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May 21-22 Midwest & Great Lakes Severe Threat


SEMIweather

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DTX's CWA will likely be included in that one after the current watch expires.

i don't see why and honestly i'm kinda puzzled by all you guys around det. waiting on these storms tonight, because from everything i looked at i can't see anything impressive making it this far east at all tonight.

just as an example look at the newest nam, never even shows any precip anywhere across the area tonight, while the ruc doesn't bring in anything til after sunrise tomorrow

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI

456 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTHERN MONROE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...

* UNTIL 530 PM CDT

* AT 452 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO

ON THE GROUND NEAR I 90 EXIT 25...OR 3 MILES WEST OF

SPARTA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

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i don't see why and honestly i'm kinda puzzled by all you guys around det. waiting on these storms tonight, because from everything i looked at i can't see anything impressive making it this far east at all tonight.

just as an example look at the newest nam, never even shows any precip anywhere across the area tonight, while the ruc doesn't bring in anything til after sunrise tomorrow

The potential is there however, which is why they issue watches (for the potential).

I'm more focused on tomorrow though. Whatever happens the next 18 hours happens.

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI

501 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

WIC081-222230-

/O.CON.KARX.TO.W.0018.000000T0000Z-110522T2230Z/

MONROE WI-

501 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN MONROE COUNTY

UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

AT 456 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO IN

SPARTA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

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another storm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI

504 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

WESTERN TAYLOR COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN...

* UNTIL 530 PM CDT

* AT 501 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED A

TORNADO NORTH OF GILMAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

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MO

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO

500 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

MOC041-089-195-222215-

/O.CON.KEAX.TO.W.0014.000000T0000Z-110522T2215Z/

CHARITON MO-HOWARD MO-SALINE MO-

500 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN SALINE...

NORTHWESTERN HOWARD AND SOUTH CENTRAL CHARITON COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM

CDT...

AT 455 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A

CONFIRMED TORNADO 1 MILE SOUTHEAST OF SLATER.

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The potential is there however, which is why they issue watches (for the potential).

I'm more focused on tomorrow though. Whatever happens the next 18 hours happens.

Yeah, tomorrow definitely has more potential. I just have a somewhat skewed opinion of things because I'm working tomorrow afternoon, so I was hoping I could go chase something today. But it's okay.

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO

510 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

MOC041-089-195-222215-

/O.CON.KEAX.TO.W.0014.000000T0000Z-110522T2215Z/

CHARITON MO-HOWARD MO-SALINE MO-

510 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN SALINE...

NORTHWESTERN HOWARD AND SOUTH CENTRAL CHARITON COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM

CDT...

AT 504 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A

CONFIRMED TORNADO ON THE GROUND 4 MILES WEST OF GLASGOW ON STATE

ROUTE P.

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Update...

The dry air/cap was a bit too formidable to support more than a

couple of storms north of I-69...and the supercell which ran just

south of the Michigan border cast a subsidence/anvil shadow across

the south half of the County Warning Area...preventing anything from going up.

With now the expected lull...will drop the Severe Thunderstorm Watch

and monitor activity upstream. As stated previously...instability

will be on a decline early this evening...and the slower arrival

will limit our severe chances. Current convection across far

southern Lower Lake Michigan and points south is embedded within

steep middle level lapse rates (700-500 mb) which quickly drop off as

one heads east...which supports the abrupt weakening trend the

models are advertising tonight...keeping Southeast Michigan dry in

fact if you believe the 18z NAM/12z European. On the flip

side...the activity is already farther east than advertised...and

still would expected numerous showers/embedded thunderstorms to

survive the trip late this evening with some lingering marginal

instability in place.

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Finally bailed on our main storm near Tipton, and are now currently making a run at the newer cells south of Iowa City. They're not too impressive right now but it's our only play. I'll upload pics on here later when I get home...

We are heading back east for that boundary coming west off the Illinois stuff. Might be a quick blow up there as these Iowa cells cross over.

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56 t-storm warnings and 9 active tornado warnings just after 2217z(note keep in mind if you are counting active warnings alot expire at :00, 0:15, :30 and :0:45 so its best to count them just after these times to avoid dupliacte warnings for the same storm)

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO

515 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

SOUTHEASTERN CHARITON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...

NORTHERN HOWARD COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...

SOUTHERN RANDOLPH COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 600 PM CDT

* AT 513 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING

A CONFIRMED TORNADO NEAR GLASGOW.

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