stormtracker Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 At 54 hours, NAM seems a bit more amp'd than 12z at 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LetItSnowInPhilly Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 NAM has had the clipper system stronger for every model run this cycle from 0z to 18z... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 much more precip on this run. However it is the 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 how could it miss now (don't worry, Wes will tell us how) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 looking real good at 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Hour 84: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 wow at 84 va bullseye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 NAM has nailed the qpf for most of the fall events for this general area...so I'm riding this model for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 interesting precip signature off the VA capes at 84 hrs http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/18/images/nam_ref_084l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Oh My Lord Christ...Its the NAM against the World. I would love to see the 90 hour. How does the NAM usually do when its the outlier at 84? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 1-3 for RIC on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 interesting precip signature off the VA capes at 84 hrs http://www.nco.ncep....am_ref_084l.gif Yeah it is interesting looking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Oh My Lord Christ...Its the NAM against the World. I would love to see the 90 hour. How does the NAM usually do when its the outlier at 84? not as well as when it is the outlier vs. the world at 48 hrs ala 12/19/09 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 Oh My Lord Christ...Its the NAM against the World. I would love to see the 90 hour. How does the NAM usually do when its the outlier at 84? Not really. The NAM has support for an intact system, but its the only one this far north with the precip. I just wish we were not looking at 84 hours here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 There's always the ETA http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ETAEAST_18z/f84.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Oh My Lord Christ...Its the NAM against the World. I would love to see the 90 hour. How does the NAM usually do when its the outlier at 84? Don't get all frazzled it's still only showing a light precip event....might be all rain since we aren't looking at 2m temps on the 18z nam at 84 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Not really. The NAM has support for an intact system, but its the only one this far north with the precip. I just wish we were not looking at 84 hours here. Well its 78-84 And tonight will be 66-72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Here's the better resolution for y'all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 NAM has nailed the qpf for most of the fall events for this general area...so I'm riding this model for now. the nam does well with frontal precip though... clippers at the end of the run? i hope so, but im not sold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Don't get all frazzled it's still only showing a light precip event....might be all rain since we aren't looking at 2m temps on the 18z nam at 84 hours comes in at night that should help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Here's the better resolution for y'all Ashburn above 32 Leesburg below...good move Ji Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Ashburn above 32 Leesburg below...good move Ji Shouldn't make much of a difference..look at the spacing between the 32 F and 34 F areas...it's plenty cold in areas away from the immediate coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 Ashburn above 32 Leesburg below...good move Ji We're all in this together. Hold me. Chuck's in this thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 i think the nam did pick up on some trends earlier than others last yr even if it was not perfect. the higher resolution has to be worth something i guess. i could care less about the gfs but i'd want the euro more on board moving forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Hold me. Chuck's in this thread so much for being anon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 We're all in this together. Hold me. Chuck's in this thread and mitchnick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I wonder what hour 90 on the dgex will look like... just for ji Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 and mitchnick you guys gotta out everyone who is anon now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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