famartin Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 Storm total at my parents in Ewing since Saturday is 0.76" as of 2PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 LanCo is getting absolutely dumped on, FFW out for the City, and surrounding areas. Not a good sign for the next 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 LanCo is getting absolutely dumped on, FFW out for the City, and surrounding areas. Not a good sign for the next 2 days. Radar showing a bulls eye of 3.2 inches in the last hour just northwest of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 1.60 inches of rain here since Saturday night with .20 of that so far today! York and Lancaster counties keep getting trained on by these heavy showers and this is not even the main part of the storm yet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted May 17, 2011 Author Share Posted May 17, 2011 stole this from the NYC thread, it's the sref probabilities for thunderstorms overnight into tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted May 17, 2011 Author Share Posted May 17, 2011 pretty impressive set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 pretty impressive set up. Damn! Sure is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 It is really coming down in macungie area. Urban flash flood watch or even a warning should be considered for tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Precip really beginning to blossom out in the Atlantic, pivoting NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 We've gotten approx. 1.10" of rain so far here in Hazleton... I can't take the clouds/rain all the time. I want the sun and humid/warm temps back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0100 AM CDT TUE MAY 17 2011 VALID 171200Z - 181200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES/DELMARVA... ...MID-ATLANTIC STATES/DELMARVA/CAROLINAS... WITHIN THE EASTERN CONUS LONGWAVE TROUGH...AN UPPER LOW OVER THE CAROLINAS EARLY TODAY IS EXPECTED TO PIVOT NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS BY THIS EVENING. AS THIS OCCURS...A NARROW WEDGE OF RELATIVELY HIGHER THETA-E...CHARACTERIZED BY LOWER 60S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS...WILL REMAIN ALONG THE COASTAL MID-ATLANTIC/DELMARVA VICINITY AMID A GRADUALLY CONSOLIDATING FRONTAL ZONE. WHILE THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER IMPULSE WILL OVERSPREAD/INFLUENCE THE WARM SECTOR RELATIVELY EARLY TODAY /PRIOR TO PEAK HEATING/...MODEST LOW LEVEL HEATING COUPLED WITH COOLING ALOFT...IN THE PRESENCE OF PERSISTENT LOW LEVEL CONFLUENCE...WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME STRONGER SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS BY THIS AFTERNOON. IN THE PRESENCE OF RELATIVELY STRONG DEEP LAYER SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL SRH /GENERALLY MAXIMIZED IN THE DELMARVA GENERAL VICINITY/...SOME ORGANIZED MULTICELLS/RELATIVELY LOW TOPPED SUPERCELLS MAY PRODUCE WIND DAMAGE AND/OR AN ISOLATED TORNADO...WITH SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL POSSIBLE AS WELL. FARTHER SOUTH...OTHER ISOLATED SEVERE TSTMS MAY BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE CAROLINAS...GENERALLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE PORTION OF THE EASTERN STATES TROUGH PIVOTING EASTWARD TOWARD THE REGION. EVEN SO...FORECAST THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WITHIN A MODESTLY MOIST AIRMASS IMPLY ONLY A MARGINAL/ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT IN THE FORM OF WIND AND/OR HAIL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 another .34" in the gauge overnight; 3.06" 3-day storm total here in Martins Creek, Northampton County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 0.22" overnight 1.04" since Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted May 17, 2011 Author Share Posted May 17, 2011 Nice view of the h5 set up and ongoing omega block scheme... trough west, ridge middle, trough/close low east. http://einstein.atmos.colostate.edu/~mcnoldy/phi3D/500/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 1.76" of rain since Sunday here in NW Chester Co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 0.56 overnight. 1.26 since saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted May 17, 2011 Author Share Posted May 17, 2011 New SPC outlook drops SE PA out of the slight risk as well as the rest of NJ: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bilas Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Wow what a bust of a storm so far here in SJ hardly any rain has fallen and radar does not look promising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Wow what a bust of a storm so far here in SJ hardly any rain has fallen and radar does not look promising. your calling bust way, way too early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Wow what a bust of a storm so far here in SJ hardly any rain has fallen and radar does not look promising. Check out the large batch of heavy echos coming nearly due west off the Atlantic from south of Delaware all the way up to northern Jersey. This in no way will equate to a bust. The low to the south in NC is heading NW and with that track, those echos off the coast should put down some copious amounts later today/tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Has anyone else had any peaks of sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Has anyone else had any peaks of sun not up this way, only thing i noticed is my dehumidifier filling ever 24 hours in my basement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 not up this way, only thing i noticed is my dehumidifier filling ever 24 hours in my basement. That sucks better that filling and emptying it then the alternative right? Yeah everytime the sun peaks out there heads on over another rain shower, also with each passing shower it feels a rid bit warmer not sure if I am right or wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bilas Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Check out the large batch of heavy echos coming nearly due west off the Atlantic from south of Delaware all the way up to northern Jersey. This in no way will equate to a bust. The low to the south in NC is heading NW and with that track, those echos off the coast should put down some copious amounts later today/tonight. If you read my post I said so far... The forecast for my area was: Last night - numerous showers and storms - we got hardly nothing. This morning heavy rain - again hardly nothing it is now 2:00pm still nothing, What I meant was so far according to the forcast it has not done what they said. If it rains tonight and tomorrow OK but so far we did not get what the mets where saying at least here in SJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 I got you beat.....my sump pump is emptying the sump well every 10-15 minutes not up this way, only thing i noticed is my dehumidifier filling ever 24 hours in my basement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 I got you beat.....my sump pump is emptying the sump well every 10-15 minutes you win (or lose) :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 shield is still up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 If you read my post I said so far... The forecast for my area was: Last night - numerous showers and storms - we got hardly nothing. This morning heavy rain - again hardly nothing it is now 2:00pm still nothing, What I meant was so far according to the forcast it has not done what they said. If it rains tonight and tomorrow OK but so far we did not get what the mets where saying at least here in SJ. Gotcha Interesting how that plume of moisture doesn't seem to want to make it too far west. My guess is we still get some decent amounts tonight. But I haven't check the hi res models today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bilas Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 shield is still up Will that shield every break down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Will that shield every break down? Nope, it's never going to rain again, you should move. Immediately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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