12z euro

[tombo82685]

out to 12 hrs

[tombo82685]

out to 48 hrs, shortwave looks a little stronger on the 12z euro

[Dsnowx53]

out to 48 hrs, shortwave looks a little stronger on the 12z euro

Agreed.

[tombo82685]

hr 60, lgt precip across the northern plains, with some lgt to mod in there also

[Dsnowx53]

Looks like the shortwave is digging a bit more through hour 60 than it was at hour 72 on the 00z. I don't see any real differences with the ULL, though, unfortunately.

[tombo82685]

66 hrs, the shortwave doesn't look like its digging as much as 0z run and the intensity has backed off...lgt to mod precip over northern plains starting to enter western lakes

[tombo82685]

hr 72 less amplified then oz, lgt precip over western great lakes and plain states coming into ohio valley. The precip field is also a little further south

[tombo82685]

hr 78 1012 low over eastern tn, compared to weastern ky on 0z run. precip over ohio valley and into wi and southern mi

[tombo82685]

hr 84 broad area of 1012 low pressure, looks like the low is over central nc...precip in ohio valley and ky,nc,va, lgt to mod in eastern ky and sw va

[tombo82685]

hr 90 broad area of 1008 pressure, low looks to be centered over hatteras, lgt precip va to central ohio south, lgt to mo precip in shenandoah valley.

[Dsnowx53]

I think the first shortwave still looked better than 0z, but it looked a bit faster, so it ran into the confluence earlier. I don't think this run is going to do it.

[tombo82685]

sub 1000 mb low about 150 miles east of hatteras.lgt precip va nc wva, some lgt to mode on outer banks

[WxUSAF]

DC north gets skunked on precip?

[tombo82685]

hr 102 992 low about 400 miles east of lewes de

[tombo82685]

DC north gets skunked on precip?

yes

[jlewis1111]

thanks tombo. Great view from you. Maybe RIC might see some flakes

[yoda]

yes

Does anyone really see much DC south? Like 0.25ish?

[CooL]

so the gfs,euro,ggem all have this storm bombing out ots right now, atleast there is some decent agreemement right now but things can easily change...hmm

[tombo82685]

Does anyone really see much DC south? Like 0.25ish?

mtns get .25-.5 central and southern va get .1-.25 and northern nc

[tombo82685]

down east maine gets hit hr 120

[tombo82685]

compared to the 0z euro, the pacific energy ejected a lot quicker, where the 0z basically stalled it in the pacific. hr 126 has the energy over nv

[easternsnowman]

It always shows it south but then slowly a north trend begins. I would'nt want to be in the bullseye this far out.

[tombo82685]

hr 138 has storm 2 in the rockies

[tombo82685]

storm 2 starting to shear out over col

[tombo82685]

one noticeable trend on the 12z euro, the vortex is moving out a lot quicker

[tombo82685]

huge changes in the northeast, vortex is gone. 0z had thicknesses of 522 over the whole northeast , 12z 530s, 850 line is racing east, while another load of arctic air is trying to come south

[tombo82685]

pos nao at hr 180

[Radders]

It's the Euro at 180, I know, but that PV sitting out to the west of British Columbia is really causing any ridging out west to flatten out, and it appears to me that the long range Euro is trying to depict a much flatter flow at H5 and more of a gradient pattern....

[tombo82685]

It's the Euro at 180, I know, but that PV sitting out to the west of British Columbia is really causing any ridging out west to flatten out, and it appears to me that the long range Euro is trying to depict a much flatter flow at H5 and more of a gradient pattern....

yup, so far at hr 192 all the cold is bottled up in canada and northern mid atl north

[tombo82685]

central canada is brutally cold