ORH_wxman Posted May 14, 2011 Share Posted May 14, 2011 I would bet we have at least 2 days where the sun comes out and we get 65-70ish..at least south of pike. Just way to much pessimism in some circles on here. Not that it's a nice week at all...just not nearly as miserable as some are locking Its pretty bad when you are hoping one or two days out of the whole week have a couple breaks of sun and make it to 65F. Perhaps down in your area there's a better chance, but a large portion of E SNE, its tough to get optimistic on an E wind. E wind here usually sucks when LL moisture is abundant...you get land convergence first on the CP and then it rides up the E slopes of the hills. Maybe it won't look as bad in a few days, but Euro has been insistent on a terrible week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 14, 2011 Share Posted May 14, 2011 Scott, ....looks like we got our synoptic trigger... could be some flood with some totals approaching 10 inches on the anomlies products. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 14, 2011 Share Posted May 14, 2011 At least the dews will be high...so it will have a muggy feel as opposed to a raw feel TEMPS MOSTLY IN THE 60S WITH ABOVE NORMAL HUMUDITY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted May 14, 2011 Share Posted May 14, 2011 GFS doesn't show too much wind with this, but I can imagine gale force winds along the coast and minor coastal flooding, just based on the long fetch of ESE winds starting tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted May 14, 2011 Share Posted May 14, 2011 At least the dews will be high...so it will have a muggy feel as opposed to a raw feel TEMPS MOSTLY IN THE 60S WITH ABOVE NORMAL HUMUDITY. GREAT NEWS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 14, 2011 Share Posted May 14, 2011 Scott, ....looks like we got our synoptic trigger... could be some flood with some totals approaching 10 inches on the anomlies products. :o :o :o :raining: :raining: I reckon those are unlikely scenarios?? 60.0/55 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 14, 2011 Share Posted May 14, 2011 Scott, ....looks like we got our synoptic trigger... could be some flood with some totals approaching 10 inches on the anomlies products. I think that might be more over NY State or perhaps down by PA/NJ area and higher elevations of the MA, but it's always tricky with these PWAT plumes. That ULL eventually has to lift on out of here, perhaps dumping more rains later this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted May 14, 2011 Share Posted May 14, 2011 At least the dews will be high...so it will have a muggy feel as opposed to a raw feel TEMPS MOSTLY IN THE 60S WITH ABOVE NORMAL HUMUDITY. Who the hell cares if the dews are high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 14, 2011 Share Posted May 14, 2011 Who the hell cares if the dews are high 58/58 feels so much nicer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 14, 2011 Share Posted May 14, 2011 Who the hell cares if the dews are high His new fetish, theme, act, boring expect it from now until Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 14, 2011 Share Posted May 14, 2011 12z MOS forecasts for Monday afternoon max temps @ ORH... MAV (GFS) 70F MET (NAM) 48F Insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 14, 2011 Author Share Posted May 14, 2011 CTBlizz has become CTSwampazz A few sprinkles here. Just got back from Worcester Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted May 14, 2011 Share Posted May 14, 2011 12z MOS forecasts for Monday afternoon max temps @ ORH... MAV (GFS) 70F MET (NAM) 48F Insane. Local TV Met here is ridin the GFS calling for 68 Monday with showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 14, 2011 Share Posted May 14, 2011 A beautiful 4-6" of rain in SW CT. Music to me ears, doing a huge fescue planting next week, could not ask for better weather, and we are BONE dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted May 14, 2011 Share Posted May 14, 2011 Burbank tried to sound optomistic but he was really reaching for straws on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 14, 2011 Share Posted May 14, 2011 12z MOS forecasts for Monday afternoon max temps @ ORH... MAV (GFS) 70F MET (NAM) 48F Insane. NAM has just been horrendous this spring..I can't recall one temp forecast it's gotten correct lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 14, 2011 Share Posted May 14, 2011 His new fetish, theme, act, boring expect it from now until Winter. I'd much prefer it warm and muggy than 50/49 with rain. Anyone would Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 14, 2011 Author Share Posted May 14, 2011 I'd much prefer it warm and muggy than 50/49 with rain. Anyone would crickets... Raining here. Just finished mowing the lawn. Might not get a chance to do yard work for 40 days and 40 nights Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 14, 2011 Share Posted May 14, 2011 NAM has just been horrendous this spring..I can't recall one temp forecast it's gotten correct lol I think this is more in its wheelhouse. It may not verify that cold, but I'm leaning closer to the 48F than the 70F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 14, 2011 Share Posted May 14, 2011 Monday is an impossible call, I could see swamp~azz alerts with breaks in the clouds and a steamy feel to things with temps in the 70s, or we could be socked in with a light ese flow and temps around 60. I think this week will feature lots of rain, but also some pleasant suprises, cutoffs are overrated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted May 15, 2011 Share Posted May 15, 2011 I think this is more in its wheelhouse. It may not verify that cold, but I'm leaning closer to the 48F than the 70F. Yup, especially up here in CAD country. NAM definitely superior I think in this case Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted May 15, 2011 Share Posted May 15, 2011 54/53, Another cloudy day with comfortable temps. (61 for the high) So great that there is no heat even on the horizon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted May 15, 2011 Share Posted May 15, 2011 Burbank tried to sound optomistic but he was really reaching for straws on this. I don't think I've ever seen any forecasts that miserable/cloudy/dreary. Even during the June of '09 sunless stretch there was always some days that were suposed to be nice that would be 65F with a few breaks before sunset. The first day in the upper 70s in late June felt downright hot that summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 15, 2011 Share Posted May 15, 2011 Mild evening out there---53.2/52 off a high of 60.1. Just got in from a show in Northampton, patchy fog and .10" in the bucket upon my return. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted May 15, 2011 Share Posted May 15, 2011 The models scared me enough to spend about three hours today cutting grass in hideous conditions. I had to get it cut before it turns into a total swamp again. Rained from like 2:00 to 6:30 PM here so I got kinda wet. italw I think that might be more over NY State or perhaps down by PA/NJ area and higher elevations of the MA, but it's always tricky with these PWAT plumes. That ULL eventually has to lift on out of here, perhaps dumping more rains later this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted May 15, 2011 Share Posted May 15, 2011 The models scared me enough to spend about three hours today cutting grass in hideous conditions. I had to get it cut before it turns into a total swamp again. Rained from like 2:00 to 6:30 PM here so I got kinda wet. I think that might be more over NY State or perhaps down by PA/NJ area and higher elevations of the MA, but it's always tricky with these PWAT plumes. That ULL eventually has to lift on out of here, perhaps dumping more rains later this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 15, 2011 Share Posted May 15, 2011 Monday is an impossible call, I could see swamp~azz alerts with breaks in the clouds and a steamy feel to things with temps in the 70s, or we could be socked in with a light ese flow and temps around 60. I think this week will feature lots of rain, but also some pleasant suprises, cutoffs are overrated. You can see the 18z GFS lifts the warm front much further north on Monday than the 18z NAM... 18z GFS has the 10C line into Central VT/NH: 18z NAM keeps the 10C line near the Mass Pike: I'm still not buying the really heavy rain for SW CT/SE NY, Joe; I think the highest totals will be focused just north of the warm front in Upstate NY and extreme NNE. For us, it's going to be mostly off and on showers, perhaps a thunderstorm, with some humidity, although we should get into some steadier rains as the ULL lifts out later in the week. I don't think I've ever seen any forecasts that miserable/cloudy/dreary. Even during the June of '09 sunless stretch there was always some days that were suposed to be nice that would be 65F with a few breaks before sunset. The first day in the upper 70s in late June felt downright hot that summer. That was June though...it's only mid-May, so there's more potential for dreariness and chilly ESE breezes off the ocean. You're always going to get some warm days later in June when the average high is nearing 80F. I was away for June 2009, down in Chile, but I heard how awful it was from my parents. We were having the exact same weather in Southern Chile, heavy rain and overcast, except the winter version with temperatures in the 40s/50s instead of 50s/60s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted May 15, 2011 Share Posted May 15, 2011 Most of eastern areas, esp NH/ME should catch a few decent days next week. Looks like the cutoff is far enough SW that it's deep moisture train will be SW of here, maybe hitting PA/NY/CT more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 15, 2011 Share Posted May 15, 2011 Well the GFS let go of the 70s it had for Monday...what a shock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 15, 2011 Share Posted May 15, 2011 I would have thought we'd have had some rain overnight. Nothing's been recorded since the showers that came through at about 5:30 last night which dropped .10". Perhaps something's clogging my buckets. Hopefully this will be the signal that the heaviest rain this week will be somewhere other than mby (how my tune changes re: qpf when the p-type's not snow). 49.9/49, foggy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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