Joplinmet Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Do you live in Joplin? I know some folks down in Springfield. Yep I live in the Joplin area. Actually in a smaller town on the north side of the city/town whatever you want to call it, lol. I know Joplins metro is really going, but it is hard to call it a metro area when I was raised in KC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Ok I saw this and just had to throw it out there. Trust me I know this is not in a realm of possibility but got a good laugh out of it anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 Ok I saw this and just had to throw it out there. Trust me I know this is not in a realm of possibility but got a good laugh out of it anyway. haha the DGEX is great. NAM is bad at 84 so let's extend it to 192! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 this is our winter summed up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 lol.. awesome, but true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 northern wave is a beast this run.. 84 hour snowfall accumulation from the 00z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 this is our winter summed up Just do NAM QPF + DGEX over the SW MO hole and you are golden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 Just do NAM QPF + DGEX over the SW MO hole and you are golden. So this is where I mention it's the 84 hour NAM and since it doesn't show snow, it's completely wrong. Had it shown a snowstorm it would be completely right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Just do NAM QPF + DGEX over the SW MO hole and you are golden. On to the GFS.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joplinmet Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Yep we will see what the GFS has to hold. As JoMo said, lets hope it doesn't go farther north. If we can get and inch, that would be great. Anything more would be a bonus. Lets hope we don't get missed. That is why I am keeping my % chances a little low on my forecat for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Come on GFS. We're rooting for you!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
springfieldnewsnut Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Springfield, MO always has a dry hole over it. What's up with that? Ugh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 GFS is running... I'm kind of nervous. It would be terrible to see storm 1 miss us to the south and storm 2 barely miss us to the NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 GFS is running... I'm kind of nervous. It would be terrible to see storm 1 miss us to the south and storm 2 barely miss us to the NW. Yeah I feel your pain but I can easily see that happening. We may be lucky to see flurries here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Thru 72 not much change from the 18z run. Maybe a tad slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 Well storm 1 is a miss on the GFS. Storm 2 is farther south at 84 than it was at 12z. No idea how this is going to eject out yet though....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Most of Mizz. gets hit decent on the GFS imo. HR 96: .1-.25 qpf across W. mizz. HR 99: .1-.25 qpf throughout the whole state. More coming yet also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 A good .25-.5 qpf throughout the state probably according to the 0z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 Still on the far S edge of the decent precip through for MO/KS through 102. Arkansas and Oklahoma are gonna get screwed and I figure MO/KS will by next run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Most of Mizz. gets hit decent on the GFS imo. HR 96: .1-.25 qpf across W. mizz. HR 99: .1-.25 qpf throughout the whole state. More coming yet also. Tks for the quick update Money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 NP. .5-.75 qpf in W. Mizz. .25-.5 throughout the rest of the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 This run looks much better to me than previous. Of course, maybe I am just not looking at things correctly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 This run looks much better to me than previous. Of course, maybe I am just not looking at things correctly. Yeah not bad. As JoMo says we are awfully close to the edge of the best precip so any more slight shift and we could be in trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 This run looks much better to me than previous. Of course, maybe I am just not looking at things correctly. yeah the main problem is the decent precip line keeps creeping farther north and we are still days away from the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 00z GFS snow map Compared to the 12z GFS snow map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozarkwx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Not a good run for N AR, lol. We get a few more spins of the model roulette wheel however. I am not giving up on the southern low just yet. Seems like lots of systems end up cutting more NW than forecast 3 days out. 00z GFS snow map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozarkwx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 If we get totally hosed on this set up , I think we should all take this as our avatar til we get one inch of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Ozark, this isn't looking promising. Hopefully you're right on the southern storm. Looks like NW Ark may get stuck right in the middle with nothing. If tomorrow's runs don't get better we may be screwed. This sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 GGEM's outlook (precip in bottom right panel)... Reload if it's not 00z Tues http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/134_100.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Well we're kinda splitting hairs here looking at precip lines on model runs, especially this far out. IMO most on this thread are still very much in the mix for a little snow come Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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