Spot Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 We are going to be in between both storm systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Per 12z NAM, Tulsa may be on the fringe of the 2nd system. this is getting depressing now just 0.8 snow for tulsa what happened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 so barely anything! so sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 The 12z run of the NAM looks really good for SE KS and SW MO though. It seems E OK misses out on the heaviest with the NAM. Edited to add the HPC's thoughts for 4" + of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Tulsa could still pickup an inch or 2 with the 2nd system. But I'll be lucky to get a dusting. so barely anything! so sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 The 12z run of the NAM looks really good for SE KS and SW MO though. It seems E OK misses out on the heaviest with the NAM. Edited to add the HPC's thoughts for 4" + of snow So close... yet so far. lol Both of those are like 30-50 miles part from me.. gotta love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 hate la nina last year we got slammed 3 times! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 12z NAM snow total overlay has updated. http://wxcaster.com/gis-snow-overlays.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 yeah both the NAM and GFS have moved a bit south with the energy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
springfieldnewsnut Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Lovin' that 12z NAM. Anxiously awaiting the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Looks like LA NADA will continue for Oklahoma, unless you are in the far NE corner or the far SE corner. Hell I might have to chase snow this year, its so bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 i knew it were screwed ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Looking like a solid 3-6 event across far NE OK. SE KS and most of SW MO, for now at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 .10-.20 of an inch of precip to work with before its over.. an inch of snow for me wouldnt be TO tough.. then again its going be so light I doubt it will accum.... Maybe a bit more for Tulsa. i knew it were screwed ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Yea that looks decent with a higher snowfall ratio. Looking like a solid 3-6 event across far NE OK. SE KS and most of SW MO, for now at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 NAM a bit stronger and thus more precip per the 12z runs. Tot GFS precip for the area ranging from .30-.40. NAM avg around .35-.5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 NAM a bit stronger and thus more precip per the 12z runs. Tot GFS precip for the area ranging from .30-.40. NAM avg around .35-.5. yeah, NAM is going to be interesting within 48 hours as it catches the mesoscale processes better. Also get to use its hires versions. Looks like the snow growth region will be at -10 to -15 which is pretty prime for snow production. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 yeah, NAM is going to be interesting within 48 hours as it catches the mesoscale processes better. Also get to use its hires versions. Looks like the snow growth region will be at -10 to -15 which is pretty prime for snow production. Things appear to be coming in line for a nice event. The 850 circulation appears to cross right over far SW MO by Monday PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 GGEM 12z GFS Ensemble mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Good to see the GGEM coming in line now with the US models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 12z GFS snow overlay updated. It appears these totals are based on 10:1 ratios. http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overlays.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Looks like the far corner of NW Ark just barely sneaks in on the action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Looks like the far corner of NW Ark just barely sneaks in on the action. Has trended better for your area. Look to be in a good 2-4 in. area now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 GGEM maybe an inch total here if lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 Better look at the GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 Kansas City is going to issue a Watch for their SW counties. JUST A HEADS UP THAT WE ARE GETTING MORE CONCERNED ABOUT THE SNOWFALL TOTALS WITH THE MONDAY STORM AS IT IS LOOKING MORE DYNAMIC...WHICH THE MODELS HAVE A TENDENCY TO UNDERDO ON THIS TYPE OF WAVE...WITH MORE OF A NEGATIVE TILT. WILL LIKELY BE ISSUING A WATCH FOR THE SOUTHWEST TWO THIRDS OF THE AREA AFTER WE GET DONE WITH OUR LATEST SNOWFALL TOTALS AND COORDINATION WITH OUR NEIGHBORING OFFICES. STAY TUNED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Kansas City is going to issue a Watch for their SW counties. JUST A HEADS UP THAT WE ARE GETTING MORE CONCERNED ABOUT THE SNOWFALL TOTALS WITH THE MONDAY STORM AS IT IS LOOKING MORE DYNAMIC...WHICH THE MODELS HAVE A TENDENCY TO UNDERDO ON THIS TYPE OF WAVE...WITH MORE OF A NEGATIVE TILT. WILL LIKELY BE ISSUING A WATCH FOR THE SOUTHWEST TWO THIRDS OF THE AREA AFTER WE GET DONE WITH OUR LATEST SNOWFALL TOTALS AND COORDINATION WITH OUR NEIGHBORING OFFICES. STAY TUNED. Wow..models may be underestimating huh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 Wow..models may be underestimating huh. (EDIT: No big changes on the Euro, hour 60 is an 'off' hour and can't see it) They are probably looking at the NAM which is stronger and gives a neg tilt to the low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 any hope for tulsa? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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