Tropopause_Fold Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 On 5/23/2011 at 3:23 PM, CoastalWx said: Exactly. It might be better across the interior, but I could see one of those "dirty" warm sectors later this week with srly flow. Models are showing lots of srfc-850mb RH which is a red flag. Hopefully Thursday's crap burns off, but I could see it remaining stubborn. Look at the mass fields on the GFS and especially Euro. Like you said...I don't like seeing HP anywhere to my north and east. Nor do I want any subtle warm front like feature to the southwest. I'm hopeful for Friday and the weekend, but I have my guard up for sure. same here. it's just not clear cut that it's going to work out in our favor. i'm leaning toward the sunnier/milder side of things but i hate seeing a run every now and then that wants to drag some sort of surface boundary nearby or try and flip the flow SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 Worriers gonna worry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 On 5/23/2011 at 3:37 PM, CT Blizz said: Worriers gonna worry Weenies gonna spin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 54F now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 On 5/23/2011 at 3:59 PM, CoastalWx said: Weenies gonna spin. Don't hate the playa..hate the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 Some of the Joplin videos are intense. The one with the people in the store is just frightening. People screaming as the tornado is tearing it up. It's almost painful to listen to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 On 5/23/2011 at 4:29 PM, CoastalWx said: Some of the Joplin videos are intense. The one with the people in the store is just frightening. People screaming as the tornado is tearing it up. It's almost painful to listen to. Sort of like a few posts from this morning...Elephant man..hideous look away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 On 5/23/2011 at 4:29 PM, CoastalWx said: Some of the Joplin videos are intense. The one with the people in the store is just frightening. People screaming as the tornado is tearing it up. It's almost painful to listen to. Link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 Maybe some decent elevated storms tonight to herald in official start to summer and pattern change? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 On 5/23/2011 at 4:51 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: Link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 On 5/23/2011 at 4:55 PM, CT Blizz said: Maybe some decent elevated storms tonight to herald in official start to summer and pattern change? Poor Wiz's severe threat is imploding around us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 HOLY FOOKING EML!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 ORH stuck at 52F with fog. That's just suicide weather. 59/59 here with light rain in NYC's backyard. Not much better in these parts. Was supposed to be 73F today according to NWS. Glad I bagged my lunch for teaching, as it wouldn't be pleasant to walk around downtown in this weather. The trend towards above average precipitation and cloud cover in springtime is clear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 On 5/23/2011 at 5:03 PM, CT Rain said: Poor Wiz's severe threat is imploding around us. he still thinks there's gonna be storms tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 Better look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 On 5/23/2011 at 5:06 PM, weatherwiz said: Better look Is the EML where the red line (T) juts out showing the warmer air? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 On 5/23/2011 at 5:05 PM, nzucker said: ORH stuck at 52F with fog. That's just suicide weather. 59/59 here with light rain in NYC's backyard. Not much better in these parts. Was supposed to be 73F today according to NWS. Glad I bagged my lunch for teaching, as it wouldn't be pleasant to walk around downtown in this weather. The trend towards above average precipitation and cloud cover in springtime is clear. They took the 70's out of the forecast for today late last week. Not sure where you're getting that from Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 On 5/23/2011 at 5:05 PM, CT Blizz said: he still thinks there's gonna be storms tomorrow. I'm sure there will be some... svr threat looks minimal to me though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 On 5/23/2011 at 5:07 PM, CT Blizz said: They took the 70's out of the forecast for today late last week. Not sure where you're getting that from Not down here....I still had 70s for Monday this weekend in the NWS point-and-click. They also forecast a high of 64F yesterday, and we only made it to 59F. So, it's definitely been cooler than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 On 5/23/2011 at 5:06 PM, weatherwiz said: Better look That's a very nice sounding... good luck getting that to verify lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 On 5/23/2011 at 5:07 PM, CT Rain said: I'm sure there will be soon... svr threat looks minimal to me though. You still thinking 75ish Wed..and 78- 80 ish Thurs into the holiday weekend with higher dews? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 On 5/23/2011 at 5:08 PM, nzucker said: Not down here....I still had 70s for Monday this weekend in the NWS point-and-click. They also forecast a high of 64F yesterday, and we only made it to 59F. So, it's definitely been cooler than expected. Torched to 66 at home yesterday..Sunny much of the day till mid-late afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 On 5/23/2011 at 5:08 PM, CT Blizz said: You still thinking 75ish Wed..and 78- 80 ish Thurs into the holiday weekend with higher dews? yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 On 5/23/2011 at 5:02 PM, CoastalWx said: Wow. That's disturbing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 On 5/23/2011 at 5:10 PM, CT Rain said: yup Sounds like summer to me..For late May that is about perfect. And hopefully some storms around in the PM heating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 23, 2011 Author Share Posted May 23, 2011 Nice afternoon, 54F and fog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 On 5/23/2011 at 5:11 PM, CT Blizz said: Sounds like summer to me..For late May that is about perfect. And hopefully some storms around in the PM heating yeah that's how it looks to me. Some concern the boundary by the weekend gets hung up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 On 5/23/2011 at 5:07 PM, nzucker said: Is the EML where the red line (T) juts out showing the warmer air? Yes, it's also a capping inversion...this is something YOU want to get our big time severe events...these are associated with very steep ML lapse rates. Obviously this may not happen but it's fun to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 On 5/23/2011 at 5:12 PM, CT Rain said: yeah that's how it looks to me. Some concern the boundary by the weekend gets hung up Even if it does hang up over over us..or just west we'd be good for warmth, humidity..and even better shot at scattered thunder. I have never looked forward to a pattern change in the warm wx months more than this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 23, 2011 Share Posted May 23, 2011 On 5/23/2011 at 5:08 PM, CT Rain said: That's a very nice sounding... good luck getting that to verify lol Yeah this is certainly fun to look at...when I was looking at the instability graphic on twisterdata and saw the very high capes and LI I thought maybe it was overdoing the dewpoints but they looked realistic to me so I looked at a sounding and my eyes lit up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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