough somewhere along the east coast.

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You know what I think? Your so obsessed with warm temperatures that you refuse to consider the alternative. Not every summer in the NY metro is bright, sunny and warm and if you think it is your in for a rude awakaning. Last year was not the norm. We've had plent of summers where it has literally poured everyday for a week, and believe me it sucks, especially when your down the shore on vacation.

I think you should look up the word "hyperbole."

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