tombo82685 Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 No precip at all into New Jersey? nope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 132 hours its in the 970's no doubt..and bringing snow with the CCB to cape cod Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 hr 132 low is being pulled back into the gulf of maine, cape cod is getting brushed with precip, the storm is a bomb prob sub 976, i cant tell the isobars are so compacted, the h5 cut off is over n pa/s ny this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Well that sure beats the supressed /sheared out solution.... Thanks for the PBP fella's.. work in the am @ 6.. worth it to stay up for this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 low is being pulled back into the gulf of maine, cape cod is getting brushed with precip, the storm is a bomb prob sub 976, i cant tell the isobars are so compacted, the h5 cut off is over n pa/s ny this run Yup...told you it would get tugged back northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 the 2nd storm is cut off somewhere in the pacific, hasnt enetered the us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 hr 138 it makes landfall in new foundland, pacific energy starting to come onshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Boston misses a blizzard by 50 miles...the storm then retrogrades into Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 hr 144 central and w maine gets crushed as well as n vt and nh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Boston misses a blizzard by 50 miles...the storm then retrogrades into Maine. It sounds like the surface low should be closer to the coast...never heard of an H5 low in central PA and a surface low 300 miles east of the benchmark if it's phased well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Cape cod 0.75" liquid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 huge ridge in the west, pacific energy still coming onshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 It sounds like the surface low should be closer to the coast...never heard of an H5 low in central PA and a surface low 300 miles east of the benchmark if it's phased well. Might not be totally phased well...I only have the upper level heights. It's just light years away from any other solution right now...none of them have anything close to this. This is owing to the weaker confluence and ULL and much stronger shortwave over the northern plains initially. I might have to make a trip to Vermont for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Looks like at least the 1st storm is back on the table for the mid-atlantic and northeast, still going to need a couple of more days to work out the details, good trends on the Euro tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Looks like at least the 1st storm is back on the table for the mid-atlantic and northeast, still going to need a couple of more days to work out the details, good trends on the Euro tonight. I don't think we got much in the MA... what would you say Earthlight on this run? I think the phasing and neg tilt was a bit too late for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 hr 162 not sure if its storm 2 or a strom 3, because its entry point is in the pac nw instead of the sw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I don't think we got much in the MA... what would you say Earthlight on this run? I think the phasing and neg tilt was a bit too late for us Correct...there's a strip of 0.25-0.50" amounts across North Carolina to North Central Virgina. DC probably gets less than 0.10". The phase is literally a frame or two late. The storm then hooks and retrogrades into the Gulf of Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 We don't from what I can tell, but compared to the 12z Euro this is a huge improvement, so right now I would consider the 1st storm to be back on the table for right now until the details can be worked out in a couple of days or so. I don't think we got much in the MA... what would you say Earthlight on this run? I think the phasing and neg tilt was a bit too late for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I don't think we got much in the MA... what would you say Earthlight on this run? I think the phasing and neg tilt was a bit too late for us Yeah, but I agree that it would be back on the table with this run. The 12z suppressed solution was definitely worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I don't think we got much in the MA... what would you say Earthlight on this run? I think the phasing and neg tilt was a bit too late for us It was definitely too late, no doubt about that. But its the huge improvement that we are focusing on. Baby steps.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 I don't think we got much in the MA... what would you say Earthlight on this run? I think the phasing and neg tilt was a bit too late for us dc gets some snow from the clipper, the further south in va the better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 The shortwave we are interested in--the one which the Euro is much more robust with this run-- is still in a relatively poor RAOB and sampling region this evening. I think over the next few days things will come into focus..and could still change dramatically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 The shortwave we are interested in--the one which the Euro is much more robust with this run-- is still in a relatively poor RAOB and sampling region this evening. I think over the next few days things will come into focus..and could still change dramatically. you could tell this run was going to be different by the strength of the clipper coming out of the plains into the gl and ten valley regions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 storm number 2 must of been pulverized, storm number 3 still in pac nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 The shortwave we are interested in--the one which the Euro is much more robust with this run-- is still in a relatively poor RAOB and sampling region this evening. I think over the next few days things will come into focus..and could still change dramatically. Seems like only the Euro and the SREFs are really amping up that first shortwave...not sure if I believe it, honestly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 lol still cutoff h5 low over the northeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 how wet is it for tonight/tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Correct...there's a strip of 0.25-0.50" amounts across North Carolina to North Central Virgina. DC probably gets less than 0.10". The phase is literally a frame or two late. The storm then hooks and retrogrades into the Gulf of Maine. If the phase was a frame or two faster... would the pattern support a storm going up the coast like a nor'easter? Fun for everyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 It was definitely too late, no doubt about that. But its the huge improvement that we are focusing on. Baby steps.. Very big improvement. Almost close to a full phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 how wet is it for tonight/tomorrow? nyc area .75-1.25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.