stormtracker Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Interesting at 84 hours. Sure, its the Nam. Its 6z for God's sake...but it sort of has some support from the 0z Euro's stronger depiction of the s/w. I dunno..its 430 am...cut me some slack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Looks good... What does hour 90 show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Interesting at 84 hours. Sure, its the Nam. Its 6z for God's sake...but it sort of has some support from the 0z Euro's stronger depiction of the s/w. I dunno..its 430 am...cut me some slack Yes it is interesting. I can't sleep either. The rain is about to beat my roof in. Also, I share the same sickness as many here. I'm already hoping for snow, ALL OF THE TIME! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ender Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I realize it's the NAM, and it's God forsaken at that, but I kinda think the implied track makes more sense than the sw KY -> CLT -> HAT path. I guess that'd be "good" for us, but I don't at all buy the old EC ideas of the inverted trof and moisture toss back. So, good for a dusting I guess. Of course any time I've tried to bet against the EC inside of 84hr I've been proven a fool, and this is awfully close to inside 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ender Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Wow! Someone asked for the 90hr NAM...where's the DGEX thread and it's 50 posts. Lol. The NAM extended with GFS physics looks spectacular. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Looks good... What does hour 90 show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 The 06Z nam and the euro look interesting. Did the euro actually give us precip, it looks like it should have but with the crappy graphics, I can't tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 The 06Z nam and the euro look interesting. Did the euro actually give us precip, it looks like it should have but with the crappy graphics, I can't tell. Midlo quoted this in the Richmond thread: there's a strip of 0.25-0.50" amounts across North Carolina to North Central Virgina. DC probably gets less than 0.10". The phase is literally a frame or two late. The storm then hooks and retrogrades into the Gulf of Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Wow! Someone asked for the 90hr NAM...where's the DGEX thread and it's 50 posts. Lol. The NAM extended with GFS physics looks spectacular. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 The 06Z nam and the euro look interesting. Did the euro actually give us precip, it looks like it should have but with the crappy graphics, I can't tell. Euro gave IAD about .08 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Now that's just stupid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 DGEX for the win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 DGEX for the win DIdn't it have its heyday during the Feb storm for us? The first one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 DGEX for the win DGEX predicted 41 inches for Leesburg in early Feb(a week out) last year. it was wrong...we only got 34 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 DGEX predicted 41 inches for Leesburg in early Feb(a week out) last year. it was wrong...we only got 34 inches what a POS model for that then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I can't seem to get 108 in between (if there is one) but this is the euro ensemble mean at 96 above and 120 below http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ecmwfens/00zecmwfens850mbTSLPUS120.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 12z nam looks decent--- I'd guess there is a north jog just waiting-- I'd drive an hour or two to see a few inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 12z NAM ups the ante. Looking interesting still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 12z NAM ups the ante. Looking interesting still Hmmm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 damn...i need to see the 90 hour NAM again but it looks promising for some accumulating snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 12z looks juicy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Nice 700 rh map.. note the UVV's in W VA/WV. Would like that 700mb to dive a bit further south though for comfort Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 From Wes: The 03Z sref runs also showed quite a few members that would threaten the dc area. It's too early to whether the storm will be a dud like on last night's GFS, a euro dusting for DC but better snow for midlo or the nam which looks like it would hit my house but the NAM would rock my and Ji's world. Stay tuned for another CWG article. It might be needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarolineWx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I don't like the track since the 850 low looks to go right over Northern VA on this run but someone could see 2 to 4 inches if this would happen like the NAM shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Yeah yeah yeah.. its hr 84... but neg tilt? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 That from Wes, yoda? Nice if it is. When he gets excited, its time to dust off the bus. I wonder if we have to start worrying about temp issues tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I don't like the track since the 850 low looks to go right over Northern VA on this run but someone could see 2 to 4 inches if this would happen like the NAM shows. If I remember was Wes and others have said, you usually want to be just north of the 850 low for the heaviest snows... or am I wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 If the NAM is accurate, so much for the thought of just some light snow. I was shocked this morning when I saw the NAM and some of the GFS Ensembles Members from 6Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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