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Continued discussion/obs for cutoff low May 18 through end of week


ORH_wxman

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Yeah, next week looks warm and wet, very muggy, could be an all out disaster just to our north, tomorrow looks chilly, Nam for the win!

Pouring here now....

Heavy rain

63.4/62

.18" rainfall

Have had measurable rainfall every day for the last week, and in that time about 4" have fallen. Today was looking to be a sunny day until this deluge arrived with storms moving north-south along the Hudson Valley and into CT. It's amazing how we seem to find a way to get pounded with rain every day in this pattern, even with the ULL pulling to the northeast. Next week is looking like a slightly warmer version of the same with the cold front hanging out and producing continuous instability.

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Next week could wind up pretty wet though it won't be as chilly as last week.

A bit more humid, more storms, lots of clouds and temps in the 70s.

Overall not that great and next weekend could be in trouble with another big cut-off.

Yeah I'm pretty concerned about next week...it could be pretty awful...a bit better than this week but still pretty bad.

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Who cares...it's actually a distinct possibility.

Euro ensembles definitely show potential for a disaster next weekend and early the following week. Stronger high pressure up in Quebec resisting against a trough coming out of the OH Valley. Definite wet signal and could be some ugly E flow too, but too early to talk about any details that far out. But the trend is definitely a lot worse the latest runs.

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Euro ensembles definitely show potential for a disaster next weekend and early the following week. Stronger high pressure up in Quebec resisting against a trough coming out of the OH Valley. Definite wet signal and could be some ugly E flow too, but too early to talk about any details that far out. But the trend is definitely a lot worse the latest runs.

I think it was the 0z GFS when I first saw this but I got scared and I think it could certainly happen....strong low working into the west with a low departing in the east but nothing to push it offshroe,

Perhaps once we get into June we can get this hotter warmer to last.

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So more 40's and 50's and rain in late May all Mem Day weeeknd?

If that happens again next weekend. I won't post all summer

I doubt its that cold, but the well above average end of the month idea is in serious trouble.

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Oh well I meant Mem Day weekend. If we can grab some 70's and somewhat muggy that would be great. I just can't take more 50's

Yeah 50s will be hard to accomplish around memorial day in CT.... I think it could be cloudy, wet, humid, and upper 60ish. Either way it could really suck.

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If Memorial Day weekend cut off positions itself to open up the tropical spigot again... and we wind up see lots of convection Monday through Friday we could have some flooding issues.

I had 4.08 all week..which was one of the higher amts..but then no convection the last 2 days thankfully..Water still running out of hillsides today

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I had 4.08 all week..which was one of the higher amts..but then no convection the last 2 days thankfully..Water still running out of hillsides today

Yeah next week will be interesting. If we have 2-3" totals by Friday and then are looking at a memorial day soaker watch out.

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