Isotherm Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Much cooler overall for the US, but still warm in the South and East. http://www.lightinthestorm.com/ Comments/feedback/questions welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainstorm Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 looks good. what about cane season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matthewweatherwatcher Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Much cooler overall for the US, but still warm in the South and East. http://www.lightinthestorm.com/ Comments/feedback/questions welcome. Good stuff isotherm....I think the northwest U.S is going to be colder then all hell this summer. Maybe a top 5 coldest for Oregon, washington, Idaho, ect. Above normal rainfall to...I just don't see a warm summer for much of Oregon this year. Cool June, July at least. I agree with a warm southeast with a better hurricane season for landfalls within that part of the country. Keep up the good work! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Much cooler overall for the US, but still warm in the South and East. http://www.lightinthestorm.com/ Comments/feedback/questions welcome. Good stuff, Isotherm. 99 and 08 keep coming up as tropical analogs as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 I would say north of the mason dixon line will be slightly below norma,l, that is the 1981-2010 norms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 17, 2011 Author Share Posted May 17, 2011 Thanks for the comments guys. Rainstorm - I did not research the tropical season heavily, but if I were to make a call, I'd say above average activity, with the Carolinas being at heightened risk relative to normals and the rest of the coastline. The large scale ridge/trough pattern I'm forecasting for the better part of the summer is more favorable than past years for east coast cyclone impact. The Gulf also may be interesting June-July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Derek30 Posted May 18, 2011 Share Posted May 18, 2011 Good stuff. Thoughts on where the main thunderstorm action will be occurring this summer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted September 4, 2011 Author Share Posted September 4, 2011 Verification: Summer 2011 Below was the conclusion/numbers issued back in May for this summer. "Conclusion: Summer 2011 should be warmer than normal in the Northeast, with the biggest heat occurring in the front part of the summer, and the coolest temperatures in August. Precipitation will be greater than normal for the majority of the Northeast for June-July-August. In addition, I anticipate this summer to be more humid than is considered “normal” due in large part to the already very warm/moist Gulf and Atlantic. An overall warm, humid, wet summer should be on the way. NYC projected temp departures June: +2 to +3 July: 0 to +1 August: -1 to -2 Overall Summer departures: 0 to +1 Precipitation: Above to well above normal" The idea that the front half of the summer would be much warmer than the second worked out well, along with the forecast of above to well above normal rainfall. Actual / Forecast temp departures for NYC: June: +1.1 / +2.5 July: +3.7 / +0.5 August: +0.1 / -1.5 Overall: +1.6 / 0 to +1 Grades: June - B July - D August - B Monthly grade - C+ Precip grade: A Overall JJA Grade: B Final Summer 2011 grade: B Comments/grades/criticism welcome. Now onto winter! Only a month or so until outlooks will be rolling out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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