Ian Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 yeah i see you yoda Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 you guys gotta out everyone who is anon now. Well you should know another.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Road trip to Garret county or Jon Jons!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 you guys gotta out everyone who is anon now. I don't need to be anon anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 so much for being anon. oops...didn't even noticed the * Sorry fellas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanVA Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 the nam does well with frontal precip though... clippers at the end of the run? i hope so, but im not sold. Last year it overdid clippers precipitation-wise but I think that is more of a function of model resolution, but not that it really means anything this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I would like to see the 18z GFS make a move toward the NAM in this model cycle. If it can do that, I think it would lend the NAM some credence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 Shhhh, wes is posting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I lost my cable and decided to go shopping. Comcast has been letting me down lately. The 18Z NAM 500h loosk would be a moderate snow for someone if it verified. I looked at the low resolution euro but couln't tell if they gave us precip or not. It looked like might but clearly the nam is on the one extreme and the gfs is on the other though it trended a little stronger on the 12Z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 It looks to me if one wants a nice little storm, hope this clipper is strong like on the NAM and then bombs and tries to ride the coast..It does'nt look like to me that the second storm is really in the cards, certainly at this point anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I would like to see the 18z GFS make a move toward the NAM in this model cycle. If it can do that, I think it would lend the NAM some credence. at 11p.m. both the 0z nam and gfs will be out.. and it will be dark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Shhhh, wes is posting. Wes has not been looking much. he's been spending money trying to jumpstart the economy single-handedly, well I had help from my wife. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 at 11p.m. both the 0z nam and gfs will be out.. and it will be dark. I was gonna post something like that, but I cut yoda some slack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 at 11p.m. both the 0z nam and gfs will be out.. and it will be dark. I just would like some other model besides the NAM to show something nice. the GFS would be a nice start I was gonna post something like that, but I cut yoda some slack. Oh ok... I see how it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I was gonna post something like that, but I cut yoda some slack. i yoda Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 Wes has not been looking much. he's been spending money trying to jumpstart the economy single-handedly, well I had help from my wife. Man, the WashPo money is flowing in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Ashburn above 32 Leesburg below...good move Ji nice christmas lights btw! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 im going to side with the nam except assume the bullseye is closer to dc and that it will be just cold enough for accum this is still 2010 after all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Wes has not been looking much. he's been spending money trying to jumpstart the economy single-handedly, well I had help from my wife. Victoria Secret fashion show last night inspire you to shop today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 im going to side with the nam except assume the bullseye is closer to dc and that it will be just cold enough for accum this is still 2010 after all Agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 im going to side with the nam except assume the bullseye is closer to dc and that it will be just cold enough for accum this is still 2010 after all If we do not get a raging 1 inch accumulation I will blame you. Agree and you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Man, the WashPo money is flowing in! I haven't seen a dime yet but plan to write and article tonight/early tomorrow morning that discusses the threat. We don't know much more than we knew Monday. lol. The NAm is one plausible solution but so is the GFS. If someone held a gun to my head and I had to make a guess between the gfs and nam, I'd guess that the gfs is closer to the truth than the nam but at this stage, who really knows. The system certainly is worth tracking and worth mentioning the possibility of light snow for sunday or if you the forecaster is worried about boundary layer issues, you could always forecast and chance of light rain or snow. There is still plenty of time to move towards the consensus forecast. I do wish the NAM was a better 84hr model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Still early in the run but GFS looks a tiny bit better? I think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 lot more diggy at 500 54 hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Still early in the run but GFS looks a tiny bit better? I think so. It looks that way to me, Tomba says it looks more amplified at 54 hours. I've only seen it through 42. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 It looks that way to me, Tomba says it looks more amplified at 54 hours. I've only seen it through 42. It is. Looks a lot better at 54 vs 12z 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 It looks that way to me, Tomba says it looks more amplified at 54 hours. I've only seen it through 42. I have 54 in NCEP now, Wes. Looks a good bit better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I have 54 in NCEP now, Wes. Looks a good bit better. Question is will it be enough? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I posed this question earlier but don't think anybody answered - When will our shortwave in question be over a decent sampling region? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I have 54 in NCEP now, Wes. Looks a good bit better. It does, Id' be surprised if it didn't get some snow up to DC based on its look but now that Tracker lives in DC and I'm a so-called winter weather expert, the storm has a lot working against it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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