Powerball Posted May 7, 2011 Share Posted May 7, 2011 Ummm It is May 7th, The title of the thread clearly says 8th-11th..Make a different topic if you want to post about today's severe weather. Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldlogin Posted May 7, 2011 Share Posted May 7, 2011 RELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 449 PM CDT SAT MAY 07 2011 .TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON .DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. ..REMARKS.. 0405 PM TORNADO 5 W PAXTON 40.46N 88.19W 05/07/2011 FORD IL TRAINED SPOTTER PRELIMINARY REPORT OF A SMALL TORNADO. TOUCH DOWN WAS IN OPEN COUNTRY. NO DAMAGE REPORTED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtticaFanatica Posted May 7, 2011 Share Posted May 7, 2011 Ummm It is May 7th, The title of the thread clearly says 8th-11th..Make a different topic if you want to post about today's severe weather. Oh come on, who cares, these complaints are getting ridiculous. edit: I probably should have started a new thread for this post, my bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldlogin Posted May 7, 2011 Share Posted May 7, 2011 Oh come on, who cares, these complaints are getting ridiculous. edit: I probably should have started a new thread for this post, my bad. Right On !------------ ( sorry, showing my age) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldlogin Posted May 7, 2011 Share Posted May 7, 2011 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 603 PM CDT SAT MAY 7 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN EDGAR COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS... SOUTHERN VERMILION COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS... * UNTIL 645 PM CDT. * AT 559 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED JUST NORTHEAST OF ALLERTON...OR 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DANVILLE...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. AT 558 PM...TRAINED SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD WITH THIS STORM. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... SIDELL...RIDGE FARM...CHRISMAN...JAMAICA...INDIANOLA AND SCOTTLAND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldlogin Posted May 7, 2011 Share Posted May 7, 2011 LC045-183-072345- /O.CON.KILX.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-110507T2345Z/ VERMILION IL-EDGAR IL- 612 PM CDT SAT MAY 7 2011 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN EDGAR AND SOUTHERN VERMILION COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM CDT... AT 608 PM CDT...A TRAINED HAM RADIO SPOTTER REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 2 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ALLERTON. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... SIDELL...RIDGE FARM...CHRISMAN...INDIANOLA AND SCOTTLAND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 7, 2011 Share Posted May 7, 2011 Getting split here with the best action to the southwest. Them's the breaks...but we should have a few more opportunities in the coming days. Regarding a new thread, I honestly forgot this thread was for the 8th onward. Seems kinda pointless now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 7, 2011 Share Posted May 7, 2011 LC045-183-072345- /O.CON.KILX.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-110507T2345Z/ VERMILION IL-EDGAR IL- 612 PM CDT SAT MAY 7 2011 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN EDGAR AND SOUTHERN VERMILION COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM CDT... AT 608 PM CDT...A TRAINED HAM RADIO SPOTTER REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 2 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ALLERTON. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... SIDELL...RIDGE FARM...CHRISMAN...INDIANOLA AND SCOTTLAND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. That's a nice looking cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 7, 2011 Share Posted May 7, 2011 I went back and forth several times trying to decide whether or not to chase today. I decided not to, but probably should have... Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 7, 2011 Share Posted May 7, 2011 I went back and forth several times trying to decide whether or not to chase today. I decided not to, but probably should have... Oh well. I'm doing the same thing right now. I could probably get to those cells near the border if I leave now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 7, 2011 Share Posted May 7, 2011 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 620 PM CDT SAT MAY 07 2011 0608 PM TORNADO 2 SE ALLERTON 39.89N 87.91W 05/07/2011 VERMILION IL AMATEUR RADIO SEVERAL WEAK TORNADOES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 7, 2011 Share Posted May 7, 2011 I'm doing the same thing right now. I could probably get to those cells near the border if I leave now. Looks like it would be a sprint to make it there though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 7, 2011 Share Posted May 7, 2011 Looks like it would be a sprint to make it there though. Could shoot down 231 and intercept, but visibility is not as good in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 8, 2011 Share Posted May 8, 2011 Potentially tornadic cell heading toward Terre Haute but only doppler indicated right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldlogin Posted May 8, 2011 Share Posted May 8, 2011 Potentially tornadic cell heading toward Terre Haute but only doppler indicated right now. AT 836 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTH OF TERRE HAUTE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. SPOTTERS ALSO RECENTLY REPORTED A ROTATING WALL CLOUD SOUTH OF TERRE HAUTE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldlogin Posted May 8, 2011 Share Posted May 8, 2011 AT 859 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 13 MILES NORTHEAST OF SULLIVAN...OR 16 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TERRE HAUTE...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. IN ADDITION...PING PONG SIZE HAIL SOUTH OF TERRE HAUTE WAS ALSO REPORTED WITH THIS STORM AT 850 PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICEHOCEY77 Posted May 8, 2011 Share Posted May 8, 2011 18Z NAM didn't look very impressive for the storm cycle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldlogin Posted May 8, 2011 Share Posted May 8, 2011 * AT 931 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LINTON...OR 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TERRE HAUTE...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. IN ADDITION...AT MIDLAND A ROTATING WALL CLOUD WAS REPORTED BY TRAINED SPOTTERS AT 930 PM EDT WITH THIS STORM. THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING PING PONG SIZE HAIL AS WELL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 8, 2011 Share Posted May 8, 2011 If I'm interpreting all of Earl Barker's maps correctly, it looks to me like the greatest threat of severe storms Wednesday night in the Great Lakes area will be in Western and SouthCentral Wisconsin based on the GFS anyway. I checked surface cape, lid strength, and STP, and that's the area that was most favorable for those three parameters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 8, 2011 Share Posted May 8, 2011 Looks like the 00z NAM fires storms in IL on Tuesday on the edge of the previous activity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 8, 2011 Share Posted May 8, 2011 Since this event is looking more like an Omega block setup rather than a ring of fire setup the frequency of the severe weather should be kept at bay, and by that I mean the MCS activity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnchaser Posted May 8, 2011 Share Posted May 8, 2011 00z NAM still showing a weakening cap in southern MN for Tuesday, As the way it looks now if storms can fire in that environment it could be quite explosive and discrete near the triple point. Storm Motions look good and we probably won't have to deal with storms moving 50+ mph. But 700mb temps definitely seem a bit on the warmer higher side..which concerns me as far as the cap goes. Time will tell, and this could easily be a bust or a good day the way it looks now up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 8, 2011 Share Posted May 8, 2011 GFS has MLCAPE of 5000 in northern IL on Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 8, 2011 Share Posted May 8, 2011 GFS has MLCAPE of 5000 in northern IL on Tuesday. Amazing that it's forecasting 75+ degree dews over the area as well. Very early for moisture like that this far north. If that verifies I can't even imagine how high it would be in June or July when crops are adding to the ambient moisture. Most of the farm fields in these areas are still completely bare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 8, 2011 Share Posted May 8, 2011 Amazing that it's forecasting 75+ degree dews over the area as well. Very early for moisture like that this far north. If that verifies I can't even imagine how high it would be in June or July when crops are adding to the ambient moisture. Most of the farm fields in these areas are still completely bare. Yeah I keep wondering if it's a bit too high on moisture, although the Euro has been showing dewpoints over 70 making it pretty far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted May 8, 2011 Share Posted May 8, 2011 I just hope the insane juice doesn't go to waste on tuesday. Only get a few days a year with these types of numbers. Also H5-H7 delta T's between 22-24 degrees?? Holy sh*t. Thats a crazy EML and crazy lapse rates over the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 8, 2011 Share Posted May 8, 2011 I just hope the insane juice doesn't go to waste on tuesday. Only get a few days a year with these types of numbers. Also H5-H7 delta T's between 22-24 degrees?? Holy sh*t. Thats a crazy EML and crazy lapse rates over the area. NAM has the instability axis a little farther west, but similar numbers. Mid level flow still not looking all that hot, especially with eastward extent, but you gotta take your chances if something pops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnchaser Posted May 8, 2011 Share Posted May 8, 2011 GFS has MLCAPE of 5000 in northern IL on Tuesday. 700mb temps near 12 degrees Celsius in those parts..Looks plenty capped, Best bet will be further west near the triple point. I've chased many many high instability setups like these..Iowa is notorious for this stuff to only be a cap bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted May 8, 2011 Share Posted May 8, 2011 GFS really went bonkers w/ the parameters over KS/OK/TX on Wednesday this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted May 8, 2011 Share Posted May 8, 2011 Also, I know no one else probably cares about tomorrow, but the 4km SPC WRF does show convection firing in the early evening hours around here tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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