blackjack123 Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 It looks like after a really dead May for tornadoes it looks it might start living up to its name. Hopefully these last 10 days of May are nothing like last month in terms of fatalities and injuries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iowahawkeyedave Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Sitting here in Iowa City, about the head out and get a closer look once initiation occurs. Looks like a couple blips on the Quad Cities radar SW of Ottumwa, although that might be behind the prefrontal confluence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iowahawkeyedave Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 It looks like after a really dead May for tornadoes it looks it might start living up to its name. Hopefully these last 10 days of May are nothing like last month in terms of fatalities and injuries. Agree with that sentiment. Hopefully any tornadoes that do occur don't cause major damage, fatalities, or injuries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Agree with that sentiment. Hopefully any tornadoes that do occur don't cause major damage, fatalities, or injuries. Like wide open un-claimed fields. I'm on my way out. About to Michigan City, IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Day 2 SPc outlook is out. Basically the orientation of the outlook is a little more SW-NE looking, there's a tiny moderate risk area over Oklahoma and the 30% areas has been expanded NE through Central/Southern Indiana and West Central Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Looks like initiation NE of Kansas City. And here comes the tornado watch... http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KWNS/1105221754.wwus20.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iowahawkeyedave Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Also looks like may have initiation SE of Des Moines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Initiation: LFC: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ksstormhunter Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Just pushed out my 18Z Severe Weather Analysis. Highest instability areas are running in areas of Mena, AR-Bloomington, IL, San Angelo, TX-Talequah, OK-Joplin, MO and Coffeyville, KS, which has the highest instability values. 18Z average surface based CAPE's are running around 3000 j/kg, 0-1KM EHI are strong at around 4.0, and the 0-3KM Shear are running around 35 to 40 knots. Also seeing potential for 70-80 knots and hail up to 3" in diameter. Analysis uploaded at http://smartwxmodel.net Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted May 22, 2011 Author Share Posted May 22, 2011 Initiation in Central MI... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 New Tornado watch for KS/MO/OK/AR down the dryline. Mesoanalysis is showing 5000 SBCAPE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Last night's tornado in Reading was an EF3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 It's always something around here. Now, it's the dewpoints that are struggling to rise, despite full sunshine. Although temps have risen to around 80, the dewpoints have stayed in the 50s, except in the lakeshore counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Nice towers to the west here about 15 miles west of Iowa City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 It's always something around here. Now, it's the dewpoints that are struggling to rise, despite full sunshine. Although temps have risen to around 80, the dewpoints have stayed in the 50s, except in the lakeshore counties. Dewpoints will often drop with diurnal heating, as drier air above the surface gets mixed down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 18z Soundings are up. Springfield, MO is doing a 19z sounding. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/soundings/11052218_OBS/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Nice towers to the west here about 15 miles west of Iowa City. Very nice meso with that cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Sounding doesn't get much more loaded gun than this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 That cell in Poweshiek County, Iowa looks like it's developing near a secondary push of higher theta-e air. It's already working well with that boundary, with a well developed meso with good high continuity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Nice northern Michigan activity: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Never mind with my dewpoint rant. Higher dewpoints are expected to push in simultaneous with the winds being favorable for supercells, some possibly tornadic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
28storms Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Tornado Intercept in Topeka, Kansas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 So are we expecting supercells ahead of the derecho/line here in se mi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 A tornado warning for the Twin Cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 So are we expecting supercells ahead of the derecho/line here in se mi. So far, it's looking like we're going to get split in the central portion of the area by this initial round, granted some CU is starting to develop now in SW Michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted May 22, 2011 Author Share Posted May 22, 2011 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 314 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011 ..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0220 PM HAIL BURT LAKE 45.43N 84.72W 05/22/2011 M2.00 INCH CHEBOYGAN MI BROADCAST MEDIA REPORT FROM SOUTH END OF BURT LAKE...IRREGULAR SIZED 2 INCH HAIL. REPORT FROM PUBLIC THROUGH MEDIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Never mind, new discussion for a severe thunderstorm watch coming out soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian Express Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 Close to downtown MPLS ..A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN RAMSEY...EAST CENTRAL HENNEPIN AND SOUTH CENTRAL ANOKA COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM CDT... AT 215 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO...WITH DEBRIS NEAR HIGHWAY 100 AND 394...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 A tornado warning for the Twin Cities. Enhanced reflectivity at the end of the hook, but then again can't say I'd be surprised to see a debris ball on the end of that going through a metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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