weatherwiz Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 How's the Euro look for t-storms Wed-Fri? With a little sun and steep lapse rates..maybe something to look forward to? Probably a better chance Friday-Sunday as Tip mentioned earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 Hard to believe even the WWBB days were like 7 years ago. I joined WWBB in Jen/Feb 2005, about the same time I joined Eastern. I was on there for a few months prior to signing up. I am a late blooming weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 52.7 ...at the high for the day. Band of rain has been over us for awhile, maybe gonna lift north soon. It's a swamp basically. High of 70F today? Always hedge toward GFS MOS...NAM's 48F high was on crack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 I go back to the founding of ne.weather in the Fall of 1994. ..when Todd Gross and a few others started that Usenet BB. I joined WWBB in Jen/Feb 2005, about the same time I joined Eastern. I was on there for a few months prior to signing up. I am a late blooming weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 Yeah I think I made another comment later on that was something like "They'll be calling the national guard into ORH"....said it as sort of a joke, lol...then it turned out to be true, they actually did call in the national guard. That thread plus the obs thread later on are two of my favorites on eastern. You could probably put 12/16/07 up there too. You guys were great in that thread, some awesome forecasting from SNE top guns, as usual. I remember we got 7" of snow and then a glaze of icing in Middlebury despite the earlier runs of the ECM turning us over to mostly RA/FZRA...storm clearly trended a bit colder as it approached. My trip home for Christmas was delayed, as Amtrak had tons of switches out in affected areas near ALB, so I waited three more days at Middlebury before finally making the trip home. Both Midd and Dobbs got clocked on 12/19 and to some extent 12/21 but then the torch destroyed all the snowpack...+10C 850s made it all the way up into Quebec, just horrible for New Year's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 I joined WWBB in Jen/Feb 2005, about the same time I joined Eastern. I was on there for a few months prior to signing up. I am a late blooming weenie. That's about when I started posting on WWBB. Maybe in Dec 2004. I lurked though going back to 2003. I would disappear in the summer though. When I came back before Dec 2005, nobody was there and I knew something was wrong because it was 2 days before the 12/9/05 storm and the ETA was showing a total nuke. That's when I remembered eastern...I hadn't signed up the year before since I thought it would be a pain to post on two boards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 That's about when I started posting on WWBB. Maybe in Dec 2004. I lurked though going back to 2003. I would disappear in the summer though. When I came back before Dec 2005, nobody was there and I knew something was wrong because it was 2 days before the 12/9/05 storm and the ETA was showing a total nuke. That's when I remembered eastern...I hadn't signed up the year before since I thought it would be a pain to post on two boards. Were you working for MASS DOT back then, too, Will? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 So in terms of NE weather BBs it was ne.weather -> wwbb -> easternuswx -> american wx Each one was eclipsed by the next and eventually folded. If you really want to go back there was a pretty active wx bb on Delphi Internet (all text pre-web) that I posted on some in 1993-94 and some of those people gravitated to ne.weather. Also there was the mailing list wxobs-sne for those that recall mailing lists before the web. It lasted much of the 90's I guess....dunno when it folded. That's about when I started posting on WWBB. Maybe in Dec 2004. I lurked though going back to 2003. I would disappear in the summer though. When I came back before Dec 2005, nobody was there and I knew something was wrong because it was 2 days before the 12/9/05 storm and the ETA was showing a total nuke. That's when I remembered eastern...I hadn't signed up the year before since I thought it would be a pain to post on two boards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 I actually signed up the day of that storm 12/9/05...but used to lurk on the boards a few months prior. The epic winter of 04/05 was the reason I started searching for forums in the first place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 Were you working for MASS DOT back then, too, Will? No, in 2004, I didn't even have a real met job yet, I was barely 1 year out of college. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 I actually signed up the day of that storm 12/9/05...but used to lurk on the boards a few months prior. The epic winter of 04/05 was the reason I started searching for forums in the first place. Yup. I stumble upon eastern and wright via a google search. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 No, in 2004, I didn't even have a real met job yet, I was barely 1 year out of college. I always forget how young you are; you have the memory of someone that's lived much longer. By the way, what are you doing this summer? Do you still work for MASS DOT in the warm season? And will you be at the AMWX Conference? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 Narrow band coming through SE MA. Looks like Steve's area along I-395 is getting whacked again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 Probably a better chance Friday-Sunday as Tip mentioned earlier. Was hoping WIll would answer..but he ignored it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 Just had two rumbles at home with those showers. High was 51.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 Just had two rumbles at home with those showers. High was 51.1 Thunder here too with heavy heavy rain at this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 Just had two rumbles at home with those showers. High was 51.1 Unless there is a warm front pushing through, the high will be the same here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 Was hoping WIll would answer..but he ignored it You should know me enough by now. If I ignore it, usually I think very little of the setup. I suppose someone could see some elevated thunder. Its hard to get excited about convection on a predominately east wind. Embedded rumbles aside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 Unless there is a warm front pushing through, the high will be the same here. DOwn to 49.8 now after the heavy t-shower..then the sun came out briefly..then another heavy shower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 You should know me enough by now. If I ignore it, usually I think very little of the setup. I suppose someone could see some elevated thunder. Its hard to get excited about convection on a predominately east wind. Embedded rumbles aside. Well yeah..but by middle and end of week..we lose the e flow..and with cold core nearby should be enough to trigger some thunder I'd think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 Well the silver lining is wth every push of precip/rain/thunder we see..we know there's more and more WAA ongoing..and we're that much closer to at least warming from low 50's to low 60's Wed and warmer beyond that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 Well yeah..but by middle and end of week..we lose the e flow..and with cold core nearby should be enough to trigger some thunder I'd think Eh, perhaps. The 12z EC was brutal though, it retrograded the ocean storm one more loop around the pinwheel and actually ripped NE winds here again Saturday and Sunday. Maybe we sneak a half decent day in on Friday with a chance at a popup tstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 The REAL severe weather threats are probably just another 10-20 days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 DOwn to 49.8 now after the heavy t-shower..then the sun came out briefly..then another heavy shower Yeah, I've backed off to 49F (48.9) Winds have been pretty persistent all day around 6-10mph gusting to 20mph. Still not a whole lot of rain comparatively speaking, 0.57". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 Eh, perhaps. The 12z EC was brutal though, it retrograded the ocean storm one more loop around the pinwheel and actually ripped NE winds here again Saturday and Sunday. Maybe we sneak a half decent day in on Friday with a chance at a popup tstorm. What will it take to get this thing out of here? 12z ECM does pound in a heat ridge Day 9-10 with 850s approaching 15C. The warmth is mitigated by the cut-off retreating to the northeast, but it's still above average temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 I'm getting out of here and heading out to my cousins southeast of BUF Thur-Sat. Hopefully that far west it won't be as bad by then. Eh, perhaps. The 12z EC was brutal though, it retrograded the ocean storm one more loop around the pinwheel and actually ripped NE winds here again Saturday and Sunday. Maybe we sneak a half decent day in on Friday with a chance at a popup tstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 What will it take to get this thing out of here? 12z ECM does pound in a heat ridge Day 9-10 with 850s approaching 15C. The warmth is mitigated by the cut-off retreating to the northeast, but it's still above average temperatures. Get that garbage troughiness in the maritimes of NE Canada out of here. Its going to be tough to build a lot of heat into New England with that there. It tends to get stuck to our west and southwest in those setups. We can get better weather than this disaster, but full heat ridges can't get in here until that general pattern goes away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 Well the silver lining is wth every push of precip/rain/thunder we see..we know there's more and more WAA ongoing..and we're that much closer to at least warming from low 50's to low 60's Wed and warmer beyond that The WAA maximizes now through about noon tomorrow, and then weakens gradually as the slow death filling of the vortex begins... It'll take the better part of 70 hours to fill, and the jet mechanics will ill-out to nothingness in that time, and there goes the WAA with it. We won't warm in the bottom 200 or 300 mb in this pattern that way... We'll warm from sun finally penetrating through once said filling has weakened this over some threshold... May late Thursday at the earliest the way things stand now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 Get that garbage troughiness in the maritimes of NE Canada out of here. Its going to be tough to build a lot of heat into New England with that there. It tends to get stuck to our west and southwest in those setups. We can get better weather than this disaster, but full heat ridges can't get in here until that general pattern goes away. I don't want a full heat ridge unless were on the crest of the ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 Get that garbage troughiness in the maritimes of NE Canada out of here. Its going to be tough to build a lot of heat into New England with that there. It tends to get stuck to our west and southwest in those setups. We can get better weather than this disaster, but full heat ridges can't get in here until that general pattern goes away. It seems like the vortex associated with the +NAO pattern is too far south; we had a major heat ridge in the Plains/Midwest last week with 90s in Chicago, and yet all we got was a couple days around 70F with northerly flow behind that cut-off. It naturally takes longer for us to warm as Northeast Canada/Greenland are the places that hold their cold longest, but I hope this cut-off can move far enough offshore to allow those 582dm heights over the Mid-Atlantic to move northward as the Euro shows Day 9-10. 12z ECM did back off the heat a little bit as earlier runs had a full-fledged heat wave with 20C 850 temps. I don't want a full heat ridge unless were on the crest of the ridge. I just want to pound heat for my eggplant and heirloom tomatoes. NWS says 78F here this Sunday. Getting there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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